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Aggie Fall

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 34 15 49
2 University of North Texas University of North Texas North Texas 12 39 51
3 Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 27 27 54
4 Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 23 36 59
5 University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 1 41 21 62
6 University of Central Oklahoma University of Central Oklahoma Bronchos 42 50 92
7 University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 2 51 41 92
8 Loyola University New Orleans Loyola University New Orleans Wolfpack 55 60 115
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of North Texas University of North Texas North Texas 2 1 4 1 1 1 1 1 12 Forrest Short '17 [1-8]
Colby Zschiesche '20 [1-2, 7-8]
Brendan Frederick '21 [3-4]
Michael Coyle '20 [5-6]
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 1 4 5 2 4 2 2 3 23 David Graf '19 [1-8]
Grace Bloomfield '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Savannah Bush '21 [3-4, 7-8]
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 3 2 7 4 2 4 3 2 27 Benjamin Lipari '18 [1-2, 5-8]
Daniel Kendrick '19 [3-4]
Trenton Seely '18 [1-2]
Amelia Knapp '21 [3-4]
Austin Halvorson '18 [5-6]
Ethan Reeder '20 [7-8]
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 8 3 1 5 3 6 4 4 34 Haley Walker '18
Amanda Olson '19
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 1 7 5 3 3 RDG 5 5 8 41 Emily Verdoia '20 [1-7]
Karina Bertelsmann '22 [8]
Karina Bertelsmann '22 [1-2, 5-7]
Kaitlin Fuqua '20 [3-4]
Emily Verdoia '20 [8]
University of Central Oklahoma University of Central Oklahoma Bronchos 4 8 2 7 6 3 6 6 42 Mikasa Barnes '17
Marissa Thelen '19
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 2 6 7 6 6 5 7 7 7 51 Michael Hernandez '20 [1-8]
Mckenzie Kotara '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Shahryar Hasnani '21 [3-4, 7-8]
Loyola University New Orleans Loyola University New Orleans Wolfpack 5 6 8 8 7 8 8 5 55 Sofia Giordano '20 [1-8]
Ben Goldberg '21 [1-3]
Robert Broyles '19 [4-8]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2 2 2 2 1 1 3 2 15 Andrew Essenburgh '19
Hayden Montoya '21
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 1 3 1 1 3 2 5 1 5 21 Caroline Bik '19 [1-8]
Lillian Andersen '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Mariana Caldas '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 1 3 DSQ 1 3 4 5 1 27 Meiling Chan Chow '20 [1-4]
Alexandra Oyston '18 [5-8]
Gabby Spring '20 [1-2, 5-8]
Shelby Click '18 [3-4]
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 6 6 3 5 6 3 4 3 36 Sean Tichenor '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Clementine Furber '21 [3-4, 7-8]
Kate Lenhard '21 [1-2, 5-6]
William Hoover '20 [3-4, 7-8]
University of North Texas University of North Texas North Texas 4 4 5 4 5 2 8 7 39 Emma Cooledge '20 [1-8]
Dominique Sarquis Peillard '20 [1-2, 7-8]
Michael Coyle '20 [3-4]
Adithya Pillai '17 [5-6]
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 2 5 5 6 6 7 6 2 4 41 Carter Young '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Aaron Comen '18 [3-4, 7-8]
Frederik Winguth '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Jordin Perry '20 [3-4, 7-8]
University of Central Oklahoma University of Central Oklahoma Bronchos 7 8 4 7 4 7 7 6 50 Jordan Johnson '18
Cheyenne Christy '19
Loyola University New Orleans Loyola University New Orleans Wolfpack 8 7 7 8 8 8 6 8 60 Amy Waguespack '20 [1-8]
Vanessa Tetzlaff '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Natalie Kulka '21 [3-4, 7-8]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2013 (13 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
University of Central OklahomaUniversity of Central Oklahoma Bronchos66881133
Loyola University New OrleansLoyola University New Orleans Wolfpack11336688
University of North TexasUniversity of North Texas North Texas77992244
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns 188113366
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns 299224477
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies22447799
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies33668811
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave44779922

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
University of Central OklahomaUniversity of Central Oklahoma Bronchos77992244
Loyola University New OrleansLoyola University New Orleans Wolfpack22447799
University of North TexasUniversity of North Texas North Texas88113366
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns 199224477
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns 211336688
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies33668811
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies44779922
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave66881133
School / Team SkipperCrew
Loyola University New Orleans Loyola University New Orleans Sofia Giordano '20 [1-8] Ben Goldberg '21 [1-3]
Robert Broyles '19 [4-8]
Wolfpack Amy Waguespack '20 [1-8] Vanessa Tetzlaff '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Natalie Kulka '21 [3-4, 7-8]
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Benjamin Lipari '18 [1-2, 5-8]
Daniel Kendrick '19 [3-4]		 Trenton Seely '18 [1-2]
Amelia Knapp '21 [3-4]
Austin Halvorson '18 [5-6]
Ethan Reeder '20 [7-8]
Aggies Meiling Chan Chow '20 [1-4]
Alexandra Oyston '18 [5-8]		 Gabby Spring '20 [1-2, 5-8]
Shelby Click '18 [3-4]
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Haley Walker '18 Amanda Olson '19
Aggies Andrew Essenburgh '19 Hayden Montoya '21
Tulane University Tulane University David Graf '19 [1-8] Grace Bloomfield '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Savannah Bush '21 [3-4, 7-8]
Green Wave Sean Tichenor '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Clementine Furber '21 [3-4, 7-8]		 Kate Lenhard '21 [1-2, 5-6]
William Hoover '20 [3-4, 7-8]
University of Central Oklahoma University of Central Oklahoma Mikasa Barnes '17 Marissa Thelen '19
Bronchos Jordan Johnson '18 Cheyenne Christy '19
University of North Texas University of North Texas Forrest Short '17 [1-8] Colby Zschiesche '20 [1-2, 7-8]
Brendan Frederick '21 [3-4]
Michael Coyle '20 [5-6]
North Texas Emma Cooledge '20 [1-8] Dominique Sarquis Peillard '20 [1-2, 7-8]
Michael Coyle '20 [3-4]
Adithya Pillai '17 [5-6]
University of Texas University of Texas Emily Verdoia '20 [1-7]
Karina Bertelsmann '22 [8]		 Karina Bertelsmann '22 [1-2, 5-7]
Kaitlin Fuqua '20 [3-4]
Emily Verdoia '20 [8]
Longhorns 1 Caroline Bik '19 [1-8] Lillian Andersen '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Mariana Caldas '20 [3-4, 7-8]
University of Texas University of Texas Michael Hernandez '20 [1-8] Mckenzie Kotara '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Shahryar Hasnani '21 [3-4, 7-8]
Longhorns 2 Carter Young '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Aaron Comen '18 [3-4, 7-8]		 Frederik Winguth '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Jordin Perry '20 [3-4, 7-8]

Conditions — 09/23/2017 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 69%  ·  Pressure 1012.5 hPa

Temperature

84°F
↑ 89°F   ↓ 74°F
Feels like 91°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.3 kn
avg  ·  max 9.6 kn
Gusts to 18.3 kn
From ESE (121°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover29% Sunshine10.2 hrs Humidity69% Pressure1012.5 hPa Rain0.02 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Texas A&M: a favourites’ day (+0.08)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.13 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.21
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.11 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.08 means a rating gap counts about 7% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Texas A&M by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 5 labelled days at Texas A&M, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →