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Cascadia Cup Silver College

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 5 2 7
2 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 8 10
3 Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 2 10 5 15
4 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 10 5 15
5 University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 5 15 20
6 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 10 13 23
7 Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 1 16 12 28
8 University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 16 12 28
9 University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 16 19 35
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.190+0.19
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (10 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A
Oregon State UniversityOregon State University Beavers 166
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes8484

Division B

Team1B2B
Oregon State UniversityOregon State University Beavers 166
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes8484

Conditions — 10/15/2022 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 58%  ·  Pressure 1014.9 hPa

Temperature

65°F
↑ 73°F   ↓ 48°F
Feels like 61°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.3 kn
avg  ·  max 10.5 kn
Gusts to 22.0 kn
From S (189°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover3% Sunshine10.6 hrs Humidity58% Pressure1014.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 5 kn · NE 2 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Washington: a favourites’ day (+0.06)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.11 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.17
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.07 ± 0.37)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 6% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Washington by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (37 labelled days at Washington).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →