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SAISA South Points #5

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 1 22 8 30
2 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 18 27 45
3 New College of Florida New College of Florida Nulls 1 17 45 62
4 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 2 42 20 62
5 Florida State University Florida State University Florida State 25 50 75
6 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Dolphins 49 46 95
7 University of Florida University of Florida Gators 61 40 101
8 New College of Florida New College of Florida Nulls 2 54 52 106
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
New College of Florida New College of Florida Nulls 1 1 1 1 4 3 3 1 3 17 Sophia Schultz '17
Abigail Oakes '15
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 2 2 3 1 1 4 3 2 18 Scott Ewing '18
Katie Berg '17
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 1 4 3 4 2 2 2 4 1 22 Giancarlo Falconi '16
Nick Gangemi '16
Florida State University Florida State University Florida State 3 4 2 5 4 1 2 4 25 Curtis Woodworth '17
Beatriz Dunoyer De Segonzac '18
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 2 5 5 5 3 5 6 7 6 42 Brandon Buonaiuto '17 [1-4]
Benjamin Kaminsky '17 [5-8]
Elizabeth Davoli '18 [1-4]
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Dolphins 6 6 6 6 7 5 5 8 49 Benjamin Tino '16
Alexandria Gagne '18
New College of Florida New College of Florida Nulls 2 7 7 7 7 6 7 6 7 54 Zachary Peralto '18
Miranda Gale '18
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 5 61 Eric Mueth '16
David Jones '16
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 8 Taylor Scheuermann '15
Alexandra Damley-Strnad '17
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 2 4 2 3 2 2 2 3 2 20 Laura Hernandez '15 [1-8]
Geoffrey Calderone '18 [1-4]
Kara Voss '15 [5-8]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 2 3 2 5 7 3 2 3 27 Kristen Walker '17
Tiffany Nicholson '17
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 7 4 8 6 3 4 4 4 40 Thomas Monson '14
David Shim '17
New College of Florida New College of Florida Nulls 1 3 8 4 4 4 8 7 7 45 Cornell Lee '16
Francisco Perez '17
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Dolphins 5 5 7 8 6 5 5 5 46 Matthew Martin '16
Kaileanna Marino-Kohnen '18
Florida State University Florida State University Florida State 6 7 5 7 5 6 8 6 50 Meghan Peltier '16
Kevin Kundiger '16
New College of Florida New College of Florida Nulls 2 8 6 6 3 8 7 6 8 52 Margaret Swerdloff '17
Cora Coleman '18
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators55771133
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Florida State11335577
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Dolphins22886644
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes 166442288
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes 277113355
New College of FloridaNew College of Florida Nulls 133557711
New College of FloridaNew College of Florida Nulls 244228866
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls88664422

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators66882244
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Florida State22446688
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Dolphins11775533
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes 155331177
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes 288224466
New College of FloridaNew College of Florida Nulls 144668822
New College of FloridaNew College of Florida Nulls 233117755
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls77553311

Conditions — 10/11/2014 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 66%  ·  Pressure 1015.3 hPa

Temperature

83°F
↑ 85°F   ↓ 78°F
Feels like 89°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.8 kn
avg  ·  max 9.0 kn
Gusts to 17.5 kn
From ENE (71°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover7% Sunshine10.6 hrs Humidity66% Pressure1015.3 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 10 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at U. Miami: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.08 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.09
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.17 ± 0.15)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at U. Miami by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (20 labelled days at U. Miami).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →