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Philly Fleet Race Central Series

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 34 31 65
2 Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 1 33 76 109
3 Villanova University Villanova University Wildcats 62 70 132
4 Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Ducks 92 83 175
5 Loyola University Maryland Loyola University Maryland Greyhounds 89 89 178
6 Washington College Washington College Shoremen 94 93 187
7 SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 106 101 207
8 Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 91 139 230
9 University of Pittsburgh University of Pittsburgh Pitt Panthers 164 95 259
10 Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 153 130 283
11 Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 2 132 201 333
12 Monmouth University Monmouth University Hawks 173 165 338
13 University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 197 148 345
14 Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 158 220 378
15 Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 231 185 416
16 Bucknell University Bucknell University Bison 255 255 510
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 TOT Sailors
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 1 2 3 2 1 7 1 2 1 1 1 2 1 6 2 1 33 Jensen Mctighe '21
Flora Grilli '22
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 1 1 1 2 5 3 4 3 3 4 1 2 1 1 2 34 Porter Killian '23
Emelia Bartusiak '21
Villanova University Villanova University Wildcats 3 2 3 8 1 7 3 4 4 8 4 6 2 3 4 62 Max Gillette '20 [1-3, 7-9]
Erin Mcgarry '21 [4-6, 10-15]
Claire Coppola '21 [1-9, 13-15]
Jack Murray '22 [10-12]
Loyola University Maryland Loyola University Maryland Greyhounds 10 6 9 4 10 2 6 7 2 3 3 3 7 10 7 89 Ava Haag '21
Cathryn Martinez '21
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 4 5 4 7 8 9 1 2 6 6 6 7 3 DNS 6 91 Jacob Pollak '20 [1-15]
Elizabeth Calio '20 [1-12]
Alison Reed '21 [13-15]
Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Ducks 5 9 8 9 2 5 8 9 5 7 8 5 4 5 3 92 Andrew O'Brien '19
Jesse Stevenson '19
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 8 4 7 5 4 4 5 12 8 2 7 8 5 7 8 94 William Sunkler '20
Eloise Lienert '20
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 13 7 5 6 11 6 7 5 9 5 9 4 8 6 5 106 Nicholas Manfredi '19
Julia Chapman '21
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 2 9 13 13 3 6 10 11 10 7 12 5 9 11 4 9 132 Declan Gaylo '19
Alexander Koziol '21
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 12 8 10 12 12 12 9 6 11 11 12 11 9 8 10 153 Zak Dasaro '21 [1-15]
Grace Lee '21 [1-6]
Carla Dias '21 [7-9]
Adam Mcclain '21 [10-15]
Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 7 10 6 11 3 11 13 13 13 14 14 10 10 12 11 158 Luke Dunton '20
Angelina Graham '19
University of Pittsburgh University of Pittsburgh Pitt Panthers 6 11 11 13 9 8 12 11 10 9 13 14 13 11 13 164 Bryce Merrill '21
Hannah Piston '19
Monmouth University Monmouth University Hawks 11 14 14 10 14 14 10 8 12 10 10 13 12 9 12 173 Veronica Lane '19
Bronson Gallagher '21
University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 14 12 12 14 13 13 14 14 14 13 11 12 14 13 14 197 Cathleen Murphy '19 [1-6, 10-12]
Robert Cathell '21 [7-9, 13-15]
Stephen Schindel '19 [1-6, 10-12]
Austin Weigel '21 [7-9, 13-15]
Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 DNS DNS DNS 231 Kevin Batchelor '21
Sarah Jensen '20
Bucknell University Bucknell University Bison DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 255 No Show
No Show
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 TOT Sailors
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 4 1 2 2 4 4 1 1 1 1 2 3 2 1 2 31 William Gallagher '20
Kristen Tilley '19
Villanova University Villanova University Wildcats DSQ 5 4 3 2 3 7 3 2 4 3 2 3 3 9 70 Curtis Aaron '21 [1-3, 7-9, 13-15]
Owen Ward '22 [4-6, 10-12]
Brooklyn Curtin '20 [1-3, 7-15]
Dylan Crider '19 [4-6]
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 1 6 2 DNF 1 1 1 6 8 10 2 7 6 4 4 1 76 Nick Chisari '22
Christopher Hamilton '22
Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Ducks 11 4 1 9 9 6 4 5 4 5 4 8 1 6 6 83 Townsend Morey '21 [1-15]
Georgia Castoro '21 [1-3, 7-12]
Adilah Khan '20 [4-6, 13-15]
Loyola University Maryland Loyola University Maryland Greyhounds 3 9 5 12 5 12 2 4 3 9 1 1 11 7 5 89 Brendan O’Connor '21
Ann Bell '20
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 1 3 6 7 10 10 3 2 9 10 5 5 8 11 3 93 Andrew Vernon '20 [1-15]
Haley Wilt '21 [1-3, 7-15]
Lindsay Fullerton '21 [4-6]
University of Pittsburgh University of Pittsburgh Pitt Panthers 2 8 11 8 3 9 5 6 8 3 6 12 5 2 7 95 Aaron Fairchild '21
Warren Adams '20
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 5 13 3 6 7 5 8 10 5 6 13 4 7 5 4 101 Micayla Beyer '19
Samantha Mislinski '19
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 9 6 7 4 8 2 11 11 13 7 10 7 12 13 10 130 Anne Sidamon-Eristoff '20 [1-6]
Charlie Flynn '20 [7-15]
Devin Sun '21 [1-6]
Katherine Trout '19 [7-12]
Elizabeth Bailey '21 [13-15]
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 8 7 8 10 6 8 10 14 6 12 12 11 6 9 12 139 Abigail Proko '20 [1-15]
Alison Reed '21 [1-12]
Kediel Morales '20 [13-15]
University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 13 11 9 5 11 7 14 12 7 11 8 9 10 10 11 148 Brianna Dittenhofer '22 [1-15]
Sophia Caracuzzo '20 [1-6, 10-12]
Tyler Merrow '21 [7-9, 13-15]
Monmouth University Monmouth University Hawks 7 14 10 13 15 13 12 9 DSQ 8 9 13 9 8 8 165 Katherine Foley '19
Nina Van De Vaarst '19
Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 10 10 12 11 13 11 9 7 DSQ 13 11 10 DNS DNS DNS 185 Victoria Larow '22
Victoria Castano '21
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 2 12 12 13 15 14 15 13 13 12 15 15 14 13 12 13 201 Rudy Caligure '22
Matthew Migliozzi '20
Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 14 15 14 14 12 14 15 15 11 14 14 DNF DNS DNS DNS 220 Bianca Robertson '20
River Dixon '20
Bucknell University Bucknell University Bison DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 255 No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.170+0.17
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2016 (5 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A15A
Bucknell UniversityBucknell University Bison111333555777999
University of DelawareUniversity of Delaware Blue Hens101010121212141414161616181818
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons181818444666888101010
Loyola University MarylandLoyola University Maryland Greyhounds333555777999111111
Monmouth UniversityMonmouth University Hawks444666888101010121212
Ocean County CollegeOcean County College Vikings555777999111111131313
Penn State UniversityPenn State University Nittany Lions666888101010121212141414
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers111111131313151515111333
University of PittsburghUniversity of Pittsburgh Pitt Panthers121212141414161616181818444
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers777999111111131313151515
Stevens Institute of TechnologyStevens Institute of Technology Ducks999111111131313151515111
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves888101010121212141414161616
Villanova UniversityVillanova University Wildcats131313151515111333555
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen141414161616181818444666
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers 1151515111333555777
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers 2161616181818444666888

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B15B
Bucknell UniversityBucknell University Bison181818444666888101010
University of DelawareUniversity of Delaware Blue Hens111111131313151515111333
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons333555777999111111
Loyola University MarylandLoyola University Maryland Greyhounds444666888101010121212
Monmouth UniversityMonmouth University Hawks555777999111111131313
Ocean County CollegeOcean County College Vikings666888101010121212141414
Penn State UniversityPenn State University Nittany Lions777999111111131313151515
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers121212141414161616181818444
University of PittsburghUniversity of Pittsburgh Pitt Panthers131313151515111333555
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers888101010121212141414161616
Stevens Institute of TechnologyStevens Institute of Technology Ducks101010121212141414161616181818
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves999111111131313151515111
Villanova UniversityVillanova University Wildcats141414161616181818444666
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen151515111333555777
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers 1161616181818444666888
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers 2111333555777999
School / Team SkipperCrew
Bucknell University Bucknell University No Show No Show
Bison No Show No Show
Drexel University Drexel University Jacob Pollak '20 [1-15] Elizabeth Calio '20 [1-12]
Alison Reed '21 [13-15]
Dragons Abigail Proko '20 [1-15] Alison Reed '21 [1-12]
Kediel Morales '20 [13-15]
Loyola University Maryland Loyola University Maryland Ava Haag '21 Cathryn Martinez '21
Greyhounds Brendan O’Connor '21 Ann Bell '20
Monmouth University Monmouth University Veronica Lane '19 Bronson Gallagher '21
Hawks Katherine Foley '19 Nina Van De Vaarst '19
Ocean County College Ocean County College Luke Dunton '20 Angelina Graham '19
Vikings Bianca Robertson '20 River Dixon '20
Penn State University Penn State University Kevin Batchelor '21 Sarah Jensen '20
Nittany Lions Victoria Larow '22 Victoria Castano '21
Princeton University Princeton University Zak Dasaro '21 [1-15] Grace Lee '21 [1-6]
Carla Dias '21 [7-9]
Adam Mcclain '21 [10-15]
Tigers Anne Sidamon-Eristoff '20 [1-6]
Charlie Flynn '20 [7-15]		 Devin Sun '21 [1-6]
Katherine Trout '19 [7-12]
Elizabeth Bailey '21 [13-15]
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Nicholas Manfredi '19 Julia Chapman '21
Seawolves Micayla Beyer '19 Samantha Mislinski '19
Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Andrew O'Brien '19 Jesse Stevenson '19
Ducks Townsend Morey '21 [1-15] Georgia Castoro '21 [1-3, 7-12]
Adilah Khan '20 [4-6, 13-15]
University of Delaware University of Delaware Cathleen Murphy '19 [1-6, 10-12]
Robert Cathell '21 [7-9, 13-15]		 Stephen Schindel '19 [1-6, 10-12]
Austin Weigel '21 [7-9, 13-15]
Blue Hens Brianna Dittenhofer '22 [1-15] Sophia Caracuzzo '20 [1-6, 10-12]
Tyler Merrow '21 [7-9, 13-15]
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Porter Killian '23 Emelia Bartusiak '21
Quakers William Gallagher '20 Kristen Tilley '19
University of Pittsburgh University of Pittsburgh Bryce Merrill '21 Hannah Piston '19
Pitt Panthers Aaron Fairchild '21 Warren Adams '20
Villanova University Villanova University Max Gillette '20 [1-3, 7-9]
Erin Mcgarry '21 [4-6, 10-15]		 Claire Coppola '21 [1-9, 13-15]
Jack Murray '22 [10-12]
Wildcats Curtis Aaron '21 [1-3, 7-9, 13-15]
Owen Ward '22 [4-6, 10-12]		 Brooklyn Curtin '20 [1-3, 7-15]
Dylan Crider '19 [4-6]
Washington College Washington College William Sunkler '20 Eloise Lienert '20
Shoremen Andrew Vernon '20 [1-15] Haley Wilt '21 [1-3, 7-15]
Lindsay Fullerton '21 [4-6]
Webb Institute Webb Institute Jensen Mctighe '21 Flora Grilli '22
Clippers 1 Nick Chisari '22 Christopher Hamilton '22
Webb Institute Webb Institute Declan Gaylo '19 Alexander Koziol '21
Clippers 2 Rudy Caligure '22 Matthew Migliozzi '20

Conditions — 09/08/2018 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 82%  ·  Pressure 1018.8 hPa

Temperature

67°F
↑ 68°F   ↓ 65°F
Feels like 67°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.6 kn
avg  ·  max 10.2 kn
Gusts to 19.8 kn
From NNE (27°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover99% Sunshine0.0 hrs Humidity82% Pressure1018.8 hPa Rain0.55 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 8 kn · NE 8 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Pennsylvania: a typical day (+0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.06
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.16 ± 0.07)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Pennsylvania by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 7 labelled days at Pennsylvania, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →