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SAISA North Points #4

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 9 6 15
2 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 21 20 41
3 University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 22 31 53
4 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 23 32 55
5 Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 33 22 55
6 University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Coed 34 52 86
7 East Carolina University East Carolina University Pirates 54 35 89
8 The Citadel The Citadel Citadel 49 MRP 42 MRP 91 MRP
9 Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 45 53 98
10 University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 61 55 116
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 1 3 1 1 2 1 9 Jack Cusick '17
Kayla Adelman '17
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 5 4 3 2 5 2 21 David Rogers '15
Paulina Spencer '16
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 2 5 5 3 3 4 22 Cassie Todd '16 [1-6]
Taylor Wood '18 [1-2]
William Polk '16 [3-6]
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 4 2 8 5 1 3 23 John Reddaway '15 [1-2, 5-6]
Lauren Yapp '18 [3-4]
Calvin Chern '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Keenan Nicholson '18 [3-4]
Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 7 7 4 6 4 5 33 Alexander Katsis '14 [1-6]
Jacob Dooris '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Louis Garza '17 [3-4]
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Coed 6 6 6 4 6 6 34 Margaux Bacro-Duverger '17
Katherine Bozzuti '16
Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 8 8 7 8 7 7 45 Brent Deangelis '16 [1-6]
Grant Johnson '18 [1-2]
Stephanie Miller '15 [3-4]
Morgan Firing '17 [5-6]
The Citadel The Citadel Citadel 3 1 2 7 8 8 49 MRP Jared Chrysostom '15
Scott Bidwell '16
East Carolina University East Carolina University Pirates 9 9 9 9 9 9 54 Landon Winstead Iii '17 [1-6]
Ethan Call '15 [1-2, 5-6]
Russell Hunnicutt '16 [3-4]
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 10 DNS 10 10 10 10 61 No Show
No Show
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 1 1 1 1 1 1 6 Tily Milburn '18
Katie Dowling '16
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 3 4 3 3 2 5 20 Mark Thompson '18
Annalisa Kristoffersen '15
Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 5 3 5 4 3 2 22 Vincent Miao '18 [1-6]
Isabel Szawiola '17 [1-2]
Mackenzie Drazan '18 [3-4]
Jacob Dooris '17 [5-6]
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 4 5 7 5 4 6 31 Kailey Savacool '16 [1-4, 6]
Camryn Darland '18 [5]
Cameron Paul '16 [1-4, 6]
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 6 6 4 7 5 4 32 James Elder '15 [1-2, 5-6]
Joshua Kim '17 [3-4]
Norris Nicholson '18 [1-2]
Scott Claudon '16 [3-6]
East Carolina University East Carolina University Pirates 7 7 6 6 6 3 35 Sarah Parker '18
Stephan Loehr '15
The Citadel The Citadel Citadel 2 2 2 2 7 7 42 MRP Austin Winkler '16
Chase Jones '16
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Coed 8 10 9 9 8 8 52 Tanner Zelman '17
Thomas Kubic '18
Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 9 8 8 10 9 9 53 Jonathan Ashworth '17 [1-6]
Morgan Firing '17 [1-2]
Grant Johnson '18 [3-4]
Stephanie Miller '15 [5-6]
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 10 9 BYE 8 10 BYE 55 Erica Trotter '17
Andrew Dixon '17
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2013 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Tigers112233
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars223344
The CitadelThe Citadel Citadel778899
Duke UniversityDuke University Blue Devils334455
East Carolina UniversityEast Carolina University Pirates445566
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs88991010
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets556677
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack667788
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Coed10101122
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks99101011

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Tigers112233
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars223344
The CitadelThe Citadel Citadel778899
Duke UniversityDuke University Blue Devils334455
East Carolina UniversityEast Carolina University Pirates445566
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs88991010
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets556677
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack667788
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Coed10101122
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks99101011
School / Team SkipperCrew
Auburn University Auburn University Brent Deangelis '16 [1-6] Grant Johnson '18 [1-2]
Stephanie Miller '15 [3-4]
Morgan Firing '17 [5-6]
Tigers Jonathan Ashworth '17 [1-6] Morgan Firing '17 [1-2]
Grant Johnson '18 [3-4]
Stephanie Miller '15 [5-6]
College of Charleston College of Charleston Jack Cusick '17 Kayla Adelman '17
Cougars Tily Milburn '18 Katie Dowling '16
Duke University Duke University Alexander Katsis '14 [1-6] Jacob Dooris '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Louis Garza '17 [3-4]
Blue Devils Vincent Miao '18 [1-6] Isabel Szawiola '17 [1-2]
Mackenzie Drazan '18 [3-4]
Jacob Dooris '17 [5-6]
East Carolina University East Carolina University Landon Winstead Iii '17 [1-6] Ethan Call '15 [1-2, 5-6]
Russell Hunnicutt '16 [3-4]
Pirates Sarah Parker '18 Stephan Loehr '15
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology John Reddaway '15 [1-2, 5-6]
Lauren Yapp '18 [3-4]		 Calvin Chern '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Keenan Nicholson '18 [3-4]
Yellow Jackets James Elder '15 [1-2, 5-6]
Joshua Kim '17 [3-4]		 Norris Nicholson '18 [1-2]
Scott Claudon '16 [3-6]
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University David Rogers '15 Paulina Spencer '16
Wolfpack Mark Thompson '18 Annalisa Kristoffersen '15
The Citadel The Citadel Jared Chrysostom '15 Scott Bidwell '16
Citadel Austin Winkler '16 Chase Jones '16
University of Georgia University of Georgia No Show No Show
Bulldogs Erica Trotter '17 Andrew Dixon '17
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Cassie Todd '16 [1-6] Taylor Wood '18 [1-2]
William Polk '16 [3-6]
Seahawks Kailey Savacool '16 [1-4, 6]
Camryn Darland '18 [5]		 Cameron Paul '16 [1-4, 6]
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Margaux Bacro-Duverger '17 Katherine Bozzuti '16
Coed Tanner Zelman '17 Thomas Kubic '18

Conditions — 10/11/2014 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 76%  ·  Pressure 1016.0 hPa

Temperature

79°F
↑ 82°F   ↓ 71°F
Feels like 84°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.2 kn
avg  ·  max 7.8 kn
Gusts to 18.1 kn
From SW (224°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover14% Sunshine10.7 hrs Humidity76% Pressure1016.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 10 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at UNC Wilmington: a typical day (−0.00)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.09
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.30 ± 0.15)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at UNC Wilmington by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (15 labelled days at UNC Wilmington).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →