SAISA South Points #5

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 12 10 22
2 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 10 22 32
3 Florida Gulf Coast University Florida Gulf Coast University Eagles 33 11 44
4 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Dolphins 29 21 50
5 New College of Florida New College of Florida New College 22 32 54
6 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 23 31 54
7 University of Florida University of Florida Gators 39 36 75
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 2 1 1 2 1 3 10 Paul Perry '15
Mary Guidi '15
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 1 5 2 1 2 1 12 Seth Barrows '15
Morgan Engle '15
New College of Florida New College of Florida New College 3 2 5 4 4 4 22 Sophia Schultz '17 [1-6]
Montara Erickson '17 [1-2]
Batya Levy '15 [3-4]
Kyle Johnson '17 [5-6]
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 4 4 3 3 7 2 23 Giancarlo Falconi '16
Nick Gangemi '16
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Dolphins 5 3 4 6 6 5 29 Roy Ingham '15 [1-6]
Alexandra Beckett '12 [1-4]
Matthew Martin '16 [5-6]
Florida Gulf Coast University Florida Gulf Coast University Eagles 6 6 6 5 3 7 33 Susannah Spoto '16 [1-6]
Will Pettinger '15 [1-2]
Tiffany Talks '17 [3-4]
Rebecca Creekmore '15 [5-6]
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 7 7 7 7 5 6 39 Thomas Monson '14
Sara Wedemeyer '17
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 1 1 1 1 3 3 10 Bradford Cederberg '15
Sarah Hanson '16
Florida Gulf Coast University Florida Gulf Coast University Eagles 2 2 2 2 1 BKD 11 Josh Proctor '15 [1-6]
Aaron Rusoff '15 [1-4]
Jordan Levy '17 [5-6]
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Dolphins 4 3 3 5 5 1 21 Peter Hidley '17
Alison Devivero '15
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 5 5 5 3 2 2 22 Sarah Smith '16 [1-2]
Kristen Walker '17 [3-6]
Kristen Walker '17 [1-2]
Sarah Smith '16 [3-6]
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 3 6 6 4 7 5 31 Brandon Buonaiuto '17 [1-6]
Rose Killian '15 [1-2, 5-6]
William Evans '16 [3-4]
New College of Florida New College of Florida New College 7 4 7 6 4 4 32 Michael Long '14 [1-2, 5-6]
Brendan Irons '16 [3-4]
Margaret Swerdloff '17 [1-2]
David Bacsik '14 [3-4]
Jun Whee Yoo '17 [5-6]
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 6 7 4 7 6 6 36 Angela Skane '16 [1-6]
Ryan Myburgh '17 [1-4]
Daniel Royer '17 [5-6]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.130+0.13
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (10 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons113355
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators446688
Florida Gulf Coast UniversityFlorida Gulf Coast University Eagles335577
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Dolphins557711
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes668822
New College of FloridaNew College of Florida New College771133
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls882244

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons224466
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators557711
Florida Gulf Coast UniversityFlorida Gulf Coast University Eagles446688
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Dolphins668822
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes771133
New College of FloridaNew College of Florida New College882244
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls113355
School / Team SkipperCrew
Eckerd College Eckerd College Seth Barrows '15 Morgan Engle '15
Tritons Bradford Cederberg '15 Sarah Hanson '16
Florida Gulf Coast University Florida Gulf Coast University Susannah Spoto '16 [1-6] Will Pettinger '15 [1-2]
Tiffany Talks '17 [3-4]
Rebecca Creekmore '15 [5-6]
Eagles Josh Proctor '15 [1-6] Aaron Rusoff '15 [1-4]
Jordan Levy '17 [5-6]
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Roy Ingham '15 [1-6] Alexandra Beckett '12 [1-4]
Matthew Martin '16 [5-6]
Dolphins Peter Hidley '17 Alison Devivero '15
New College of Florida New College of Florida Sophia Schultz '17 [1-6] Montara Erickson '17 [1-2]
Batya Levy '15 [3-4]
Kyle Johnson '17 [5-6]
New College Michael Long '14 [1-2, 5-6]
Brendan Irons '16 [3-4]
Margaret Swerdloff '17 [1-2]
David Bacsik '14 [3-4]
Jun Whee Yoo '17 [5-6]
University of Florida University of Florida Thomas Monson '14 Sara Wedemeyer '17
Gators Angela Skane '16 [1-6] Ryan Myburgh '17 [1-4]
Daniel Royer '17 [5-6]
University of Miami University of Miami Giancarlo Falconi '16 Nick Gangemi '16
Hurricanes Brandon Buonaiuto '17 [1-6] Rose Killian '15 [1-2, 5-6]
William Evans '16 [3-4]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Paul Perry '15 Mary Guidi '15
Bulls Sarah Smith '16 [1-2]
Kristen Walker '17 [3-6]
Kristen Walker '17 [1-2]
Sarah Smith '16 [3-6]

Conditions — 10/12/2013 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 61%  ·  Pressure 1016.0 hPa

Temperature

81°F
↑ 83°F   ↓ 74°F
Feels like 85°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.2 kn
avg  ·  max 7.8 kn
Gusts to 15.0 kn
From NE (35°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover25% Sunshine10.6 hrs Humidity61% Pressure1016.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at U. Miami: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.09
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.04 ± 0.20)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at U. Miami by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (20 labelled days at U. Miami).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →