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SAISA North Fall Tournament

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 10 3 13
2 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 6 20 26
3 University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 18 8 26
4 University of North Carolina University of North Carolina Tar Heels 17 13 30
5 Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 17 14 31
6 Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 9 23 32
7 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 22 10 32
8 Wake Forest University Wake Forest University Demon Deacons 10 30 40
9 University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington The Dub 30 18 48
10 University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 24 26 50
11 University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 30 36 66
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.130+0.13
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (23 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars222
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers111
Duke UniversityDuke University Blue Devils333
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs666
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets444
University of North CarolinaUniversity of North Carolina Tar Heels121212
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack555
University of TennesseeUniversity of Tennessee Volunteers101010
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks888
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington The Dub999
Wake Forest UniversityWake Forest University Demon Deacons111111

Division B

Team1B2B3B
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars333
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers222
Duke UniversityDuke University Blue Devils444
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs121212
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets555
University of North CarolinaUniversity of North Carolina Tar Heels888
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack666
University of TennesseeUniversity of Tennessee Volunteers111111
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks999
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington The Dub101010
Wake Forest UniversityWake Forest University Demon Deacons111

Conditions — 09/11/2022 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 84%  ·  Pressure 1017.9 hPa

Temperature

82°F
↑ 85°F   ↓ 78°F
Feels like 92°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.7 kn
avg  ·  max 8.0 kn
Gusts to 16.3 kn
From SSW (210°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover90% Sunshine9.7 hrs Humidity84% Pressure1017.9 hPa Rain0.06 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at UNC Wilmington: a typical day (−0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.11 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.09
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.10 ± 0.21)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at UNC Wilmington by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (15 labelled days at UNC Wilmington).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →