Wisco Women's

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 1 122
2 University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 129
3 Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 134
4 University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 171
5 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 2 172
6 University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 208
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats A 1 1 1 2 2 2 1 1 6 5 1 1 24 Lillian Nemeth '22 [1-12]
Natalie Shilati '20 [1-2, 9-12]
Alison Rosengren '22 [3-6]
Zoe Detweiler '21 [7-8]
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 1 A 9 2 3 5 5 9 8 2 7 2 4 5 61 Hailey Feinzig '22
Larissa Carroll '20
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 1 B 7 3 2 7 3 1 5 6 5 9 5 8 61 Katherine Higgins '22
Kate Thickens '23
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish A 8 7 6 3 10 6 3 8 1 6 2 2 62 Chloe Frentzel '21
Kathryn Powell '20
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish B 3 9 7 10 1 3 9 5 8 3 3 6 67 Leah Peluchiwski '20
Kata Lamb '20
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers A 2 5 4 4 4 5 7 4 9 7 8 9 68 Clara Brown '22
Ella Carlson '21
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines A 10 11 5 1 11 4 6 9 4 1 7 3 72 Sarah Youtt '21
Annabel Edwards '23
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 2 A 5 6 10 6 7 8 2 7 3 10 10 4 78 Caroline Skotarzak '21
Anna Graves '22
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 2 B 4 4 9 9 8 10 4 11 10 8 6 11 94 Kate Britt '21
Anna Thickens '21
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines B 6 10 11 12 6 7 12 10 2 4 9 10 99 Christiana Scheibner '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Catherine Ferrey '23 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Allison Engkvist '22 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Emily Stando '23 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats B 12 8 8 8 9 11 11 3 11 11 11 7 110 Rachel Shapiro '22
Anneliese Slamowitz '22
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers B 11 12 12 11 12 12 10 12 12 12 12 12 140 Cassandra Trask '20 [1-12]
Nicole Nelson '22 [1-6]
Madeline Jones '20 [7-12]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (21 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines33111616131312121010
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Gophers445566778899
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats113344556677
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish5544331116161313
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers 16677889910101212
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers 2776655443311

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines998877665544
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Gophers10101212131316161133
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats88991010121213131616
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish1212101099887766
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers 11313161611334455
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers 216161313121210109988

Conditions — 10/19/2019 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 69%  ·  Pressure 1007.1 hPa

Temperature

55°F
↑ 60°F   ↓ 50°F
Feels like 51°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.5 kn
avg  ·  max 10.7 kn
Gusts to 20.4 kn
From SSW (201°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover95% Sunshine4.5 hrs Humidity69% Pressure1007.1 hPa Rain0.06 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 10 kn · SE 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Wisconsin: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.11)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.15
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.07 ± 0.20)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.11 means a rating gap counts about 10% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Wisconsin by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (41 labelled days at Wisconsin).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →