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Sugar Bowl Intersectional

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 2 14 14 28
2 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 1 26 21 47
3 Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 26 26 52
4 Michigan State University Michigan State University Michigan State 27 38 65
5 Ohio State University Ohio State University The Ohio State Univ. 51 21 72
6 Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 1 51 27 78
7 University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 36 44 80
8 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 29 55 84
9 Oklahoma State University Oklahoma State University Cowboys 52 43 95
10 Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 2 54 57 111
11 University of Central Oklahoma University of Central Oklahoma Bronchos 58 65 123
12 University of Kansas University of Kansas Jayhawks 65 MRP 77 MRP 142 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 2 1 2 3 5 2 1 14 Leslie Poole '16
Jennifer Burke '16
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 2 7 1 1 10 5 26 Alexandra Payne '15
Miia Newman '17
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 1 3 6 4 2 8 3 26 David Meyerson '15 [1-2, 5-6]
John Kinzel '14 [3-4]
John Kinzel '14 [1-2]
Benjamin Reiland '15 [3-6]
Michigan State University Michigan State University Michigan State 5 3 9 4 4 2 27 Bill Weiland '14
Elizabeth Dust '15
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 10 4 2 3 1 9 29 John Reddaway '15
Abhay Baliga '14
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 7 1 11 8 3 6 36 Masie Comen '15 [1-6]
Hunter Ledonne '15 [1-2, 5-6]
Brinley Kranz '16 [3-4]
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 1 4 OCS 6 10 11 7 51 Travis Conger '14
No Show
Ohio State University Ohio State University The Ohio State Univ. 9 10 10 9 5 8 51 Corinne Sackett '15 [1-2]
Adam Gilbertson '13 [3-6]
Devin Copfer '14 [1-2]
Oklahoma State University Oklahoma State University Cowboys 6 8 7 12 7 12 52 Ian Jones '15
Zachariah Duck '15
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 2 11 5 12 6 9 11 54 Tracy Hawk '16
Madeline Minchillo '16
University of Central Oklahoma University of Central Oklahoma Bronchos 12 11 8 11 12 4 58 Sarah Summers '13 [1-6]
Darby Gilmore '14 [1-2, 5-6]
Mikasa Barnes '17 [3-4]
University of Kansas University of Kansas Jayhawks 8 9 5 7 6 10 65 MRP Melissa Brown '14 [1-6]
Margaret (Maggie) Kuchler '17 [1-2]
No Show [3-4]
Sydney Quade '17 [5-6]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 2 1 2 1 5 1 4 14 Molly Sitter '15
Kelsea Kierstead '15
Ohio State University Ohio State University The Ohio State Univ. 2 4 2 1 4 8 21 Anatoliy Kryvenko '15 [1-2]
Sean Fronce '15 [3-6]
David Aspery '16 [1-2]
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 1 5 1 5 3 6 1 21 Ian Norman '18 [1-2, 5-6]
James Sitter '17 [3-4]
Elliot Busta '15 [1-2, 5-6]
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 3 6 7 4 3 3 26 Jessica Oswalt '16
Katherine Walsh '15
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 1 8 5 8 2 2 2 27 Travis James '13 [1-6]
Kevin Dirksmeyer '17 [1-2, 5-6]
No Show [3-4]
Michigan State University Michigan State University Michigan State 6 7 4 7 5 9 38 Colton Radenbaugh '15
Nicholas Caudell '15
Oklahoma State University Oklahoma State University Cowboys 7 3 9 9 9 6 43 Connor Murphy '14
Kelsea Hull '18
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 11 12 3 6 7 5 44 Conor Puckett '15 [1-2]
Ellen Nielsen '15 [3-6]
Kayla Blanchard '13 [1-2]
Aubrey Leblanc '14 [3-4]
Nicola Looney '15 [5-6]
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 4 8 10 11 11 11 55 No Show
No Show
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 2 12 9 11 10 8 7 57 Katherine Biancardi '15 [1-6]
Ataly Asher '15 [1-2, 5-6]
Sarah Turner '15 [3-4]
University of Central Oklahoma University of Central Oklahoma Bronchos 9 10 12 12 12 10 65 Daryl Nieto '15 [1-6]
Danielle Karim '14 [1-2, 5-6]
Kaity Calmes '17 [3-4]
University of Kansas University of Kansas Jayhawks 10 11 6 8 10 12 77 MRP Alex Assyia '16
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.140+0.14
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2011 (28 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
University of Central OklahomaUniversity of Central Oklahoma Bronchos9919192020
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets11222233
University of KansasUniversity of Kansas Jayhawks2222112121
Michigan State UniversityMichigan State University Michigan State334455
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University The Ohio State Univ.556677
Oklahoma State UniversityOklahoma State University Cowboys44332222
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns19199988
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies 1665544
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies 2778899
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave887766
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers 12020212111
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers 2212120201919

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
University of Central OklahomaUniversity of Central Oklahoma Bronchos334455
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets778899
University of KansasUniversity of Kansas Jayhawks887766
Michigan State UniversityMichigan State University Michigan State9919192020
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University The Ohio State Univ.2020212111
Oklahoma State UniversityOklahoma State University Cowboys19199988
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns44332222
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies 1212120201919
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies 211222233
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave2222112121
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers 1556677
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers 2665544
School / Team SkipperCrew
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology John Reddaway '15 Abhay Baliga '14
Yellow Jackets No Show No Show
Michigan State University Michigan State University Bill Weiland '14 Elizabeth Dust '15
Michigan State Colton Radenbaugh '15 Nicholas Caudell '15
Ohio State University Ohio State University Corinne Sackett '15 [1-2]
Adam Gilbertson '13 [3-6]		 Devin Copfer '14 [1-2]
The Ohio State Univ. Anatoliy Kryvenko '15 [1-2]
Sean Fronce '15 [3-6]		 David Aspery '16 [1-2]
Oklahoma State University Oklahoma State University Ian Jones '15 Zachariah Duck '15
Cowboys Connor Murphy '14 Kelsea Hull '18
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Travis Conger '14 No Show
Aggies 1 Travis James '13 [1-6] Kevin Dirksmeyer '17 [1-2, 5-6]
No Show [3-4]
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Tracy Hawk '16 Madeline Minchillo '16
Aggies 2 Katherine Biancardi '15 [1-6] Ataly Asher '15 [1-2, 5-6]
Sarah Turner '15 [3-4]
Tulane University Tulane University Alexandra Payne '15 Miia Newman '17
Green Wave Jessica Oswalt '16 Katherine Walsh '15
University of Central Oklahoma University of Central Oklahoma Sarah Summers '13 [1-6] Darby Gilmore '14 [1-2, 5-6]
Mikasa Barnes '17 [3-4]
Bronchos Daryl Nieto '15 [1-6] Danielle Karim '14 [1-2, 5-6]
Kaity Calmes '17 [3-4]
University of Kansas University of Kansas Melissa Brown '14 [1-6] Margaret (Maggie) Kuchler '17 [1-2]
No Show [3-4]
Sydney Quade '17 [5-6]
Jayhawks Alex Assyia '16 No Show
University of Texas University of Texas Masie Comen '15 [1-6] Hunter Ledonne '15 [1-2, 5-6]
Brinley Kranz '16 [3-4]
Longhorns Conor Puckett '15 [1-2]
Ellen Nielsen '15 [3-6]		 Kayla Blanchard '13 [1-2]
Aubrey Leblanc '14 [3-4]
Nicola Looney '15 [5-6]
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin David Meyerson '15 [1-2, 5-6]
John Kinzel '14 [3-4]		 John Kinzel '14 [1-2]
Benjamin Reiland '15 [3-6]
Badgers 1 Ian Norman '18 [1-2, 5-6]
James Sitter '17 [3-4]		 Elliot Busta '15 [1-2, 5-6]
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Leslie Poole '16 Jennifer Burke '16
Badgers 2 Molly Sitter '15 Kelsea Kierstead '15

Conditions — 12/30/2013 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 78%  ·  Pressure 1022.5 hPa

Temperature

56°F
↑ 58°F   ↓ 48°F
Feels like 54°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
2.5 kn
avg  ·  max 3.9 kn
Gusts to 6.8 kn
From WSW (258°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover99% Sunshine2.6 hrs Humidity78% Pressure1022.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 5 kn · NE 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Tulane: a favourites’ day (+0.09)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.08 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.16
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.06 ± 0.15)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.09 means a rating gap counts about 8% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Tulane by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (38 labelled days at Tulane).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →