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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 13 10 23
2 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 8 22 30
3 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 23 12 35
4 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 19 17 36
5 University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds SC 29 29 58
6 Lewis and Clark College Lewis and Clark College Pioneers 40 39 79
7 Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 3 41 42 83
8 Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 2 43 45 88
9 Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 1 60 60 120
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 8 Shaan Shridhar '19
Veronica Owen '18
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 1 3 2 1 2 4 13 Ezra Boyer '18
Joanna Garcia '19
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 4 2 4 3 3 3 19 No Show
Mitchel Bolin '19
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 3 4 3 4 7 2 23 Gabrielle Rigby '19
Xana Waughman '19
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds SC 5 5 5 5 4 5 29 Laura Stewart '17
No Show
Lewis and Clark College Lewis and Clark College Pioneers 8 8 6 6 5 7 40 Emily Hayes-Rich '18
Robin Gropp '16
Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 3 6 6 7 8 8 6 41 Abby Schamp '18
Alexander Muschler '16
Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 2 7 7 8 7 6 8 43 No Show
Joseph Reinisch '17
Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 1 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 60 No Show
No Show
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 2 1 1 4 1 1 10 Connor Hughes '19
Johanna Mannisto '18
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 1 2 2 3 2 2 12 Brendan Kaplan '19
Nikoline Alden '18
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 3 3 4 1 3 3 17 Dillon Kilroy '19
Tailor Smith '18
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 4 5 3 2 4 4 22 Audrey Jacobs '18
Rachel Cohen '19
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds SC 5 4 5 5 5 5 29 No Show
Sandra Macko '18
Lewis and Clark College Lewis and Clark College Pioneers 6 6 7 8 6 6 39 Schuyler Jones '17 [1-6]
Emily Hayes-Rich '18 [1-3, 5-6]
Haines Whitacre '16 [4]
Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 3 7 7 8 6 7 7 42 No Show
No Show
Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 2 8 8 6 7 8 8 45 Mitchell Baertlein '17
Quanah Green '18
Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 1 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 60 No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.150+0.15
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2015 (5 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds SC888888
Lewis and Clark CollegeLewis and Clark College Pioneers999999
Oregon State UniversityOregon State University Beavers 1333333
Oregon State UniversityOregon State University Beavers 2444444
Oregon State UniversityOregon State University Beavers 3555555
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 1666666
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 2777777
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 1111111
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 2222222

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds SC888888
Lewis and Clark CollegeLewis and Clark College Pioneers999999
Oregon State UniversityOregon State University Beavers 1333333
Oregon State UniversityOregon State University Beavers 2444444
Oregon State UniversityOregon State University Beavers 3555555
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 1666666
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 2777777
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 1111111
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 2222222

Conditions — 11/14/2015 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 96%  ·  Pressure 1007.0 hPa

Temperature

44°F
↑ 45°F   ↓ 42°F
Feels like 40°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.1 kn
avg  ·  max 5.0 kn
Gusts to 10.1 kn
From ESE (118°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.0 hrs Humidity96% Pressure1007.0 hPa Rain0.15 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 5 kn · SW 7 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Western Washington: a favourites’ day (+0.03)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.13 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.17
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.67 ± 0.24)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Western Washington by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (23 labelled days at Western Washington).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →