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Colony Cup

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 18 24 42
2 Washington College Washington College Shoremen 30 12 42
3 Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 1 15 28 43
4 Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 37 26 63
5 Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 2 36 31 67
6 University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 46 36 82
7 William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 39 54 93
8 Salisbury University Salisbury University Seagulls 48 57 105
9 Johnnies Johnnies Johnnies 68 64 132
10 American University American University Eagles 65 73 138
11 Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 69 70 139
12 Rutgers University Rutgers University Scarlet Knights 76 71 147
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 1 1 1 1 4 1 1 6 15 Anna Patterson '20
Aerin Gilday '21
University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 2 2 2 2 4 2 4 18 Andrew Bobbitt '18
Jacob Stoner '19
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 7 8 3 1 6 4 1 30 Andrew Vernon '20
Haber Carlson '21
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 2 5 7 4 9 3 3 5 36 Ian O'Connell '20
Alesha Darling '20
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 4 5 6 3 8 8 3 37 Nathan Gibson '19
Shannon Brassil '20
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 3 3 7 7 5 7 7 39 Miguel Monllor '21 [1-4]
Daniel Strebel '21 [5-7]
Tristan Savage '21 [1-4]
Kathryn Dragonetti '21 [5-7]
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 8 4 9 5 7 5 8 46 Katie Purcell '20
Emma Mcphail-Snyder '19
Salisbury University Salisbury University Seagulls 6 10 12 10 2 6 2 48 Thomas Burley '18
Jennifer Haller '17
American University American University Eagles 12 12 5 6 9 10 11 65 Stephen Anderson '18 [1-7]
Dylan Brady '19 [1-4]
Yuwen Chen '19 [5-7]
Johnnies Johnnies Johnnies 10 6 11 12 11 9 9 68
Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 11 11 8 8 10 11 10 69 Erica Stone '20
Victor Lu '19
Rutgers University Rutgers University Scarlet Knights 9 9 10 11 DSQ 12 12 76 Robert Jarrett '17 [1-4, 7]
Mona Patel '18 [5-6]
Mona Patel '18 [1-2, 7]
Arul Ruthwik Duggimpudi '20 [3-4]
Kyle Benjamin '21 [5-6]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 1 3 1 1 3 2 1 12 Henry Proud '21
Allison Cochran '18
University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 3 2 5 3 2 3 6 24 Ryan Dorsey '20
Jessica Stimely '18
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 4 1 6 2 1 5 7 26 Reid Shanabrook '22
Madelyn Dynes '20
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 1 7 4 4 4 6 1 2 28 Mikaela Farrugia '20 [1-2, 5-7]
Mackenzie Conner '20 [3-4]
Reagan Mason '20 [1-2, 5-7]
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 2 2 6 7 5 4 4 3 31 Zachary Douglass '21
Colton Bradley '21
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 5 5 2 7 5 8 4 36 Hannah Lothrop '21
Michael Van Meter '20
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 10 11 3 9 7 9 5 54 Austin Cook '21 [1-4]
David Wisdom '20 [5-7]
Charles Neff '20 [1-4]
Grace Holloway '21 [5-7]
Salisbury University Salisbury University Seagulls 9 7 8 6 12 7 8 57 Brendan O'Brien '20
Matthew Block '20
Johnnies Johnnies Johnnies 8 8 11 8 9 11 9 64
Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 6 10 9 11 10 12 12 70 David Stude '18 [1-7]
Brett Defoy '20 [1, 3, 5, 7]
Joseph Bail '18 [2, 4, 6]
Rutgers University Rutgers University Scarlet Knights 11 9 12 12 11 6 10 71 Anthony Principe '18 [1-7]
Kyle Benjamin '21 [1-4]
Arul Ruthwik Duggimpudi '20 [5-7]
American University American University Eagles 12 12 10 10 8 10 11 73 Isabel Hasselbalch '20
Morgan Antonez '19
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (14 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
American UniversityAmerican University Eagles1133557
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains 12244668
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains 23355779
University of MarylandUniversity of Maryland Terps88101012122
Penn State UniversityPenn State University Nittany Lions44668810
Rutgers UniversityRutgers University Scarlet Knights55779911
Salisbury UniversitySalisbury University Seagulls6688101012
JohnniesJohnnies Johnnies779911111
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos991111113
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Hokies10101212224
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen111111335
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe121222446

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
American UniversityAmerican University Eagles2244668
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains 13355779
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains 244668810
University of MarylandUniversity of Maryland Terps991111113
Penn State UniversityPenn State University Nittany Lions55779911
Rutgers UniversityRutgers University Scarlet Knights6688101012
Salisbury UniversitySalisbury University Seagulls779911111
JohnniesJohnnies Johnnies88101012122
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos10101212224
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Hokies111111335
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen121222446
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe1133557
School / Team SkipperCrew
American University American University Stephen Anderson '18 [1-7] Dylan Brady '19 [1-4]
Yuwen Chen '19 [5-7]
Eagles Isabel Hasselbalch '20 Morgan Antonez '19
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Anna Patterson '20 Aerin Gilday '21
Captains 1 Mikaela Farrugia '20 [1-2, 5-7]
Mackenzie Conner '20 [3-4]		 Reagan Mason '20 [1-2, 5-7]
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Ian O'Connell '20 Alesha Darling '20
Captains 2 Zachary Douglass '21 Colton Bradley '21
Penn State University Penn State University Erica Stone '20 Victor Lu '19
Nittany Lions David Stude '18 [1-7] Brett Defoy '20 [1, 3, 5, 7]
Joseph Bail '18 [2, 4, 6]
Rutgers University Rutgers University Robert Jarrett '17 [1-4, 7]
Mona Patel '18 [5-6]		 Mona Patel '18 [1-2, 7]
Arul Ruthwik Duggimpudi '20 [3-4]
Kyle Benjamin '21 [5-6]
Scarlet Knights Anthony Principe '18 [1-7] Kyle Benjamin '21 [1-4]
Arul Ruthwik Duggimpudi '20 [5-7]
Salisbury University Salisbury University Thomas Burley '18 Jennifer Haller '17
Seagulls Brendan O'Brien '20 Matthew Block '20
University of Maryland University of Maryland Andrew Bobbitt '18 Jacob Stoner '19
Terps Ryan Dorsey '20 Jessica Stimely '18
University of Virginia University of Virginia Katie Purcell '20 Emma Mcphail-Snyder '19
Wahoos Hannah Lothrop '21 Michael Van Meter '20
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Nathan Gibson '19 Shannon Brassil '20
Hokies Reid Shanabrook '22 Madelyn Dynes '20
Washington College Washington College Andrew Vernon '20 Haber Carlson '21
Shoremen Henry Proud '21 Allison Cochran '18
William and Mary William and Mary Miguel Monllor '21 [1-4]
Daniel Strebel '21 [5-7]		 Tristan Savage '21 [1-4]
Kathryn Dragonetti '21 [5-7]
Tribe Austin Cook '21 [1-4]
David Wisdom '20 [5-7]		 Charles Neff '20 [1-4]
Grace Holloway '21 [5-7]

Conditions — 09/16/2017 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 70%  ·  Pressure 1019.9 hPa

Temperature

78°F
↑ 82°F   ↓ 70°F
Feels like 84°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.9 kn
avg  ·  max 4.9 kn
Gusts to 13.2 kn
From NE (55°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover37% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity70% Pressure1019.9 hPa Rain0.04 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 8 kn · N 8 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at William and Mary: an underdogs’ day (−0.10)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.13 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.03
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.15 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.10 means a rating gap counts about 9% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at William and Mary by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 10 labelled days at William and Mary, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →