SAISA South Points #4

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 7 5 12
2 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Dolphins 14 10 24
3 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 6 22 28
4 New College of Florida New College of Florida New College 21 13 34
5 Rollins College Rollins College Tars 17 20 37
6 Florida State University Florida State University Florida State 27 19 46
7 University of Florida University of Florida Gators 28 25 53
8 Florida Gulf Coast University Florida Gulf Coast University Eagles 24 30 54
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 1 1 1 3 6 Aj Degen '16 [1-4]
Cory Santero '16 [1-2]
Morganne Morrison '15 [3-4]
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 2 2 2 1 7 Seth Barrows '15
Morgan Engle '15
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Dolphins 3 5 4 2 14 Anna Palmer '17
Roy Ingham '15
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 5 4 3 5 17 Ian Nora '14
Cameron Lamir '15
New College of Florida New College of Florida New College 4 3 6 8 21 Sophia Schultz '17
Margaret Swerdloff '17
Florida Gulf Coast University Florida Gulf Coast University Eagles 6 6 5 7 24 Susannah Spoto '16 [1-4]
Jordan Banko '17 [1-2]
Will Pettinger '15 [3-4]
Florida State University Florida State University Florida State 8 8 7 4 27 Kathryn Schneider '14
Laura Kowalski '14
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 7 7 8 6 28 Thomas Monson '14
Sara Wedemeyer '17
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 1 2 1 1 5 Bradford Cederberg '15
Sarah Hanson '16
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Dolphins 3 3 2 2 10 Mara Strobel-Lanka '17
Peter Hidley '17
New College of Florida New College of Florida New College 2 1 4 6 13 Cornell Lee '16 [1-2]
James Montgomery '17 [3-4]
Orion Morton '17 [1-2]
Benjamin Whitehead '16 [3-4]
Florida State University Florida State University Florida State 6 6 3 4 19 Meghan Peltier '16
John Sutton '16
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 4 5 6 5 20 Bernardo Pineda '16
Alexis Ryan '16
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 7 4 8 3 22 Thomas Hamby '15
Sarah Smith '16
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 5 7 5 8 25 Morgan Walker '17 [1-2]
Camron Hollis '17 [3-4]
Ryan Myburgh '17 [1-2]
Anna Hinkeldey '16 [3-4]
Florida Gulf Coast University Florida Gulf Coast University Eagles 8 8 7 7 30 Aaron Rusoff '15 [1-4]
Kyle Chaffo '17 [1-2]
Korey Harrison '17 [3-4]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2012 (15 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons1133
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators3355
Florida Gulf Coast UniversityFlorida Gulf Coast University Eagles2288
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Florida State4422
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Dolphins5577
New College of FloridaNew College of Florida New College6644
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars7711
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls8866

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons2244
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators4466
Florida Gulf Coast UniversityFlorida Gulf Coast University Eagles1177
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Florida State3311
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Dolphins6688
New College of FloridaNew College of Florida New College5533
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars8822
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls7755
School / Team SkipperCrew
Eckerd College Eckerd College Seth Barrows '15 Morgan Engle '15
Tritons Bradford Cederberg '15 Sarah Hanson '16
Florida Gulf Coast University Florida Gulf Coast University Susannah Spoto '16 [1-4] Jordan Banko '17 [1-2]
Will Pettinger '15 [3-4]
Eagles Aaron Rusoff '15 [1-4] Kyle Chaffo '17 [1-2]
Korey Harrison '17 [3-4]
Florida State University Florida State University Kathryn Schneider '14 Laura Kowalski '14
Florida State Meghan Peltier '16 John Sutton '16
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Anna Palmer '17 Roy Ingham '15
Dolphins Mara Strobel-Lanka '17 Peter Hidley '17
New College of Florida New College of Florida Sophia Schultz '17 Margaret Swerdloff '17
New College Cornell Lee '16 [1-2]
James Montgomery '17 [3-4]
Orion Morton '17 [1-2]
Benjamin Whitehead '16 [3-4]
Rollins College Rollins College Ian Nora '14 Cameron Lamir '15
Tars Bernardo Pineda '16 Alexis Ryan '16
University of Florida University of Florida Thomas Monson '14 Sara Wedemeyer '17
Gators Morgan Walker '17 [1-2]
Camron Hollis '17 [3-4]
Ryan Myburgh '17 [1-2]
Anna Hinkeldey '16 [3-4]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Aj Degen '16 [1-4] Cory Santero '16 [1-2]
Morganne Morrison '15 [3-4]
Bulls Thomas Hamby '15 Sarah Smith '16

Conditions — 10/05/2013 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 66%  ·  Pressure 1017.3 hPa

Temperature

82°F
↑ 87°F   ↓ 71°F
Feels like 87°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.0 kn
avg  ·  max 5.8 kn
Gusts to 13.8 kn
From ENE (75°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover45% Sunshine9.6 hrs Humidity66% Pressure1017.3 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Florida: a favourites’ day (+0.07)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.11 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.19
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.43 ± 0.23)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Florida by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 4 labelled days at Florida, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →