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SAISA North Points #5

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 15 7 22
2 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 12 22 34
3 Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 9 39 48
4 Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 31 19 50
5 University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 42 15 57
6 Davidson College Davidson College Wildcats 25 38 63
7 University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 51 18 69
8 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 30 43 73
9 University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Coed 39 41 80
10 Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 38 45 83
11 Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt 44 46 90
12 University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 56 57 113
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 3 1 2 2 1 9 John Roberts '17
Mateo Gomez '17
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 2 3 1 4 2 12 Marten Kendrick '15 [1-2]
Conner Killham '18 [3-5]
Andres Menendez '17 [1-2]
Hannah Gersch '19 [3-5]
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 1 2 4 1 7 15 Carter Cameron '19
Annabel Carrington '19
Davidson College Davidson College Wildcats 4 6 7 5 3 25 Clifford Gilman '19
James Macleod '19
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 7 7 8 3 5 30 Elijah Jones '18
Jillian Tucker '15
Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 5 4 3 6 OCS 31 Alexander Katsis '14
David Eacho '18
Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 8 8 5 7 10 38 Brent Deangelis '16
No Show
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Coed 6 11 10 8 4 39 Jack Gonzales '18 [1-2]
Mackey Leventis '19 [3-5]
Katherine Bozzuti '16 [1-2]
Hayley Mallett '19 [3-5]
University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 9 5 12 10 6 42 Matthew Art '18
Christopher Haseler '18
Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt 11 10 6 9 8 44 Simon Elliott '18
Lauren Ballejos '18
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 10 12 9 11 9 51 Taylor Wood '18 [1-5]
William Polk '16 [1-2]
Kate Rowe '17 [3-5]
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs DNF 9 11 12 11 56 Timothy Dewitt '17 [1-2]
Erica Trotter '17 [3-5]
Benjamin Tonks '19 [1-2]
Paige Bihary '18 [3]
Jennifer Cahalan '19 [4-5]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 1 3 1 1 1 7 Rhone Findlay '19
Katherine Matheson '18
University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 2 1 3 6 3 15 Chandler Hill '19
Luke Schwarzentraub '17
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 3 6 5 2 2 18 Alex Jones '19 [1-5]
James Ahern '19 [1-4]
Brendan Bennett '19 [5]
Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 4 4 2 5 4 19 John Sipp '18 [1-5]
Emily Davis '19 [1, 4-5]
Drew Webster '19 [2-3]
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 5 2 4 4 7 22 Jack Sparkman '19 [1-3]
James Elder '15 [4-5]
Chris Walton '16 [1-3]
Haley Chenot '18 [4-5]
Davidson College Davidson College Wildcats 7 9 10 7 5 38 Ryan Welch '16
Jeneshia Washington-Hughes '18
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 6 12 12 3 6 39 Cameron Rylance '19 [1-3]
Abbie Probst '19 [4-5]
Phillip Burkhardt '18 [1-3]
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Coed 11 5 6 9 10 41 Alex Myers '19 [1-3]
Christopher Hamberger '18 [4-5]
Brooke Hagler '18 [1-3]
Katherine Bozzuti '16 [4-5]
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 8 8 9 10 8 43 Jack Cummings '18
Melissa Mcbride '19
Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 10 10 8 8 9 45 Shawn Majzlik '18
Thomas Bracken '19
Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt 9 7 7 12 11 46 Shane Selig '15 [1-3]
Elliot Taillon '17 [4-5]
Elliot Taillon '17 [1-3]
Marian Montano '18 [4-5]
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 12 11 11 11 12 57 Jennifer Post '16
Halie Obrien '17
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.140+0.14
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2013 (16 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Tigers11223
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars33445
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers22334
Davidson CollegeDavidson College Wildcats44556
Duke UniversityDuke University Blue Devils55667
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs889910
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets66778
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack77889
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Coed1010111112
University of TennesseeUniversity of Tennessee Volunteers111112121
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks99101011
Vanderbilt UniversityVanderbilt University Vanderbilt1212112

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Tigers11223
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars33445
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers22334
Davidson CollegeDavidson College Wildcats44556
Duke UniversityDuke University Blue Devils55667
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs889910
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets66778
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack77889
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Coed1010111112
University of TennesseeUniversity of Tennessee Volunteers111112121
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks99101011
Vanderbilt UniversityVanderbilt University Vanderbilt1212112
School / Team SkipperCrew
Auburn University Auburn University Brent Deangelis '16 No Show
Tigers Shawn Majzlik '18 Thomas Bracken '19
Clemson University Clemson University John Roberts '17 Mateo Gomez '17
Tigers Cameron Rylance '19 [1-3]
Abbie Probst '19 [4-5]		 Phillip Burkhardt '18 [1-3]
College of Charleston College of Charleston Carter Cameron '19 Annabel Carrington '19
Cougars Rhone Findlay '19 Katherine Matheson '18
Davidson College Davidson College Clifford Gilman '19 James Macleod '19
Wildcats Ryan Welch '16 Jeneshia Washington-Hughes '18
Duke University Duke University Alexander Katsis '14 David Eacho '18
Blue Devils John Sipp '18 [1-5] Emily Davis '19 [1, 4-5]
Drew Webster '19 [2-3]
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Marten Kendrick '15 [1-2]
Conner Killham '18 [3-5]		 Andres Menendez '17 [1-2]
Hannah Gersch '19 [3-5]
Yellow Jackets Jack Sparkman '19 [1-3]
James Elder '15 [4-5]		 Chris Walton '16 [1-3]
Haley Chenot '18 [4-5]
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Elijah Jones '18 Jillian Tucker '15
Wolfpack Jack Cummings '18 Melissa Mcbride '19
University of Georgia University of Georgia Timothy Dewitt '17 [1-2]
Erica Trotter '17 [3-5]		 Benjamin Tonks '19 [1-2]
Paige Bihary '18 [3]
Jennifer Cahalan '19 [4-5]
Bulldogs Jennifer Post '16 Halie Obrien '17
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Taylor Wood '18 [1-5] William Polk '16 [1-2]
Kate Rowe '17 [3-5]
Seahawks Alex Jones '19 [1-5] James Ahern '19 [1-4]
Brendan Bennett '19 [5]
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Jack Gonzales '18 [1-2]
Mackey Leventis '19 [3-5]		 Katherine Bozzuti '16 [1-2]
Hayley Mallett '19 [3-5]
Coed Alex Myers '19 [1-3]
Christopher Hamberger '18 [4-5]		 Brooke Hagler '18 [1-3]
Katherine Bozzuti '16 [4-5]
University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Matthew Art '18 Christopher Haseler '18
Volunteers Chandler Hill '19 Luke Schwarzentraub '17
Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt University Simon Elliott '18 Lauren Ballejos '18
Vanderbilt Shane Selig '15 [1-3]
Elliot Taillon '17 [4-5]		 Elliot Taillon '17 [1-3]
Marian Montano '18 [4-5]

Conditions — 10/17/2015 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 46%  ·  Pressure 1024.2 hPa

Temperature

60°F
↑ 65°F   ↓ 46°F
Feels like 54°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.8 kn
avg  ·  max 9.1 kn
Gusts to 18.9 kn
From NNW (342°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover8% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity46% Pressure1024.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Georgia Tech: a typical day (−0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.12 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.10
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.11 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Georgia Tech by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 5 labelled days at Georgia Tech, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →