Bowdoin Midweek Invite

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 2 15
2 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 1 30
3 Bates College Bates College Bobcats 41
4 University of New England University of New England Nor'Easters 58
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 2 B 1 1 2 1 5 Julia Rew '16
Emily Kushner Salitan '16
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 2 A 2 2 1 5 10 Sydney Avitia-Jacques '18
No Show
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 1 A 4 4 4 2 14 Michael Kann '19
Eve Allen '19
Bates College Bates College Bobcats A 3 5 3 4 15 Amy Macdonald '18
Mary Ferguson '18
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 1 B 5 3 5 3 16 Emmett Ulian '19
No Show
Bates College Bates College Bobcats B 6 6 8 6 26 Hazel Cashman '18
Tucker Trimble '16
University of New England University of New England Nor'Easters A 7 8 6 7 28 Morgan Lindback '17
Thomas Sniady '17
University of New England University of New England Nor'Easters B 8 7 7 8 30 Samuel Bissonnette '18
Nick Demonte '18
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.160+0.16
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (16 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats1111
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears 12222
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears 23333
University of New EnglandUniversity of New England Nor'Easters4444

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats5555
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears 16666
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears 27777
University of New EnglandUniversity of New England Nor'Easters8888
School / Team SkipperCrew
Bates College Bates College Amy Macdonald '18 Mary Ferguson '18
Bobcats Hazel Cashman '18 Tucker Trimble '16
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Michael Kann '19 Eve Allen '19
Polar Bears 1 Emmett Ulian '19 No Show
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Sydney Avitia-Jacques '18 No Show
Polar Bears 2 Julia Rew '16 Emily Kushner Salitan '16
University of New England University of New England Morgan Lindback '17 Thomas Sniady '17
Nor'Easters Samuel Bissonnette '18 Nick Demonte '18

Conditions — 09/23/2015 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 62%  ·  Pressure 1023.6 hPa

Temperature

65°F
↑ 69°F   ↓ 55°F
Feels like 65°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
2.1 kn
avg  ·  max 5.5 kn
Gusts to 10.7 kn
From W (266°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover3% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity62% Pressure1023.6 hPa

What this breeze does at Bowdoin — from fleet racing

Breeze: W about 5 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In fleet races at Bowdoin in this breeze: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Underdogs’ conditions: in fleet racing here the fleet bunches up and lower-rated boats beat the seeds more often than usual.

Orderliness is how tightly a fleet race’s finishing order follows the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0): positive is the favourites’ day, negative the underdogs’. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day. This event is not a fleet race the rating model scores, so there is no actual value for it: this is what this venue’s fleet racing history says about the breeze on the day, read off the chart at the star. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Bowdoin by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (33 labelled fleet-race days at Bowdoin).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →