Cary Price

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 5 6 11
2 Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 14 8 22
3 University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 2 8 17 25
4 Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 1 18 11 29
5 Ohio University Ohio University Bobcats 17 15 32
6 Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 2 20 15 35
7 University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 1 12 25 37
8 University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 15 24 39
9 Gannon University Gannon University Knights 26 14 40
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 1 3 1 5 Jacob Macdonald '23
Dylan Gorman '25
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 2 2 2 4 8 Brody Schwartz '24
Isaac Bigsby '22
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 1 4 1 7 12 Emily Pytell '25
Abigail Paul '25
Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 7 4 3 14 Dominique Delano '23 [1-3]
Amelia Burke '23 [1-2]
Aidan King '25 [3]
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 3 6 6 15 Nicholas Peluchiwski '22
Kelsey Kennedy '22
Ohio University Ohio University Bobcats 8 7 2 17 Nick Maude '22
Crown Steiner '23
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 1 5 5 8 18 Marina Hutzler '23
Eva Bambakidis '22
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 2 6 9 5 20 Gabriel Abbott '23
Valeria Vita '23
Gannon University Gannon University Knights 9 8 9 26 Helen Livingston '22 [1-3]
Jessica Thomas '23 [1-2]
Dima Murtada '23 [3]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 2 3 1 6 Jack Schweda '24
Kerstin Hyer '25
Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 1 4 3 8 Naveen Kumanan '23
Guy Sloan '24
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 1 3 6 2 11 Maxime Visa '23
Jenna Spray '23
Gannon University Gannon University Knights 5 1 8 14 Luca Hokaj '24
Edwin Lopez '23
Ohio University Ohio University Bobcats 4 5 6 15 Siri Schantz '23
Carly Wisner '25
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 2 8 2 5 15 Rachel Spahn '24 [1-2]
Owen Lubben '24 [3]
Lucy Vogt '24 [1-2]
Peter Spoerri '23 [3]
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 2 6 7 4 17 Gordon Fream '25 [1-2]
Samuel Stephens '25 [3]
Hal Berdichesky '23 [1-2]
Tina Zou '23 [3]
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 7 8 9 24 Marcelo Bernath Piccolotto '22 [1-3]
Rose Cummins '24 [1-2]
Isabella Cipriano '25 [3]
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 1 9 9 7 25 Anna Brieden '24
Lillian Schneider '24
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2018 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A
Gannon UniversityGannon University Knights113
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines 1668
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines 2779
Michigan State UniversityMichigan State University Spartans224
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats 1335
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats 2446
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish881
Ohio UniversityOhio University Bobcats557
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers992

Division B

Team1B2B3B
Gannon UniversityGannon University Knights224
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines 1779
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines 2881
Michigan State UniversityMichigan State University Spartans335
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats 1446
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats 2557
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish992
Ohio UniversityOhio University Bobcats668
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers113

Conditions — 10/02/2021 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 64%  ·  Pressure 1017.6 hPa

Temperature

67°F
↑ 72°F   ↓ 57°F
Feels like 66°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.1 kn
avg  ·  max 7.5 kn
Gusts to 18.1 kn
From SSW (205°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover95% Sunshine7.4 hrs Humidity64% Pressure1017.6 hPa Rain0.04 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 9 kn · W 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Michigan: a favourites’ day (+0.07)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.08 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.15
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.53 ± 0.24)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Michigan by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 12 labelled days at Michigan, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →