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# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 68
2 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 135
3 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 222
4 Providence College Providence College Friars 224
5 Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech 1 265
6 Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech 2 309
7 Wentworth Institute of Technology Wentworth Institute of Technology Leopards 337
8 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 345
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 A 2 1 2 2 2 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 4 2 26 Casey Gowrie '16 [1-8]
Rolfe Glover '16 [9-14]
Leah Fletcher '17 [1-8]
Emily Shanley-Roberts '18 [9-14]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 B 1 3 1 1 1 7 1 3 3 3 8 2 2 6 42 Cameron Holley '19 [1-8]
Taylor Nathanson '18 [9-14]
Ian Morgan '19 [1-8]
Nicholas Giacobbe '19 [9-14]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 A 8 2 10 4 3 1 2 2 6 4 6 7 1 1 57 Aaron Klein '18 [1-8]
Pierre Dupont '16 [9-14]
Lucy Robison '18 [1-8]
Margaret Veltri '20 [9-14]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 B 5 5 7 7 4 2 5 5 2 2 3 DSQ 5 9 78 Samuel Shea '19 [1-8]
Julien Guiot '18 [9-14]
Marie-Louise Schnetz '19 [1-8]
Taylor Hart '19 [9-14]
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats B 7 6 9 3 5 8 6 7 9 13 2 10 3 4 92 James Amaral '19
Ella Cedarholm '19
Providence College Providence College Friars B 3 8 3 9 6 4 7 6 4 9 10 4 12 12 97 Anna Bloomstine '19 [1-8]
Douglas Cassidy '18 [9-14]
Cicely Dahn '19 [1-8]
Maxwell Seferian '18 [9-12]
Kohl Peasley '19 [13-14]
Providence College Providence College Friars A 4 10 6 5 7 5 4 4 14 15 16 14 16 7 127 Tristan Janowicz '16 [1-8]
John Coulter '16 [9-14]
Chloe Kelleher '18 [1-8]
Stephanie Burrell '16 [9-12]
Jackie Degeorgis '19 [13-14]
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats A 12 4 5 6 9 9 11 8 11 7 12 8 15 13 130 Judas Taylor '18
Elliott Greene '19
Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech 1 B 6 9 4 8 11 10 9 10 15 8 9 11 6 14 130 Ryan Baker '15
Adam Camilli '19
Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech 2 A 10 16 15 12 12 13 14 9 5 5 5 5 8 5 134 Liam Shanahan '18
Theodore Lynn '18
Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech 1 A 9 7 12 13 8 11 8 11 10 11 11 3 10 11 135 Frank Egan '18
Alex Deneault '18
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers A 14 11 8 11 15 6 10 14 13 6 7 6 7 10 138 Matthew Schaefer '19
Jules Schellenberg '19
Wentworth Institute of Technology Wentworth Institute of Technology Leopards B 11 13 13 10 10 12 13 13 7 14 14 12 11 15 168 Sean O'Keefe '17
William Whelan '18
Wentworth Institute of Technology Wentworth Institute of Technology Leopards A 13 12 11 14 13 14 12 12 12 10 15 9 14 8 169 Joshua Mandelbaum '17
Alison Siegmann '18
Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech 2 B 16 15 16 16 16 16 15 16 8 12 4 13 9 3 175 Spyros Kasapis '19
Andrew Gregory '18
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers B 15 14 14 15 14 15 16 15 16 16 13 15 13 16 207 Luis Castro Loza '19 [1-8]
Sergio Gratta '18 [9-14]
Evan Bowen '19 [1-8]
Jacqualynn Devore '19 [9-14]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2011 (22 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers11223344556677
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats556677889910101111
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars22334455667788
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 133445566778899
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 24455667788991010
Wentworth Institute of TechnologyWentworth Institute of Technology Leopards66778899101011111212
Worcester Polytechnic InstituteWorcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech 17788991010111112121313
Worcester Polytechnic InstituteWorcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech 2889910101111121213131414

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers99101011111212131314141515
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats1313141415151616112233
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars1010111112121313141415151616
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 111111212131314141515161611
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 2121213131414151516161122
Wentworth Institute of TechnologyWentworth Institute of Technology Leopards14141515161611223344
Worcester Polytechnic InstituteWorcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech 1151516161122334455
Worcester Polytechnic InstituteWorcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech 21616112233445566
School / Team SkipperCrew
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Matthew Schaefer '19 Jules Schellenberg '19
Buccaneers Luis Castro Loza '19 [1-8]
Sergio Gratta '18 [9-14]		 Evan Bowen '19 [1-8]
Jacqualynn Devore '19 [9-14]
Providence College Providence College Tristan Janowicz '16 [1-8]
John Coulter '16 [9-14]		 Chloe Kelleher '18 [1-8]
Stephanie Burrell '16 [9-12]
Jackie Degeorgis '19 [13-14]
Friars Anna Bloomstine '19 [1-8]
Douglas Cassidy '18 [9-14]		 Cicely Dahn '19 [1-8]
Maxwell Seferian '18 [9-12]
Kohl Peasley '19 [13-14]
Tufts University Tufts University Casey Gowrie '16 [1-8]
Rolfe Glover '16 [9-14]		 Leah Fletcher '17 [1-8]
Emily Shanley-Roberts '18 [9-14]
Jumbos 1 Cameron Holley '19 [1-8]
Taylor Nathanson '18 [9-14]		 Ian Morgan '19 [1-8]
Nicholas Giacobbe '19 [9-14]
Tufts University Tufts University Aaron Klein '18 [1-8]
Pierre Dupont '16 [9-14]		 Lucy Robison '18 [1-8]
Margaret Veltri '20 [9-14]
Jumbos 2 Samuel Shea '19 [1-8]
Julien Guiot '18 [9-14]		 Marie-Louise Schnetz '19 [1-8]
Taylor Hart '19 [9-14]
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Judas Taylor '18 Elliott Greene '19
Wildcats James Amaral '19 Ella Cedarholm '19
Wentworth Institute of Technology Wentworth Institute of Technology Joshua Mandelbaum '17 Alison Siegmann '18
Leopards Sean O'Keefe '17 William Whelan '18
Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytechnic Institute Frank Egan '18 Alex Deneault '18
Worcester Polytech 1 Ryan Baker '15 Adam Camilli '19
Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytechnic Institute Liam Shanahan '18 Theodore Lynn '18
Worcester Polytech 2 Spyros Kasapis '19 Andrew Gregory '18

Conditions — 09/26/2015 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 58%  ·  Pressure 1032.3 hPa

Temperature

61°F
↑ 62°F   ↓ 58°F
Feels like 54°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
12.7 kn
avg  ·  max 13.5 kn
Gusts to 26.6 kn
From NE (41°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover96% Sunshine10.7 hrs Humidity58% Pressure1032.3 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 17 kn · E 6 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Mass Maritime: a favourites’ day (+0.07)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.07 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.14
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.32 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Mass Maritime by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (46 labelled days at Mass Maritime).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →