Navigate

SAISA North Points #4

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Cougars Cougars Cougars 14 10 24
2 University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 14 12 26
3 Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 26 15 41
4 University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 1 22 21 43
5 University of North Carolina University of North Carolina North Carolina 50 18 68
6 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 25 48 73
7 Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 23 51 74
8 Demon Deacons Demon Deacons Demon Deacons 33 41 74
9 University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 35 41 76
10 University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 2 45 40 85
11 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 55 38 93
12 Volunteers Volunteers Volunteers 48 55 103
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Cougars Cougars Cougars 1 7 3 2 1 14
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 2 4 5 1 2 14 Jack Gonzales '18
Elizabeth Lonergan '20
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 1 7 1 2 5 7 22 Alex Jones '19
James Ahern '19
Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 6 8 1 3 5 23 Vincent Miao '18
Collin Brown '21
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 3 5 4 10 3 25 Megan Ploch '21
Zoe Genet '21
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 5 3 10 4 4 26 Robert Gruskos '20 [1-2]
Carrie Marshall '21 [3-4]
Abbie Probst '19 [5]
Hannah Oswalt '20 [1-4]
Madison Carroll '20 [5]
Demon Deacons Demon Deacons Demon Deacons 10 2 6 9 6 33
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 4 6 9 8 8 35 Allison Chenard '19
Amy Strozinsky '20
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 2 8 11 7 7 12 45 Robert Williams '21 [1-5]
Taylor Wood '18 [1-2]
Elizabeth Howard '20 [3-5]
Volunteers Volunteers Volunteers 12 9 12 6 9 48
University of North Carolina University of North Carolina North Carolina 9 10 8 12 11 50 Thompson Betts '20 [1-3, 5]
Robert Mclean '19 [4]
Alexandra Brown '20 [1-3, 5]
Shep Byles '18 [4]
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 11 12 11 11 10 55 Andrew Edwards '18 [1-5]
Caroline Eberhardt '18 [1-4]
Alec Sitton '18 [5]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Cougars Cougars Cougars 3 3 1 2 1 10
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 1 1 3 1 6 12 Christopher Chaplin '20
Brooke Hagler '18
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 2 2 4 5 2 15 Andrew Dodd '21 [1-5]
Madison Carroll '20 [1-2]
Karl Martin '20 [3-5]
University of North Carolina University of North Carolina North Carolina 4 5 2 3 4 18 Ann Burns Morrison '20
No Show
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 1 5 4 5 4 3 21 Graham Shivers '19
Katrina Bauermeister '19
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 8 9 9 7 5 38 Adam Augustine '19
Jason Perryman '21
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 2 12 8 7 6 7 40 Harley Lowery '19 [1-2]
Maria Teresa Felix '19 [3-5]
Adam Tresenrider '20 [1-2]
Ashlyn Park '18 [3-5]
Demon Deacons Demon Deacons Demon Deacons 6 11 6 9 9 41
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 7 7 8 11 8 41 Jennifer Cahalan '19
Davidson Goldsmith '18
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 11 6 10 10 11 48 David Sutton '19
Pedro Arango '20
Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 10 12 11 8 10 51 Charles York '21
Julia Dworetzky '21
Volunteers Volunteers Volunteers 9 10 12 12 12 55
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.130+0.13
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (23 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
CougarsCougars Cougars22446
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers11335
Duke UniversityDuke University Blue Devils33557
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs668810
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets44668
University of North CarolinaUniversity of North Carolina North Carolina779911
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack55779
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Gamecocks101012122
VolunteersVolunteers Volunteers1111113
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 188101012
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 29911111
Demon DeaconsDemon Deacons Demon Deacons1212224

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
CougarsCougars Cougars33557
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers22446
Duke UniversityDuke University Blue Devils44668
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs779911
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets55779
University of North CarolinaUniversity of North Carolina North Carolina88101012
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack668810
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Gamecocks1111113
VolunteersVolunteers Volunteers1212224
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 19911111
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 2101012122
Demon DeaconsDemon Deacons Demon Deacons11335

Conditions — 10/07/2017 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 87%  ·  Pressure 1018.2 hPa

Temperature

78°F
↑ 80°F   ↓ 75°F
Feels like 84°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.7 kn
avg  ·  max 10.6 kn
Gusts to 20.6 kn
From SE (138°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover63% Sunshine10.5 hrs Humidity87% Pressure1018.2 hPa Rain0.30 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at UNC Wilmington: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.11)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.02
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.28 ± 0.20)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.11 means a rating gap counts about 9% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at UNC Wilmington by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (15 labelled days at UNC Wilmington).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →