Kingsmill Cup

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 14 7 21
2 University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 24 10 34
3 William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 23 15 38
4 Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 25 16 41
5 Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 24 17 41
6 Terps Terps Terps 25 19 44
7 American University American University Eagles 37 29 66
8 Catholic University of America Catholic University of America Cardinals 44 32 76
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 2 3 4 1 1 3 14 Can Dilikoglu '23
Mateo Manzanares '23
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 3 4 5 2 2 7 23 Constantyn Van Der Voort '23 [1-6]
Alexa Bodor '26 [1-4]
Charlotte-Emilie Pirnik '24 [5-6]
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 4 6 1 6 6 1 24 Aston Atherton '26
Shelby Svilich '23
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 6 5 2 4 3 4 24 Andrew Montague '25
Emma Sullivan '23
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 1 1 6 3 8 6 25 Aidan Young '24 [1-4]
Daniel Langdon '26 [5-6]
Ava Walker '23 [1-4]
James Corckran '23 [5-6]
Terps Terps Terps 5 2 3 5 5 5 25
American University American University Eagles 8 7 8 8 4 2 37 Anika Liner '25 [1-6]
Thomas Clauson '26 [1-4]
Julia Kane '25 [5-6]
Catholic University of America Catholic University of America Cardinals 7 8 7 7 7 8 44 Benedict Gorman '25
Eilis Mccormick '23
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 2 2 1 2 7 Stefano Palamara '25
Tommaso Ciaglia '25
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 3 1 3 3 10 Maxwell Penders '25 [1-4]
Claire Miller '26 [1-2]
Grant Giangrasso '24 [3-4]
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 6 3 2 4 15 Sam Dutilly '24 [1-2, 4]
Samantha Forgosh '26 [3]
Elizabeth Van Der Voort '25 [1-2, 4]
Daniel Shpigel '25 [3]
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 1 5 4 6 16 Brock Diaz '23
Adam Ginsburg '25
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 4 6 6 1 17 Gail Schneider '25
Sebastian Beavers '26
Terps Terps Terps 5 4 5 5 19
American University American University Eagles 8 7 7 7 29 Jacob Juros '24 [1-4]
Julia Kane '25 [1-3]
Jesse Barba '24 [4]
Catholic University of America Catholic University of America Cardinals 7 8 8 DNS 32 Jane Pilato '23
Faith Dickerson '25
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (14 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
American UniversityAmerican University Eagles113355
Catholic University of AmericaCatholic University of America Cardinals224466
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains335577
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates446688
TerpsTerps Terps557711
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos668822
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Hokies771133
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe882244

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
American UniversityAmerican University Eagles2244
Catholic University of AmericaCatholic University of America Cardinals3355
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains4466
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates5577
TerpsTerps Terps6688
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos7711
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Hokies8822
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe1133

Conditions — 09/17/2022 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 58%  ·  Pressure 1023.6 hPa

Temperature

76°F
↑ 81°F   ↓ 62°F
Feels like 78°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.5 kn
avg  ·  max 6.2 kn
Gusts to 15.4 kn
From E (86°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover5% Sunshine10.9 hrs Humidity58% Pressure1023.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 7 kn · SW 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at William and Mary: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.10)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.08 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.03
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.06 ± 0.23)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.10 means a rating gap counts about 9% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at William and Mary by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 10 labelled days at William and Mary, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →