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North/North Varsity

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 52 25 77
2 Western Washington University Western Washington University Viking Women 27 62 89
3 University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 1 32 64 96
4 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 60 39 99
5 University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 84 61 145
6 University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 2 68 91 159
7 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 90 74 164
8 University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes Womens 93 88 181
9 Lewis and Clark College Lewis and Clark College Pioneers 126 128 254
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
Western Washington University Western Washington University Viking Women 3 1 2 2 1 1 2 1 2 2 4 3 1 2 27 Chloe Dawson '20
Camille Ottaway '20
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 1 1 2 3 1 3 2 OCS 2 1 1 1 1 3 1 32 Nicolai Blasdel '22
Cypress Knudson '22
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 4 3 8 3 6 5 1 3 3 4 3 4 2 3 52 Hayden Potter '20
Elizabeth Murphy '22
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 6 7 1 7 2 3 5 4 6 7 2 2 4 4 60 Ezekiel Ward '20
Fiona Mcbride '21
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 2 2 4 5 6 4 6 6 5 4 3 8 5 5 5 68 Zelda Ladefoged '22
Natalie Benoit '20
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 5 6 6 8 5 4 7 7 7 5 6 6 6 6 84 Hannah Stevens '22
Colin Bishop '20
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 8 5 4 5 7 7 4 6 8 6 7 7 8 8 90 Shaan Shridhar '19
Maddie Tutton '21
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes Womens 7 8 7 4 8 8 3 8 5 8 5 8 7 7 93 Charlotte Clark '21
Shawna Eggleston '21
Lewis and Clark College Lewis and Clark College Pioneers 9 9 9 9 9 9 8 DNF 9 9 9 9 9 9 126 Sally Goldman '20 [1-14]
Charlotte Brownstone '20 [1-2]
Margaux Seiler '22 [3-14]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 1 1 1 3 1 1 1 1 7 2 3 1 1 1 25 Nathaniel Gordon '20
Avery Wolf '21
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 2 6 1 6 2 5 3 1 1 1 2 4 3 39 Dillon Kilroy '19
Alanna Halliday '21
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 6 8 3 6 2 3 4 2 2 6 4 6 7 2 61 Ilya Sharikov '23
Stewart Clark '20
Western Washington University Western Washington University Viking Women 5 3 2 2 3 8 6 5 6 4 5 4 5 4 62 Kendall Kracke '20
Yumi-Shika Shridhar '20
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 1 3 6 4 7 4 6 2 4 5 8 2 3 3 7 64 Richard Minielly '20
Matthew Goguen '20
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 8 5 8 4 7 4 3 7 3 3 6 5 6 5 74 Joanna Garcia '19 [1-14]
Claire Johnson '22 [1-2, 9-14]
Rachel Cohen '19 [3-8]
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes Womens 4 7 5 5 5 5 7 6 8 7 7 8 8 6 88 Caitlyn Shum '22
Emma Reynolds '21
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 2 7 4 7 8 8 7 8 8 4 5 8 7 2 8 91 Lauren Wittkopf '22
Jennifer Vincent '21
Lewis and Clark College Lewis and Clark College Pioneers 9 9 9 9 9 9 DNS DNS 9 9 9 9 9 9 128 Charlotte Brownstone '20
Ben Carsner '20
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.140+0.14
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (17 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 18080848481817171888787
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 28887878282808084848181
Lewis and Clark CollegeLewis and Clark College Pioneers7171888787828280808484
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes8484818171718887878282
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes Womens87878282808084848181
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 1818171718887878282
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 282828080848481817171
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Viking Women808084848181717188
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings717188878782828080

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 18887878282808084848181
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 28484818171718887878282
Lewis and Clark CollegeLewis and Clark College Pioneers8080848481817171888787
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes87878282808084848181
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes Womens818171718887878282
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 182828080848481817171
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 2717188878782828080
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Viking Women7171888787828280808484
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings808084848181717188

Conditions — 11/03/2018 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 59%  ·  Pressure 1016.9 hPa

Temperature

53°F
↑ 56°F   ↓ 48°F
Feels like 44°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
12.2 kn
avg  ·  max 17.0 kn
Gusts to 34.8 kn
From WNW (290°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover27% Sunshine9.8 hrs Humidity59% Pressure1016.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 10 kn · E 8 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Washington: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.06 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.05
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.14 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Washington by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (37 labelled days at Washington).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →