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Buckeye Invitational

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Cincinnati University of Cincinnati Bearcats 7 8 15
2 Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 9 12 21
3 University of Toledo University of Toledo Rockets 11 12 23
4 Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 14 25 39
5 Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 2 36 16 52
6 Denison University Denison University Big Red 33 22 55
7 Hope College Hope College Flying Dutchmen 21 35 56
8 Miami University Miami University Red Hawks 32 29 61
9 University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 34 30 64
10 Ohio University Ohio University Bobcats 27 46 73
11 Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 1 41 32 73
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
University of Cincinnati University of Cincinnati Bearcats 2 3 1 1 7 Jack Gardner '22
Adora Stephenson '25
Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 3 1 2 3 9 Luke Koerschner '23 [1-2]
Naveen Kumanan '23 [3-4]
Teddy Prokop '23 [1-2]
Corinne Nedeau '22 [3-4]
University of Toledo University of Toledo Rockets 4 2 3 2 11 Brian Pribe '22
Shelby Level '24
Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 1 4 4 5 14 Odey Hariri '24
William Popovich '22
Hope College Hope College Flying Dutchmen 6 5 6 4 21 Jennifer Falkner '24 [1-4]
Casey Flammini '24 [1-2]
Roch Gagnon '25 [3-4]
Ohio University Ohio University Bobcats 5 7 8 7 27 Crown Steiner '23
Erin Walsh '24
Miami University Miami University Red Hawks 7 6 10 9 32 Allison Hoeft '24 [1-2]
Jacob Maher '22 [3-4]
Bill Monroe '25 [1-2]
Joshua Durst '22 [3-4]
Denison University Denison University Big Red 11 11 5 6 33 Megan Keller '24
Turner Franco '24
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 8 9 9 8 34 Collin Kemper '22 [1-4]
Ava Downey '24 [1-2]
Ishani Basak '25 [3-4]
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 2 9 10 7 10 36 Emily Williams '25 [1-2]
Jolene Jirousek '25 [3-4]
Jolene Jirousek '25 [1-2]
Melissa Driscoll '24 [3-4]
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 1 10 8 DNF 11 41 Adam Frederick '24 [1-2]
Nathan Mugge '22 [3-4]
Abby Lefton '23 [1-2]
Lena Bercz '22 [3-4]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
University of Cincinnati University of Cincinnati Bearcats 2 4 1 1 8 Ethan Gallagher '23
Blake Salisbury '22
Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 1 7 2 2 12 Eva Rossell '23 [1-4]
Brandon Baswell '22 [1-2]
Maclain Mcallister '24 [3-4]
University of Toledo University of Toledo Rockets 3 1 3 5 12 Alex Schock '25
Nicholas Silecky '25
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 2 7 2 4 3 16 Erin Flanagan '23 [1-4]
Asha Edmondson '23 [1-2]
Jessie Kasper '23 [3-4]
Denison University Denison University Big Red 4 3 7 8 22 Peter Higley '23
Megan Keller '24
Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 5 5 6 9 25 Jack Shafer '22
Justin York '22
Miami University Miami University Red Hawks 8 6 8 7 29 Patrick Carroll '23 [1-2]
Tanner Knox '24 [3-4]
William Butler '23 [1-2]
Griffin Boothby '25 [3-4]
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 9 8 9 4 30 Carter Hrabrick '23
Brennah Satterfield '23
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 1 11 10 5 6 32 Sean Voiers '22 [1-2]
Robert Rennard '24 [3-4]
Catherine Mcclure '23 [1-2]
Hope College Hope College Flying Dutchmen 6 9 10 10 35 Laura Prince '24 [1-2]
Audrey Kaczmarek '23 [3-4]
Grace Goszkowicz '22 [1-2]
Jack Rutherford '25 [3-4]
Ohio University Ohio University Bobcats 10 DNS DNS DNS 46 Jackie Moran '22
Miles Bryant '24
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2018 (10 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
University of CincinnatiUniversity of Cincinnati Bearcats25257171
Denison UniversityDenison University Big Red22222424
Hope CollegeHope College Flying Dutchmen12121919
Miami UniversityMiami University Red Hawks18182020
Michigan State UniversityMichigan State University Spartans19192121
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish42421212
Ohio UniversityOhio University Bobcats23232525
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes 120202222
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes 221212323
Purdue UniversityPurdue University Boilermakers24244242
University of ToledoUniversity of Toledo Rockets71711818

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
University of CincinnatiUniversity of Cincinnati Bearcats42421212
Denison UniversityDenison University Big Red23232525
Hope CollegeHope College Flying Dutchmen18182020
Miami UniversityMiami University Red Hawks19192121
Michigan State UniversityMichigan State University Spartans20202222
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish71711818
Ohio UniversityOhio University Bobcats24244242
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes 121212323
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes 222222424
Purdue UniversityPurdue University Boilermakers25257171
University of ToledoUniversity of Toledo Rockets12121919
School / Team SkipperCrew
Denison University Denison University Megan Keller '24 Turner Franco '24
Big Red Peter Higley '23 Megan Keller '24
Hope College Hope College Jennifer Falkner '24 [1-4] Casey Flammini '24 [1-2]
Roch Gagnon '25 [3-4]
Flying Dutchmen Laura Prince '24 [1-2]
Audrey Kaczmarek '23 [3-4]		 Grace Goszkowicz '22 [1-2]
Jack Rutherford '25 [3-4]
Miami University Miami University Allison Hoeft '24 [1-2]
Jacob Maher '22 [3-4]		 Bill Monroe '25 [1-2]
Joshua Durst '22 [3-4]
Red Hawks Patrick Carroll '23 [1-2]
Tanner Knox '24 [3-4]		 William Butler '23 [1-2]
Griffin Boothby '25 [3-4]
Michigan State University Michigan State University Luke Koerschner '23 [1-2]
Naveen Kumanan '23 [3-4]		 Teddy Prokop '23 [1-2]
Corinne Nedeau '22 [3-4]
Spartans Eva Rossell '23 [1-4] Brandon Baswell '22 [1-2]
Maclain Mcallister '24 [3-4]
Ohio State University Ohio State University Adam Frederick '24 [1-2]
Nathan Mugge '22 [3-4]		 Abby Lefton '23 [1-2]
Lena Bercz '22 [3-4]
Buckeyes 1 Sean Voiers '22 [1-2]
Robert Rennard '24 [3-4]		 Catherine Mcclure '23 [1-2]
Ohio State University Ohio State University Emily Williams '25 [1-2]
Jolene Jirousek '25 [3-4]		 Jolene Jirousek '25 [1-2]
Melissa Driscoll '24 [3-4]
Buckeyes 2 Erin Flanagan '23 [1-4] Asha Edmondson '23 [1-2]
Jessie Kasper '23 [3-4]
Ohio University Ohio University Crown Steiner '23 Erin Walsh '24
Bobcats Jackie Moran '22 Miles Bryant '24
Purdue University Purdue University Odey Hariri '24 William Popovich '22
Boilermakers Jack Shafer '22 Justin York '22
University of Cincinnati University of Cincinnati Jack Gardner '22 Adora Stephenson '25
Bearcats Ethan Gallagher '23 Blake Salisbury '22
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Collin Kemper '22 [1-4] Ava Downey '24 [1-2]
Ishani Basak '25 [3-4]
Fighting Irish Carter Hrabrick '23 Brennah Satterfield '23
University of Toledo University of Toledo Brian Pribe '22 Shelby Level '24
Rockets Alex Schock '25 Nicholas Silecky '25

Conditions — 09/18/2021 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 64%  ·  Pressure 1019.9 hPa

Temperature

80°F
↑ 86°F   ↓ 68°F
Feels like 85°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
2.1 kn
avg  ·  max 4.1 kn
Gusts to 9.7 kn
From NE (37°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover19% Sunshine10.6 hrs Humidity64% Pressure1019.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 5 kn · SE 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Ohio State: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.25)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.13 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.12
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.52 ± 0.22)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.25 means a rating gap counts about 22% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Ohio State by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 9 labelled days at Ohio State, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →