Edward Teach Memorial

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 39
2 Webb Institute Webb Institute Seamen 61
3 Washington College Washington College Shoremen 69
4 Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 99
5 William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 113
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates A 1 3 1 1 1 1 1 9 Luca Taglialegne '20
Dario Abou Rjeili '20
Webb Institute Webb Institute Seamen A 2 1 3 7 2 5 3 23 Nick Chisari '22
Christopher Hamilton '22
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates B 4 2 4 2 3 DNS 4 30 Filip Stevanovic '20 [1-5, 7]
Khari Parrish '20 [6]
Mercedes Matlock '20 [1-6]
Khari Parrish '20 [7]
Washington College Washington College Shoremen B 9 BKD 2 3 8 2 5 34 William Sunkler '20
Eloise Lienert '20
Washington College Washington College Shoremen A 5 6 5 6 5 6 2 35 Paul Hart '19
Andrew Vernon '20
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers A 7 5 7 4 4 3 8 38 Benjamin Lilly '22
Flora Grilli '22
Webb Institute Webb Institute Seamen B 3 4 6 5 6 7 7 38 John Dixon '20
Max Pierce '20
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe A 6 8 8 9 7 4 6 48 Connor Chapin '20 [1-3, 5-7]
Michael Giovanniello '20 [4]
Michael Giovanniello '20 [1-3, 5-7]
Connor Chapin '20 [4]
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers B 8 9 9 8 9 8 10 61 Nathan Johnson '22
Matthew Migliozzi '20
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe B 10 7 10 10 10 9 9 65 Audrey Fulk '19 [1-3, 5-6]
Maria Torregrosa '21 [4, 7]
Maria Torregrosa '21 [1-3, 5-6]
Audrey Fulk '19 [4, 7]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.170+0.17
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2013 (12 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates1122334
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen2233445
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers4455667
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Seamen3344556
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe5566778

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates6677889
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen77889910
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers991010112
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Seamen889910101
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe101011223

Conditions — 09/01/2018 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 81%  ·  Pressure 1022.9 hPa

Temperature

81°F
↑ 83°F   ↓ 77°F
Feels like 90°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.6 kn
avg  ·  max 5.4 kn
Gusts to 13.2 kn
From SE (141°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover92% Sunshine6.6 hrs Humidity81% Pressure1022.9 hPa Rain0.12 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 7 kn · NE 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Hampton: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.02 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.01
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.16 ± 0.24)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Hampton by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (26 labelled days at Hampton).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →