Kathryn Hammond

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2 21 25 46
2 Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Rudders Rudders 24 33 57
3 Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Rev's Roll Tacks 41 21 62
4 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1 41 43 84
5 Rice University Rice University Owls 35 63 98
6 University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 2 57 48 105
7 University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 1 61 47 108
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2 1 6 1 2 2 4 2 1 1 1 21 Alex Schwinn '19
Mariana Perrigo '18
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Rudders Rudders 3 1 3 1 1 3 1 2 4 5 24 Bradley Shaw '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Benjamin Lipari '18 [3-4, 7-10]
Hunter Meis '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Walter Pospick '17 [3-4, 7-8]
Bradley Shaw '16 [9-10]
Rice University Rice University Owls 2 3 2 4 4 2 3 6 6 3 35 No Show
Kristina Dickman '18
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Rev's Roll Tacks 4 4 6 6 3 1 5 5 3 4 41 Erin Hawk '16 [1-10]
Sevanna Stewart '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Megan Carugati '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1 5 5 4 3 5 6 6 3 2 2 41 Ryan Murphy '15
Aspen Spiker '19
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 2 7 7 5 5 7 7 4 4 5 6 57 Ashlynd Epstein '16 [1-10]
Carolyn Fan '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Brinley Kranz '16 [3-4, 7-8]
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 1 6 2 7 7 6 5 7 7 7 7 61 George Walters '18 [1-6]
Suvan Cabraal '19 [7-10]
Suvan Cabraal '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Jacob O'Shea '19 [3-4, 7-8]
George Walters '18 [9-10]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Rev's Roll Tacks 2 2 1 2 3 4 1 1 2 3 21 Tracy Hawk '16 [1-10]
Catherine Bristow '17 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Alexandra Oyston '18 [3-4, 7-8]
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2 3 1 3 1 6 1 2 3 4 1 25 Thomas Braly '19
Chris Stuewer '19
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Rudders Rudders 4 4 2 6 2 2 6 2 3 2 33 Christopher Suarez '18 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Morgan Frakes '17 [3-4, 7-8]
Colton Hard '19 [1-2]
Carson Pepper '17 [3-4, 7-8]
Raymond Hamilton '19 [5-6, 9-10]
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1 5 3 4 3 1 3 7 6 6 5 43 Haley Walker '18
Amanda Olson '19
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 1 1 5 7 4 4 5 3 7 7 4 47 Simon Varga '17 [1-6]
Ron Joseph Lastimosa '16 [7-10]
Ron Joseph Lastimosa '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Alec Chappetta '18 [3-4, 9-10]
Sam Robbins '18 [7-8]
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 2 6 6 5 5 5 6 4 4 1 6 48 Caroline Bik '19 [1-6]
Lisanne Hoekstra '17 [7-10]
Madeline Daniell '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Lisanne Hoekstra '17 [3-4]
Caroline Bik '19 [7-8]
Rice University Rice University Owls 7 7 6 7 7 7 5 5 5 7 63 Elena Busch '18 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Zelun Wang '16 [3-4, 7-8]
Junyi Liu '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2010 (34 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Rice UniversityRice University Owls1122334455
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns 17788112233
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns 28811223344
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Rev's Roll Tacks3344556677
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Rudders Rudders2233445566
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 14455667788
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 25566778811

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Rice UniversityRice University Owls1122334455
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns 17788112233
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns 28811223344
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Rev's Roll Tacks3344556677
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Rudders Rudders2233445566
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 14455667788
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 25566778811
School / Team SkipperCrew
Rice University Rice University No Show Kristina Dickman '18
Owls Elena Busch '18 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Zelun Wang '16 [3-4, 7-8]
Junyi Liu '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Erin Hawk '16 [1-10] Sevanna Stewart '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Megan Carugati '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Rev's Roll Tacks Tracy Hawk '16 [1-10] Catherine Bristow '17 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Alexandra Oyston '18 [3-4, 7-8]
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Bradley Shaw '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Benjamin Lipari '18 [3-4, 7-10]
Hunter Meis '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Walter Pospick '17 [3-4, 7-8]
Bradley Shaw '16 [9-10]
Rudders Rudders Christopher Suarez '18 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Morgan Frakes '17 [3-4, 7-8]
Colton Hard '19 [1-2]
Carson Pepper '17 [3-4, 7-8]
Raymond Hamilton '19 [5-6, 9-10]
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Ryan Murphy '15 Aspen Spiker '19
Aggies 1 Haley Walker '18 Amanda Olson '19
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Alex Schwinn '19 Mariana Perrigo '18
Aggies 2 Thomas Braly '19 Chris Stuewer '19
University of Texas University of Texas George Walters '18 [1-6]
Suvan Cabraal '19 [7-10]
Suvan Cabraal '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Jacob O'Shea '19 [3-4, 7-8]
George Walters '18 [9-10]
Longhorns 1 Simon Varga '17 [1-6]
Ron Joseph Lastimosa '16 [7-10]
Ron Joseph Lastimosa '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Alec Chappetta '18 [3-4, 9-10]
Sam Robbins '18 [7-8]
University of Texas University of Texas Ashlynd Epstein '16 [1-10] Carolyn Fan '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Brinley Kranz '16 [3-4, 7-8]
Longhorns 2 Caroline Bik '19 [1-6]
Lisanne Hoekstra '17 [7-10]
Madeline Daniell '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Lisanne Hoekstra '17 [3-4]
Caroline Bik '19 [7-8]

Conditions — 10/31/2015 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 78%  ·  Pressure 1008.0 hPa

Temperature

72°F
↑ 76°F   ↓ 68°F
Feels like 74°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.2 kn
avg  ·  max 9.5 kn
Gusts to 18.5 kn
From N (351°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover89% Sunshine7.7 hrs Humidity78% Pressure1008.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 11 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Texas: a favourites’ day (+0.08)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.10 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.19
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.22 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.08 means a rating gap counts about 7% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Texas by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (19 labelled days at Texas).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →