SAISA North Points #2

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 16 6 22
2 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 8 28 36
3 Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 21 19 40
4 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 20 31 51
5 University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 38 13 51
6 Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 1 34 33 67
7 The Citadel The Citadel Citadel 36 34 70
8 University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 31 41 72
9 University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 46 38 84
10 Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 2 50 43 93
11 Davidson College Davidson College Davidson 45 53 98
12 Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 46 54 100
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 2 1 1 3 1 8 John Reddaway '15 [1-5]
Andres Menendez '17 [1-4]
Scott Claudon '16 [5]
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 5 3 3 2 3 16 Paul Vermazen '18
Mary Dahl '18
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 3 6 2 4 5 20 Mark Thompson '18
Annalisa Kristoffersen '15
Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 1 4 4 10 2 21 John Sipp '18 [1-5]
Edward Bartlett '18 [1-2, 5]
Martha Cady '17 [3-4]
University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 7 9 7 1 7 31 Patrick Kopiwoda '15
Mark Schneider '16
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 1 4 2 12 12 4 34 John Roberts '17 [1-2]
William Bagnal '17 [3-4]
Meredith Rutledge '16 [5]
Lauren Fowler '16 [1-4]
Evelyn Moseley '15 [5]
The Citadel The Citadel Citadel 6 7 9 5 9 36 Jared Chrysostom '15 [1-5]
Austin Winkler '16 [1-2]
Hammond Edwards '15 [3-5]
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 11 5 8 6 8 38 Cassie Todd '16 [1-5]
David Hoover '17 [1-2]
Taylor Wood '18 [3-4]
Kate Rowe '17 [5]
Davidson College Davidson College Davidson 12 10 5 8 10 45 Noah Rickolt '18 [1-2]
Ryan Welch '16 [3-4]
Andrew Cannard '17 [5]
Kinsey Barhorst '18 [1-2]
Gwyneth Archer '18 [3-4]
Maria Bravo '18 [5]
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 8 11 10 11 6 46 Matthew Weber '15
Erica Trotter '17
Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 9 8 11 7 11 46 Brent Deangelis '16 [1-5]
Rachael Payton '15 [1-2]
Shawn Majzlik '18 [3-4]
Taylor Lemaitre '17 [5]
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 2 10 DNS 6 9 12 50 Cali Mcgovern '14 [1-5]
Mateo Gomez '17 [1-4]
Nadiya Klep '15 [5]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 1 1 2 1 1 6 Eliot Caple '18
Islay Petrie '18
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 2 5 1 2 3 13 Kailey Savacool '16
Cameron Paul '16
Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 5 2 5 5 2 19 Alexander Katsis '14 [1-5]
Helen Mccarthy '18 [1-2, 5]
Cleveland Thompson '18 [3-4]
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 7 4 10 3 4 28 James Elder '15 [1-4]
Joshua Kim '17 [5]
Kaitlyn Harysch '16 [1-4]
Chris Walton '16 [5]
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 6 8 3 4 10 31 Aaron Sherman '16
Kristin Neill '16
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 1 4 7 7 6 9 33 Jeffery Kaisner '17 [1-2]
Michael Connolly '18 [3-4]
Matthew Dean '17 [5]
Barbara Astmann '16 [1-4]
Emma Brooks '15 [5]
The Citadel The Citadel Citadel 3 3 9 11 8 34 Scott Bidwell '16
Houston Macnair '18
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 10 9 6 7 6 38 Michael Stolorena '15 [1-2, 5]
Kaylee Lane '15 [3-4]
Andrew Dixon '17 [1-2, 5]
Megan Nikin '15 [3-4]
University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 8 6 11 9 7 41 Luke Schwarzentraub '17
Matthew Art '18
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 2 DNS DNS 4 8 5 43 Paige Gainey '15 [1-4]
Rachel Mccomas '16 [5]
Emma Brooks '15 [1-4]
Paige Gainey '15 [5]
Davidson College Davidson College Davidson 11 11 8 10 DSQ 53 Andrew Cannard '17 [1-2]
Noah Rickolt '18 [3-4]
Ryan Welch '16 [5]
Maria Bravo '18 [1-2]
Kinsey Barhorst '18 [3-4]
Gwyneth Archer '18 [5]
Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 9 10 12 12 11 54 Jonathan Ashworth '17 [1-4]
Edward Martin '16 [5]
Grant Johnson '18 [1-2]
Shannon Muratta '17 [3-4]
Shawn Majzlik '18 [5]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2012 (13 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Tigers11223
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars44556
The CitadelThe Citadel Citadel99101011
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers 122334
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers 233445
Davidson CollegeDavidson College Davidson55667
Duke UniversityDuke University Blue Devils66778
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs1010111112
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets77889
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack889910
University of TennesseeUniversity of Tennessee Volunteers1212112
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks111112121

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Tigers11223
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars44556
The CitadelThe Citadel Citadel99101011
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers 122334
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers 233445
Davidson CollegeDavidson College Davidson55667
Duke UniversityDuke University Blue Devils66778
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs1010111112
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets77889
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack889910
University of TennesseeUniversity of Tennessee Volunteers1212112
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks111112121
School / Team SkipperCrew
Auburn University Auburn University Brent Deangelis '16 [1-5] Rachael Payton '15 [1-2]
Shawn Majzlik '18 [3-4]
Taylor Lemaitre '17 [5]
Tigers Jonathan Ashworth '17 [1-4]
Edward Martin '16 [5]
Grant Johnson '18 [1-2]
Shannon Muratta '17 [3-4]
Shawn Majzlik '18 [5]
Clemson University Clemson University John Roberts '17 [1-2]
William Bagnal '17 [3-4]
Meredith Rutledge '16 [5]
Lauren Fowler '16 [1-4]
Evelyn Moseley '15 [5]
Tigers 1 Jeffery Kaisner '17 [1-2]
Michael Connolly '18 [3-4]
Matthew Dean '17 [5]
Barbara Astmann '16 [1-4]
Emma Brooks '15 [5]
Clemson University Clemson University Cali Mcgovern '14 [1-5] Mateo Gomez '17 [1-4]
Nadiya Klep '15 [5]
Tigers 2 Paige Gainey '15 [1-4]
Rachel Mccomas '16 [5]
Emma Brooks '15 [1-4]
Paige Gainey '15 [5]
College of Charleston College of Charleston Paul Vermazen '18 Mary Dahl '18
Cougars Eliot Caple '18 Islay Petrie '18
Davidson College Davidson College Noah Rickolt '18 [1-2]
Ryan Welch '16 [3-4]
Andrew Cannard '17 [5]
Kinsey Barhorst '18 [1-2]
Gwyneth Archer '18 [3-4]
Maria Bravo '18 [5]
Davidson Andrew Cannard '17 [1-2]
Noah Rickolt '18 [3-4]
Ryan Welch '16 [5]
Maria Bravo '18 [1-2]
Kinsey Barhorst '18 [3-4]
Gwyneth Archer '18 [5]
Duke University Duke University John Sipp '18 [1-5] Edward Bartlett '18 [1-2, 5]
Martha Cady '17 [3-4]
Blue Devils Alexander Katsis '14 [1-5] Helen Mccarthy '18 [1-2, 5]
Cleveland Thompson '18 [3-4]
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology John Reddaway '15 [1-5] Andres Menendez '17 [1-4]
Scott Claudon '16 [5]
Yellow Jackets James Elder '15 [1-4]
Joshua Kim '17 [5]
Kaitlyn Harysch '16 [1-4]
Chris Walton '16 [5]
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Mark Thompson '18 Annalisa Kristoffersen '15
Wolfpack Aaron Sherman '16 Kristin Neill '16
The Citadel The Citadel Jared Chrysostom '15 [1-5] Austin Winkler '16 [1-2]
Hammond Edwards '15 [3-5]
Citadel Scott Bidwell '16 Houston Macnair '18
University of Georgia University of Georgia Matthew Weber '15 Erica Trotter '17
Bulldogs Michael Stolorena '15 [1-2, 5]
Kaylee Lane '15 [3-4]
Andrew Dixon '17 [1-2, 5]
Megan Nikin '15 [3-4]
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Cassie Todd '16 [1-5] David Hoover '17 [1-2]
Taylor Wood '18 [3-4]
Kate Rowe '17 [5]
Seahawks Kailey Savacool '16 Cameron Paul '16
University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Patrick Kopiwoda '15 Mark Schneider '16
Volunteers Luke Schwarzentraub '17 Matthew Art '18

Conditions — 09/20/2014 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 54%  ·  Pressure 1019.7 hPa

Temperature

75°F
↑ 80°F   ↓ 65°F
Feels like 74°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.6 kn
avg  ·  max 7.8 kn
Gusts to 18.9 kn
From NE (56°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover16% Sunshine10.2 hrs Humidity54% Pressure1019.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 5 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Clemson: an underdogs’ day (−0.06)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.11 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.04
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.17 ± 0.15)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 6% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Clemson by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (15 labelled days at Clemson).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →