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58th Donaghy Bowl

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 19 11 30
2 Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats 14 17 31
3 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 19 14 33
4 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 24 27 51
5 Boston University Boston University Terriers 20 34 54
6 Amherst College Amherst College Lord Jeffs 44 27 71
7 Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 33 44 77
8 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 43 42 85
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats 6 3 1 2 1 1 14 Peter Sterflinger '17
Alexa Giovanis '17
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 2 3 5 4 4 19 Pierre Dupont '16
Katherine Xu '18
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 3 4 2 1 3 6 19 Quinn Andersen '18
Kira Kirk '18
Boston University Boston University Terriers 5 1 5 4 2 3 20 Anna Booras '16
Madison Sparber '17
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 4 5 4 3 6 2 24 Genevieve Marquardt '15
Stephanie Clancy '17
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 2 6 6 7 7 5 33 Lewis Fowler-Gerace '15
Josh Atchley '15
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 8 8 8 6 5 8 43 Kimberly Jackman '16 [1-6]
Melissa Conway '16 [1-2]
Alexandra Rice '16 [3-6]
Amherst College Amherst College Lord Jeffs 7 7 7 8 8 7 44 Amelia Vinciguerra '17
Tyler Hazard '17
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 2 2 1 3 2 1 11 Luke Andersen '18
Olivia Liebnick '16
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 1 3 1 5 3 14 Nicholas Pfosi '16
Joshua Pfosi '16
Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats 5 3 2 2 3 2 17 Thomas Pluchino '18
Amanda Balbi '17
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 3 4 6 6 4 4 27 Mary Clawson '15
Mara Terchunian '16
Amherst College Amherst College Lord Jeffs 6 5 4 5 1 6 27 Noah Brayer '18
Jacob Wyner '18
Boston University Boston University Terriers 8 6 5 4 6 5 34 Stefanie Anderson '18
Andrea Farr '18
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 7 7 7 7 7 7 42 Christopher Baker '16
Elizabeth Rawlinson '15
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 4 8 8 8 8 8 44 Matthew Younger '15
Katherine Walker '16
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.140+0.14
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Amherst CollegeAmherst College Lord Jeffs171718181919
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers181819192020
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies232324241717
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels191920202121
Johnson and Wales UniversityJohnson and Wales University Wildcats202021212222
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks212122222323
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos222223232424
Wesleyan UniversityWesleyan University Cardinals242417171818

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Amherst CollegeAmherst College Lord Jeffs171718181919
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers181819192020
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies232324241717
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels191920202121
Johnson and Wales UniversityJohnson and Wales University Wildcats202021212222
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks212122222323
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos222223232424
Wesleyan UniversityWesleyan University Cardinals242417171818

Conditions — 09/21/2014 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 87%  ·  Pressure 1009.1 hPa

Temperature

72°F
↑ 74°F   ↓ 69°F
Feels like 76°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.9 kn
avg  ·  max 6.6 kn
Gusts to 16.9 kn
From S (169°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine3.0 hrs Humidity87% Pressure1009.1 hPa Rain0.05 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 12 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at U. Connecticut: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.10 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.07
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.04 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at U. Connecticut by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 7 labelled days at U. Connecticut, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →