SAISA North Points #2

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 10 9 19
2 Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 27 11 38
3 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 20 22 42
4 University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 19 23 42
5 University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 20 25 45
6 University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 14 50 64
7 Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 33 32 65
8 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 40 26 66
9 Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 49 37 86
10 Davidson College Davidson College Wildcats 2 44 52 96
11 Davidson College Davidson College Wildcats 1 54 51 105
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 1 2 1 5 1 10 Patrick Eaton '21
Natasha Scott Morton '22
University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 2 4 5 1 2 14 No Show
Adrian Clark '21
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 6 1 2 3 7 19 Mackey Leventis '19
Ashley Thess '19
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 3 7 4 2 4 20 Megan Ploch '21
Zoe Genet '21
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 4 3 3 4 6 20 Allison Chenard '19
Tristan Britt '20
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 5 5 6 8 3 27 Emilia Giovine '22 [1-3]
Andrew Dodd '21 [4-5]
Sydney Foley '20 [1-3]
Jenn Casey '20 [4-5]
Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 8 6 8 6 5 33 Avery Fulford '21
Julia Dworetzky '21
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 9 9 7 7 8 40 Jacob Kinney '21
Anneliese Carlson '21
Davidson College Davidson College Wildcats 2 7 8 10 9 10 44 Sutter Phillips '21 [1-3]
Jeffrey Sizemore '20 [4-5]
Benjamin Bricio '22 [1-3]
Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 10 10 9 11 9 49 Weisa Wang '20 [1-5]
Sara Boyd '22 [1-3]
George Koser '22 [4-5]
Davidson College Davidson College Wildcats 1 11 11 11 10 11 54 Henry Waddill '22
Kathryn Frank '22
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 5 1 1 1 1 9 Pierce Ornstein '22
Adrianna Lee '22
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 1 2 2 3 3 11 Tj Danilek '22 [1-3]
Carrie Marshall '21 [4-5]
Madison Carroll '20 [1-3]
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 7 3 8 2 2 22 Darby Reddaway '19
Kyle Reed '20
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 4 4 3 4 8 23 Sarah Deloach '21 [1-3]
Ashley Thess '19 [4-5]
Grace O'Hare '22 [1-3]
Kate Karger '18 [4-5]
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 2 7 4 5 7 25 Jennifer Cahalan '19 [1-5]
Kate Maner '20 [1-3]
Ross Oliver '19 [4-5]
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 3 5 5 9 4 26 Harrison Bailey '23
Conor Murphy '20
Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 8 6 6 7 5 32 Carolina Cassedy '22
Moriah Taylor '19
Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 6 DNF 7 6 6 37 Sara Boyd '22 [1-5]
George Koser '22 [1-3]
Marcus Perkins '19 [4-5]
University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers DNF 10 11 8 9 50 Ian Cannon '19
Greg Farrell '21
Davidson College Davidson College Wildcats 1 DNF 9 10 10 10 51 Elizabeth Sasser '19
Caroline Gschwind '22
Davidson College Davidson College Wildcats 2 DNF 8 9 DNF 11 52 Marshall Brady '20
Sophie Coolidge '22
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2012 (13 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Tigers11133
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars33355
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers22244
Davidson CollegeDavidson College Wildcats 144466
Davidson CollegeDavidson College Wildcats 255577
Duke UniversityDuke University Blue Devils66688
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs9991111
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets77799
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack8881010
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Gamecocks10101011
University of TennesseeUniversity of Tennessee Volunteers11111122

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Tigers22244
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars44466
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers33355
Davidson CollegeDavidson College Wildcats 155577
Davidson CollegeDavidson College Wildcats 266688
Duke UniversityDuke University Blue Devils77799
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs10101011
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets8881010
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack9991111
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Gamecocks11111122
University of TennesseeUniversity of Tennessee Volunteers11133

Conditions — 09/22/2018 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 65%  ·  Pressure 1018.4 hPa

Temperature

81°F
↑ 85°F   ↓ 72°F
Feels like 87°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.4 kn
avg  ·  max 4.4 kn
Gusts to 12.6 kn
From SSW (209°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover35% Sunshine10.4 hrs Humidity65% Pressure1018.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Clemson: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.06 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.02
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.09 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Clemson by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (15 labelled days at Clemson).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →