NE Fall Tournament

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 66
2 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 77
3 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 127
4 Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech 160
5 Sacred Heart University Sacred Heart University Pioneers 165
6 Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 169
7 Amherst College Amherst College Lord Jeffs 204
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats A 3 5 4 1 3 4 1 2 2 25 William Dykes '15
David Mazotas '16
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers B 1 2 2 3 5 3 6 5 4 31 Ben Brown '18 [1-9]
Alden Cowap '17 [1-7]
Dylan Quenneville '18 [8-9]
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers A 5 1 7 7 1 2 3 4 5 35 Jack Kerby-Miller '14 [1-9]
Sarah Scott '17 [1-5]
Kevin Tsai '17 [6-9]
Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech A 11 12 1 2 2 7 2 1 1 39 Norbert Mongeon '15
Alex Deneault '18
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats B 4 8 3 4 10 6 4 7 6 52 Emmet Todd '17
Kendall Young '17
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers B 2 6 5 10 6 13 7 6 3 58 George Luber '17
Evan Sampou '17
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals A 6 10 11 6 4 1 8 3 DNF 64 Lewis Fowler-Gerace '15
Kevin Winnie '16
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers A 8 4 9 5 8 5 5 10 DNF 69 Ryan Novak-Smith '17
Matthew Woodward '17
Sacred Heart University Sacred Heart University Pioneers B 9 3 8 12 12 8 9 RDG RDG 78 William Herlihy '15
Kristen Lahaise '17
Sacred Heart University Sacred Heart University Pioneers A 12 7 12 9 9 11 12 8 7 87 Brian Reilly '16
David Tampellini '17
Amherst College Amherst College Lord Jeffs A 7 9 6 8 7 DNS DNS DNS DNS 97 Noah Brayer '18
Olivia Recht '15
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals B 13 13 10 11 13 10 11 9 DNF 105 Earl Lin '15
Hadley Feingold '17
Amherst College Amherst College Lord Jeffs B 10 11 13 13 11 9 10 DNS DNS 107 Amelia Vinciguerra '17
Jacob Cunningham '15
Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech B 14 14 14 14 14 12 13 11 DNF 121 Elio Daci '18
Michael Hopkins '18
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2010 (40 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
Amherst CollegeAmherst College Lord Jeffs111111111
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers222222222
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers333333333
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats555555555
Sacred Heart UniversitySacred Heart University Pioneers444444444
Wesleyan UniversityWesleyan University Cardinals666666666
Worcester Polytechnic InstituteWorcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech777777777

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
Amherst CollegeAmherst College Lord Jeffs888888888
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers999999999
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers101010101010101010
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats121212121212121212
Sacred Heart UniversitySacred Heart University Pioneers111111111111111111
Wesleyan UniversityWesleyan University Cardinals131313131313131313
Worcester Polytechnic InstituteWorcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech141414141414141414

Conditions — 11/01/2014 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Moderate drizzle
Humidity 93%  ·  Pressure 1012.7 hPa

Temperature

43°F
↑ 45°F   ↓ 40°F
Feels like 36°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
10.9 kn
avg  ·  max 11.8 kn
Gusts to 25.3 kn
From NNE (21°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.0 hrs Humidity93% Pressure1012.7 hPa Rain0.25 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 13 kn* · N 19 kn (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at New Hampshire: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.11
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.26 ± 0.19)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at New Hampshire by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (22 labelled days at New Hampshire).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →