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Troy Swetnam Memorial

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Reveille 22 25 47
2 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1 35 24 59
3 University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 1 70 45 115
4 University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 2 63 56 119
5 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 3 34 94 128
6 Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Rudders Rudders 101 60 161
7 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2 84 80 164
8 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 4 49 120 169
9 University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 3 82 94 176
10 Rice University Rice University Owls 127 113 240
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Reveille 2 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 3 2 1 3 22 Bradley Shaw '16
Alyssa Schultz '16
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 3 6 2 1 2 3 4 3 2 1 1 3 6 34 Dylan Marohn '16
Alex Kraemer '16
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1 3 1 2 4 2 3 4 8 2 3 2 1 35 Jacob Hafemeister '16
Michael Barnaba '18
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 4 1 4 4 3 5 2 2 3 9 5 9 2 49 Noel Ingalls '16
Jacob Kerr '17
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 2 4 5 6 8 8 7 5 4 4 4 4 4 63 Aaron Comen '18
Samantha Robbins '18
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 1 5 6 8 5 4 6 6 5 5 8 7 5 70 Alexander Judd '16
Thomas Misikoff '17
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 3 8 8 5 6 6 5 8 7 7 7 6 9 82 Ashlynd Epstein '16 [1-12]
Marissa Morrison '15 [1-6]
Chloe Cox '17 [7-12]
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2 7 7 7 7 7 8 7 6 6 6 8 8 84 Kayla Sonnier '15
Amanda Reyes '15
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Rudders Rudders 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 8 9 5 7 101 Benjamin Lipari '18 [1-12]
Abigail Dastur '18 [1-6, 9-12]
Jacob Mashburn '16 [7-8]
Rice University Rice University Owls 10 DNF 10 10 10 10 DNF DNF DNF DNF DNF DNF 127 Zelun Wang '16 [1-6]
No Show [7-12]
Minoti Kale '17 [1-6]
No Show [7-12]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1 3 2 2 6 1 1 1 2 2 2 1 1 24 Ryan Murphy '15
Haley Walker '18
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Reveille 1 3 5 1 2 2 2 3 1 1 2 2 25 Erin Hawk '16 [1-12]
Matt Hergert '16 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Kathleen Mckenney '16 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 1 2 1 1 2 3 3 8 7 5 3 5 5 45 George Walters '18 [1-12]
Edwin Pachicano '17 [1-4, 11-12]
Michael Hernandez '18 [5-10]
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 2 4 4 3 3 4 5 4 5 6 6 6 6 56 Simon Varga '17 [1-12]
Ron Joseph Lastimosa '16 [1-6]
Garrett Callahan '15 [7-12]
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Rudders Rudders 7 6 4 4 5 4 3 4 4 4 DNF 4 60 Walter Pospick '17 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Morgan Frakes '17 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Alexander Tyska '18 [1-2, 5-8]
Jacob Mashburn '16 [3-4, 9-12]
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2 6 8 DNF 7 DNF DNF 5 1 7 7 3 3 80 Brittney Crawford '15
Julia Grosso '17
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 3 DNF 5 DNF 5 DNF DNF 6 6 8 5 7 8 94 Austin Bergman '12
Alexander Thompson '18
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 3 DNF DNF DNF DNF 6 7 7 8 3 8 4 7 94 Anish Zute '18 [1-12]
Brinley Kranz '16 [1-8]
Marissa Morrison '15 [9-12]
Rice University Rice University Owls 5 DNF 7 DNF 7 6 DNF DNF DNF DNF DNF DNF 113 Elena Busch '18 [1-6]
No Show [7-12]
Demitrios Anastasiadis '16 [1-6]
No Show [7-12]
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 4 DNF 7 6 8 DNF DNF DNF DNF DNF DNF DNF DNF 120 Nicholas Boswell '17
Megan Ferguson '17
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
Rice UniversityRice University Owls112233445566
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns 1887766554433
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns 299101011223344
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns 310109988776655
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Reveille22111010998877
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Rudders Rudders334455667788
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 144332211101099
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 255667788991010
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 3665544332211
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 477889910101122

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
Rice UniversityRice University Owls112233445566
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns 1887766554433
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns 299101011223344
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns 310109988776655
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Reveille22111010998877
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Rudders Rudders334455667788
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 144332211101099
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 255667788991010
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 3665544332211
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 477889910101122
School / Team SkipperCrew
Rice University Rice University Zelun Wang '16 [1-6]
No Show [7-12]		 Minoti Kale '17 [1-6]
No Show [7-12]
Owls Elena Busch '18 [1-6]
No Show [7-12]		 Demitrios Anastasiadis '16 [1-6]
No Show [7-12]
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Bradley Shaw '16 Alyssa Schultz '16
Reveille Erin Hawk '16 [1-12] Matt Hergert '16 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Kathleen Mckenney '16 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Benjamin Lipari '18 [1-12] Abigail Dastur '18 [1-6, 9-12]
Jacob Mashburn '16 [7-8]
Rudders Rudders Walter Pospick '17 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Morgan Frakes '17 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]		 Alexander Tyska '18 [1-2, 5-8]
Jacob Mashburn '16 [3-4, 9-12]
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Jacob Hafemeister '16 Michael Barnaba '18
Aggies 1 Ryan Murphy '15 Haley Walker '18
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Kayla Sonnier '15 Amanda Reyes '15
Aggies 2 Brittney Crawford '15 Julia Grosso '17
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Dylan Marohn '16 Alex Kraemer '16
Aggies 3 Austin Bergman '12 Alexander Thompson '18
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Noel Ingalls '16 Jacob Kerr '17
Aggies 4 Nicholas Boswell '17 Megan Ferguson '17
University of Texas University of Texas Alexander Judd '16 Thomas Misikoff '17
Longhorns 1 George Walters '18 [1-12] Edwin Pachicano '17 [1-4, 11-12]
Michael Hernandez '18 [5-10]
University of Texas University of Texas Aaron Comen '18 Samantha Robbins '18
Longhorns 2 Simon Varga '17 [1-12] Ron Joseph Lastimosa '16 [1-6]
Garrett Callahan '15 [7-12]
University of Texas University of Texas Ashlynd Epstein '16 [1-12] Marissa Morrison '15 [1-6]
Chloe Cox '17 [7-12]
Longhorns 3 Anish Zute '18 [1-12] Brinley Kranz '16 [1-8]
Marissa Morrison '15 [9-12]

Conditions — 09/20/2014 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Partly cloudy
Humidity 83%  ·  Pressure 1013.6 hPa

Temperature

80°F
↑ 82°F   ↓ 78°F
Feels like 87°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.6 kn
avg  ·  max 9.5 kn
Gusts to 19.2 kn
From E (79°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover52% Sunshine10.5 hrs Humidity83% Pressure1013.6 hPa Rain0.01 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 15 kn · E 10 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Texas A&M Galveston: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.15)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.13 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.28
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.09 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.15 means a rating gap counts about 13% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Texas A&M Galveston by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (29 labelled days at Texas A&M Galveston).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →