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SAISA South Points #2

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 26 15 41
2 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 25 17 42
3 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 24 37 61
4 University of Florida University of Florida Gators 34 30 64
5 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 40 33 73
6 Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 29 49 78
7 Rollins College Rollins College Tars 49 43 92
8 Florida Tech Florida Tech Florida Tech 81 MRP 84 MRP 165 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 2 6 3 6 2 1 2 2 24 Connor Ratcliff '21 [1-8]
Samantha Pynchon '20 [1-6]
Joshua Cole '22 [7-8]
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 5 2 2 4 4 4 1 3 25 Samuel Baker '22
Sara Flowerday '22
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 4 1 5 2 5 2 3 4 26 Max Thompson '19 [1-4]
Andrew Scotti '20 [5-8]
Kaitlyn Delisser '20 [1-4]
Ariel Casaretto '21 [5-6, 8]
Ben Ringrose '19 [7]
Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 1 5 4 1 3 5 4 6 29 Jeffrey Hayden '20
Isabella Lemole '20
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 3 7 1 3 1 6 5 8 34 David Beaudry '20
Juliana Cromie '20
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 7 3 6 7 6 3 7 1 40 Kyle Runnfeldt '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Brett Putnam '22 [3-4, 7-8]
Isabella Uribe '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 6 4 7 5 8 8 6 5 49 Teagan Walsh '20 [1-4, 7]
Harrison Fang '19 [5-6, 8]
Ryan O'Donnell '20 [1-4]
Maggie Burns '21 [5-6]
Harrison Fang '19 [7]
Teagan Walsh '20 [8]
Florida Tech Florida Tech Florida Tech 8 8 8 8 7 7 8 7 81 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 1 1 2 1 2 2 3 3 15 Robert Turigliatto '22 [1-4]
John Macmoyle '21 [5-7]
Ben Ringrose '19 [8]
Grace Harden '22 [1-4]
Alex Sidi '21 [5-7]
John Macmoyle '21 [8]
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 2 3 1 2 3 3 2 1 17 Chris Kiener '21
Elizabeth Johnson '22
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 5 6 3 3 4 6 1 2 30 Maya Kwasniewski '19 [1-4]
Anderson Brunsvold '20 [5-8]
Taylor Brunsvold '21 [1-4]
Maya Kwasniewski '19 [5-8]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 6 4 4 5 1 1 5 7 33 Kelly Stukbauer '19 [1-8]
Lila Vandenbroek '22 [1-4]
Virginia Ware '20 [5-8]
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 3 2 6 4 5 7 4 6 37 Evan Langford '21
Virginia Kilbourne '20
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 4 7 5 6 6 4 7 4 43 Nick Baker '20 [1-8]
Simon Munoz '20 [1-6]
Ryan O'Donnell '20 [7-8]
Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 7 5 7 7 7 5 6 5 49 Christopher Deleon '18
Kurban Ali '21
Florida Tech Florida Tech Florida Tech 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 84 MRP
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.170+0.17
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2018 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons99101011111212
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators1414131312121111
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles1111121213131414
Florida TechFlorida Tech Florida Tech10109916161515
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins12121111101099
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes15151616991010
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars1313141415151616
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls1616151514141313

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons11223344
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators66554433
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles33445566
Florida TechFlorida Tech Florida Tech22118877
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins44332211
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes77881122
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars55667788
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls88776655

Conditions — 09/22/2018 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 75%  ·  Pressure 1015.2 hPa

Temperature

84°F
↑ 85°F   ↓ 80°F
Feels like 92°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.9 kn
avg  ·  max 6.7 kn
Gusts to 13.4 kn
From E (84°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover56% Sunshine10.5 hrs Humidity75% Pressure1015.2 hPa Rain0.08 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 10 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at U. Miami: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.00 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.01
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.35 ± 0.20)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at U. Miami by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (20 labelled days at U. Miami).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →