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Pere Marquette

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 30 24 54
2 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 1 33 23 56
3 University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers 19 39 58
4 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 2 48 20 68
5 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 3 42 26 68
6 Lake Forest College Lake Forest College Foresters 28 43 71
7 University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 39 57 96
8 Marquette University Marquette University MU Blue 47 62 109
9 Marquette University Marquette University MU White 68 67 135
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers 5 2 2 1 1 2 5 1 19 Parker Trepton '18 [1-8]
Jordyn Noennig '17 [1-2]
Dylan Morris '20 [3-4]
Leah Fairbert '20 [5-6]
Brett Hutchinson '19 [7-8]
Lake Forest College Lake Forest College Foresters 2 1 1 2 3 1 9 9 28 Alexander O'Grady '17 [1-6]
Charles Koules '17 [7-8]
Emily Morris '17 [1-6]
Vivianna Sophia Lane '19 [7-8]
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 3 3 3 4 4 5 1 7 30 Isabella Hamilton '17 [1-8]
Maya Smith '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Bailey Adkins '19 [3-4, 7-8]
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 1 4 5 6 5 2 3 6 2 33 Tom Groskopf '19
Katharine Madigan '20
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 1 4 8 7 BYE 4 4 6 39 Christian Cyrul '20 [1-8]
Thomas Yaeger Jr '18 [1-2, 5-6]
James Kennedy '20 [3-4, 7-8]
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 3 7 8 5 3 6 8 2 3 42 Ari Tessitore '17
Thomas Kelly '20
Marquette University Marquette University MU Blue 8 6 4 8 BKD 7 3 5 47 Bobby Sessions '20 [1-8]
Carley Korte '20 [1-2, 7-8]
Hannah Menz '18 [3-6]
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 2 6 7 7 6 5 6 7 4 48 James Sitter '17 [1-8]
Emma Zalog '20 [1-6]
Drew Hollender '18 [7-8]
Marquette University Marquette University MU White 9 9 9 9 7 9 8 8 68 Patrick Barry '17 [1-8]
Katie Baach '19 [1-2]
Amy Carbonneau '17 [3-6]
Frank Mazur '20 [7-8]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 2 2 1 1 2 4 6 1 3 20 Katherine Zimmerman '18 [1-8]
Elizabeth Ciborowski '17 [1-4, 7-8]
Charlie Childs '19 [5-6]
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 1 1 4 4 3 1 1 5 4 23 Noah Janssen '19 [1-8]
Susan Luo '17 [1-4]
Soren Hughes '18 [5-8]
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 3 2 6 4 2 3 3 1 24 Eric Villadsen '17
Ryan Sigurdson '18
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 3 5 BKD 2 1 7 2 4 2 26 Scott Sazama '20 [1-8]
Brianna Probst '20 [1-4]
Chris Haisch '19 [5-8]
University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers 4 5 5 5 5 4 6 5 39 Susie Voltz '19
Ben Scotty '19
Lake Forest College Lake Forest College Foresters 7 3 3 DSQ 3 5 2 OCS 43 Isabel Regine '17
Paul Dunham '17
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 6 7 9 8 6 7 7 7 57 Molly Lafave '19 [1-2, 7-8]
Jacob Hoyt '17 [3-6]
Kathryn Powell '20 [1-2, 7-8]
Christian Green '20 [3-4]
John Porter '17 [5-6]
Marquette University Marquette University MU Blue 9 9 7 6 9 8 8 6 62 Learon Mcginn '19 [1-8]
Olivia Menzia '19 [1-2]
Evan Boutelle '19 [3-4]
Claire Heneghan '19 [5-8]
Marquette University Marquette University MU White 8 8 8 7 8 9 9 OCS 67 John O'Rourke '17 [1-4]
Kathleen O'Shea '18 [5-6]
Owen Bradley '18 [7-8]
Claire Christensen '20 [1-4]
Marshall Newman '20 [5-6]
Sydney Eger '20 [7-8]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.200+0.20
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2013 (18 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Lake Forest CollegeLake Forest College Foresters1132325151
Marquette UniversityMarquette University MU Blue8838385252
Marquette UniversityMarquette University MU White323251518181
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Gophers883838525211
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish323251518181
University of Wisconsin MilwaukeeUniversity of Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers8181883838
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers 13838525211
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers 25151818188
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers 35252113232

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Lake Forest CollegeLake Forest College Foresters8838385252
Marquette UniversityMarquette University MU Blue323251518181
Marquette UniversityMarquette University MU White883838525211
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Gophers323251518181
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish3838525211
University of Wisconsin MilwaukeeUniversity of Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers1132325151
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers 15151818188
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers 25252113232
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers 38181883838
School / Team SkipperCrew
Lake Forest College Lake Forest College Alexander O'Grady '17 [1-6]
Charles Koules '17 [7-8]		 Emily Morris '17 [1-6]
Vivianna Sophia Lane '19 [7-8]
Foresters Isabel Regine '17 Paul Dunham '17
Marquette University Marquette University Bobby Sessions '20 [1-8] Carley Korte '20 [1-2, 7-8]
Hannah Menz '18 [3-6]
MU Blue Learon Mcginn '19 [1-8] Olivia Menzia '19 [1-2]
Evan Boutelle '19 [3-4]
Claire Heneghan '19 [5-8]
Marquette University Marquette University Patrick Barry '17 [1-8] Katie Baach '19 [1-2]
Amy Carbonneau '17 [3-6]
Frank Mazur '20 [7-8]
MU White John O'Rourke '17 [1-4]
Kathleen O'Shea '18 [5-6]
Owen Bradley '18 [7-8]		 Claire Christensen '20 [1-4]
Marshall Newman '20 [5-6]
Sydney Eger '20 [7-8]
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Isabella Hamilton '17 [1-8] Maya Smith '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Bailey Adkins '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Gophers Eric Villadsen '17 Ryan Sigurdson '18
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Christian Cyrul '20 [1-8] Thomas Yaeger Jr '18 [1-2, 5-6]
James Kennedy '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Fighting Irish Molly Lafave '19 [1-2, 7-8]
Jacob Hoyt '17 [3-6]		 Kathryn Powell '20 [1-2, 7-8]
Christian Green '20 [3-4]
John Porter '17 [5-6]
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Tom Groskopf '19 Katharine Madigan '20
Badgers 1 Noah Janssen '19 [1-8] Susan Luo '17 [1-4]
Soren Hughes '18 [5-8]
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin James Sitter '17 [1-8] Emma Zalog '20 [1-6]
Drew Hollender '18 [7-8]
Badgers 2 Katherine Zimmerman '18 [1-8] Elizabeth Ciborowski '17 [1-4, 7-8]
Charlie Childs '19 [5-6]
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Ari Tessitore '17 Thomas Kelly '20
Badgers 3 Scott Sazama '20 [1-8] Brianna Probst '20 [1-4]
Chris Haisch '19 [5-8]
University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee Parker Trepton '18 [1-8] Jordyn Noennig '17 [1-2]
Dylan Morris '20 [3-4]
Leah Fairbert '20 [5-6]
Brett Hutchinson '19 [7-8]
Panthers Susie Voltz '19 Ben Scotty '19

Conditions — 10/01/2016 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 77%  ·  Pressure 1021.8 hPa

Temperature

60°F
↑ 61°F   ↓ 57°F
Feels like 58°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.3 kn
avg  ·  max 6.2 kn
Gusts to 22.9 kn
From NE (49°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover79% Sunshine9.1 hrs Humidity77% Pressure1021.8 hPa Rain0.02 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 8 kn · W 5 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Marquette: a typical day (+0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.05 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.07
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.17 ± 0.15)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Marquette by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 13 labelled days at Marquette, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →