SAISA Women's Fall Champs

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 16 21 37
2 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 16 23 39
3 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 29 13 42
4 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 23 24 47
5 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Dolphins 37 39 76
6 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 47 48 95
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 1 3 2 1 2 1 4 2 16 Clerc Cooper '15
Elizabeth Chambers '14
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 4 1 3 2 1 3 1 1 16 Melany Johnson '15
Brianna Green '16
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 3 4 1 3 4 2 2 4 23 Taylor Scheuermann '15
Alexandra Damley-Strnad '17
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 2 2 5 5 3 4 5 3 29 Dominique Wright '15 [1-4, 7-8]
Alison Knoles '17 [5-6]
Darcy Jensen '16 [1-4, 7-8]
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Dolphins 6 5 4 4 5 5 3 5 37 Anna Palmer '17
Hannah Knighton '17
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 47 Katherine Kristoffersen '15
Paulina Spencer '16
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 13 Colleen Hartman '13
Ali Yarbrough '16
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 2 2 2 2 3 4 4 2 21 Solvig Sayre '14
Lissa Mcclung '14
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 4 4 3 3 1 1 3 4 23 Grace Lucas '14 [1-8]
Morgan Buckley '15 [1-6]
Charlotte Saxe '16 [7-8]
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 3 3 4 5 4 3 1 1 24 Laura Hernandez '15
Kara Voss '15
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Dolphins 5 5 5 4 5 5 5 5 39 Mara Strobel-Lanka '17
Victoria Caba '17
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 48 Nichole Palen '14
Jillian Tucker '15
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2013 (18 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars11223344
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons22116655
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Dolphins33445566
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes44332211
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack55661122
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls66554433

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars7788991010
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons887712121111
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Dolphins99101011111212
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes1010998877
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack111112127788
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls12121111101099

Conditions — 10/06/2013 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 84%  ·  Pressure 1015.6 hPa

Temperature

78°F
↑ 81°F   ↓ 72°F
Feels like 84°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.7 kn
avg  ·  max 8.9 kn
Gusts to 18.1 kn
From SE (140°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover59% Sunshine10.3 hrs Humidity84% Pressure1015.6 hPa Rain0.02 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Charleston: an underdogs’ day (−0.09)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.08
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.03 ± 0.19)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.09 means a rating gap counts about 8% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Charleston by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (69 labelled days at Charleston).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →