SAISA North Points #3

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 1 5 4 9
2 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 2 12 6 18
3 The Citadel The Citadel Bulldogs 9 17 26
4 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 13 16 29
5 Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 20 9 29
6 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 22 11 33
7 The Citadel The Citadel Corps 16 23 39
8 Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 18 22 40
9 Wake Forest University Wake Forest University Demon Deacons 20 27 47
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 1 1 2 2 5 Charles Mckenzie '25
Leah Cody '25
The Citadel The Citadel Bulldogs 4 4 1 9 Gregory Walters '24
Kingsland Bland '23
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 2 6 1 5 12 Fredrikke Foss '25
Chloe Hudgins '24
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 2 5 6 13 Olivia Sowa '24
Josey Buescher '22
The Citadel The Citadel Corps 7 6 3 16 Malcolm Mcalister '23
Jessica Crawford '23
Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 8 3 7 18 Ian Hoogenboom '25
Milo Chung '25
Wake Forest University Wake Forest University Demon Deacons 3 8 9 20 Chris Straub '23
Mason Bhola '24
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 5 7 8 20 Paige Berta '24
Madison Leslie '23
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 9 9 4 22 Kyle Meyhoefer '21
Lauren Mellinger '25
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 1 1 1 2 4 Ethan Homberger '25
Nina Lubchenco '25
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 2 2 3 1 6 Grace Beard '25
Sophia Browne '25
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 4 2 3 9 Nilah Miller '25
Ella Smith '24
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 3 4 4 11 Chandler Scott '23
Macon Bauknight '25
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 5 6 5 16 Annika Milstien '25
Gracie Goodman '23
The Citadel The Citadel Bulldogs 6 5 6 17 Robert Turner '22
Brooke Cheatham '23
Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 7 7 8 22 Maya Lytje '23
Stella Wang '22
The Citadel The Citadel Corps 8 8 7 23 Walter Prause '24
Donald Garbade '23
Wake Forest University Wake Forest University Demon Deacons 9 9 9 27 Mary Outland '25
Georgia Duncan '25
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2021 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars 1222
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars 2333
The CitadelThe Citadel Bulldogs777
The CitadelThe Citadel Corps888
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers111
Duke UniversityDuke University Blue Devils444
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets555
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack666
Wake Forest UniversityWake Forest University Demon Deacons999

Division B

Team1B2B3B
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars 1333
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars 2444
The CitadelThe Citadel Bulldogs888
The CitadelThe Citadel Corps999
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers222
Duke UniversityDuke University Blue Devils555
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets666
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack777
Wake Forest UniversityWake Forest University Demon Deacons111

Conditions — 09/25/2021 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 59%  ·  Pressure 1017.7 hPa

Temperature

72°F
↑ 77°F   ↓ 60°F
Feels like 73°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.2 kn
avg  ·  max 6.2 kn
Gusts to 12.8 kn
From NNW (343°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover51% Sunshine10.8 hrs Humidity59% Pressure1017.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Citadel: a favourites’ day (+0.07)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.06 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.13
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.17 ± 0.24)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Citadel by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 8 labelled days at Citadel, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →