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Buckeye Invite

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 22 22 44
2 Denison University Denison University Big Red 26 28 54
3 Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 1 30 32 62
4 Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 2 23 46 69
5 Ohio University Ohio University Bobcats 54 24 78
6 University of Toledo University of Toledo Rockets 46 GDQ 33 GDQ 79 GDQ
7 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 43 GDQ 41 GDQ 84 GDQ
8 Miami University Miami University RedHawks 37 57 94
9 Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Broncos 64 GDQ 64 GDQ 128 GDQ
10 Northern Michigan University Northern Michigan University Wildcats 60 77 MRP 137 MRP
11 Husky One Husky One Husky One 92 MRP 92 MRP 184 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 2 4 3 2 6 5 22 Rachel Rantanen '19 [1-6]
Jack Brieton '18 [1-2]
Micalah Blohm '19 [3-4]
Ben Arnold '19 [5-6]
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 2 1 5 1 1 7 8 23 Brittany Mosgo '17 [1-2]
Molly Disbrow '18 [3-6]
Abbey Dial '20 [1-2]
Denison University Denison University Big Red 4 2 5 7 4 4 26 Margot Sherman Jollis '18
Hanora Lucey '19
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 1 5 6 7 8 2 2 30 Monica Julian '17
Candace Lincoln '17
Miami University Miami University RedHawks DNF 3 8 5 3 6 37 Mark Barrow '18
Mary Bush '20
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers DNF 1 2 4 1 3 43 GDQ Scott Sullivan '19 [1-6]
Benjamin Witman '16 [1-4]
Logan Pearlman '20 [5-6]
University of Toledo University of Toledo Rockets 3 8 6 3 5 1 46 GDQ Colin Mackay '17 [1-6]
Delaney Imbler '17 [1-2]
Craig Mueller '19 [3-4]
Evon Deprey '17 [5-6]
Ohio University Ohio University Bobcats 6 9 DNF 9 9 9 54 Andrew Atkins '19
Austin Erickson '17
Northern Michigan University Northern Michigan University Wildcats 7 10 9 10 DNF DNS 60 Ian Pope '19
Hunter Bronkema '18
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Broncos DNF 7 4 6 8 7 64 GDQ Austin Lee '17 [1-6]
Mckenzie Frame '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Jack Greve '15 [3-4]
Husky One Husky One Husky One DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 92 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 1 1 9 8 2 1 22 Grant Gustafson '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Noah Marzke '20 [3-4]
Nicholas Corsi '19 [1-2]
Rebecca Meyer '19 [3-4]
Bradley Grost '19 [5-6]
Ohio University Ohio University Bobcats 4 5 2 5 5 3 24 Dick Chantz '18
Andrew Kerr '19
Denison University Denison University Big Red 6 2 4 3 6 7 28 John Bennet '18
Sam Ferrone '19
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 1 8 4 6 6 3 5 32 Adam Sturgeon '18
Christopher Weller '20
University of Toledo University of Toledo Rockets 3 3 3 1 1 2 33 GDQ Drew Blackburn '17 [1-2]
John Lowry '19 [3-6]
Carrington Gelardi '18 [1-2]
Zach Mercer '20 [3-6]
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 2 6 1 4 4 4 41 GDQ Katherine Zimmerman '18
Charlie Childs '19
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 2 5 8 8 9 8 8 46 Stacey Nash '17
Noah Porschart '18
Miami University Miami University RedHawks 7 7 7 DNS DNF DNS 57 Brittany Nordhaus '17
Andela Barun '20
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Broncos 9 10 5 7 7 6 64 GDQ Drake Hullinger '17 [1-6]
Casey Mcvoy '20 [1-2, 5-6]
David Resnick '18 [3-4]
Northern Michigan University Northern Michigan University Wildcats 10 9 DNF 2 DNS DNS 77 MRP Benjamin Diamond '18 [1-6]
Hazel Foster '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Annmarie Kent '17 [3-4]
Husky One Husky One Husky One DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 92 MRP
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.130+0.13
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (14 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Denison UniversityDenison University Big Red44881010
Miami UniversityMiami University RedHawks77991717
Michigan State UniversityMichigan State University Spartans8810101818
Husky OneHusky One Husky One9917171919
Northern Michigan UniversityNorthern Michigan University Wildcats101018182121
Ohio UniversityOhio University Bobcats1919222244
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes 1171719192222
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes 2181821212323
University of ToledoUniversity of Toledo Rockets2121232377
Western Michigan UniversityWestern Michigan University Broncos23237799
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers22224488

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Denison UniversityDenison University Big Red77991717
Miami UniversityMiami University RedHawks8810101818
Michigan State UniversityMichigan State University Spartans9917171919
Husky OneHusky One Husky One101018182121
Northern Michigan UniversityNorthern Michigan University Wildcats171719192222
Ohio UniversityOhio University Bobcats2121232377
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes 1181821212323
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes 21919222244
University of ToledoUniversity of Toledo Rockets22224488
Western Michigan UniversityWestern Michigan University Broncos44881010
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers23237799
School / Team SkipperCrew
Denison University Denison University Margot Sherman Jollis '18 Hanora Lucey '19
Big Red John Bennet '18 Sam Ferrone '19
Miami University Miami University Mark Barrow '18 Mary Bush '20
RedHawks Brittany Nordhaus '17 Andela Barun '20
Michigan State University Michigan State University Rachel Rantanen '19 [1-6] Jack Brieton '18 [1-2]
Micalah Blohm '19 [3-4]
Ben Arnold '19 [5-6]
Spartans Grant Gustafson '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Noah Marzke '20 [3-4]		 Nicholas Corsi '19 [1-2]
Rebecca Meyer '19 [3-4]
Bradley Grost '19 [5-6]
Northern Michigan University Northern Michigan University Ian Pope '19 Hunter Bronkema '18
Wildcats Benjamin Diamond '18 [1-6] Hazel Foster '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Annmarie Kent '17 [3-4]
Ohio State University Ohio State University Monica Julian '17 Candace Lincoln '17
Buckeyes 1 Adam Sturgeon '18 Christopher Weller '20
Ohio State University Ohio State University Brittany Mosgo '17 [1-2]
Molly Disbrow '18 [3-6]		 Abbey Dial '20 [1-2]
Buckeyes 2 Stacey Nash '17 Noah Porschart '18
Ohio University Ohio University Andrew Atkins '19 Austin Erickson '17
Bobcats Dick Chantz '18 Andrew Kerr '19
University of Toledo University of Toledo Colin Mackay '17 [1-6] Delaney Imbler '17 [1-2]
Craig Mueller '19 [3-4]
Evon Deprey '17 [5-6]
Rockets Drew Blackburn '17 [1-2]
John Lowry '19 [3-6]		 Carrington Gelardi '18 [1-2]
Zach Mercer '20 [3-6]
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Scott Sullivan '19 [1-6] Benjamin Witman '16 [1-4]
Logan Pearlman '20 [5-6]
Badgers Katherine Zimmerman '18 Charlie Childs '19
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Austin Lee '17 [1-6] Mckenzie Frame '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Jack Greve '15 [3-4]
Broncos Drake Hullinger '17 [1-6] Casey Mcvoy '20 [1-2, 5-6]
David Resnick '18 [3-4]

Conditions — 09/17/2016 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 72%  ·  Pressure 1015.7 hPa

Temperature

77°F
↑ 82°F   ↓ 71°F
Feels like 79°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.7 kn
avg  ·  max 13.9 kn
Gusts to 30.1 kn
From SSW (210°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover88% Sunshine5.6 hrs Humidity72% Pressure1015.7 hPa Rain0.03 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 13 kn · S 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Ohio State: an underdogs’ day (−0.06)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.12 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.06
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.17 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Ohio State by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 9 labelled days at Ohio State, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →