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SEISA Fall Women's Championship

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 22
2 Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 50
3 University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 75
4 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 79
5 University of Central Oklahoma University of Central Oklahoma Bronchos 123
6 Baylor University Baylor University Bears 138
7 Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders 163
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave B 2 1 1 1 1 1 7 Lucy Spearman '25
Catherine Anderson '26
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave A 1 2 3 3 4 2 15 Ashley Hoguet '26
Megan Cassidy '26
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies B 4 3 5 6 2 3 23 Kate Hennig '26
Katy Heaney '23
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns A 3 5 4 4 3 5 24 Caroline Dubois-Weber '23
Ruochen Jin '24
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies A 6 4 2 5 6 4 27 Hanna Progelhof '25
Emily Davison '24
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies A 5 7 6 2 5 9 34 Madeleine Adams '22
Haley Foster '26
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies B 8 6 9 8 7 7 45 Cecillia Siegel '25
Alyssandra Laplant '25
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns B 7 10 8 10 10 6 51 Sophia Herrada '24
Lillian Egan '23
University of Central Oklahoma University of Central Oklahoma Bronchos B 9 DNF 7 9 9 8 57 Olivia Miller '23 [1-6]
Catherine Bruce '23 [1-4]
Makenzie Benedict '26 [5-6]
University of Central Oklahoma University of Central Oklahoma Bronchos A 11 9 12 11 11 12 66 Ana Savva Garcia '25 [1-6]
Peyton Miller '24 [1-4]
Kayla Parsons '24 [5-6]
Baylor University Baylor University Bears B DNS DNS 11 7 8 10 66 Meghan Collett '24
Danielle Day '22
Baylor University Baylor University Bears A 10 DNS 10 12 12 13 72 Annie Arvidson '22
Madeline Glasper '26
Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders A DNS 8 13 13 13 11 73 Hailey Howerton '24
Michelle Kotch '23
Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders B DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 90 No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2010 (34 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Baylor UniversityBaylor University Bears114455
University of Central OklahomaUniversity of Central Oklahoma Bronchos9910101111
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns101011111212
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies445566
Texas A&M University at Corpus ChristiTexas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders556688
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies668899
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave88991010

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Baylor UniversityBaylor University Bears111112121414
University of Central OklahomaUniversity of Central Oklahoma Bronchos1717181811
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns18181144
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies121214141515
Texas A&M University at Corpus ChristiTexas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders141415151616
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies151516161717
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave161617171818

Conditions — 10/29/2022 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 61%  ·  Pressure 1017.7 hPa

Temperature

65°F
↑ 70°F   ↓ 56°F
Feels like 60°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
11.2 kn
avg  ·  max 15.7 kn
Gusts to 25.9 kn
From NW (324°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover83% Sunshine5.7 hrs Humidity61% Pressure1017.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 14 kn · NW 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Texas: a favourites’ day (+0.07)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.15 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.23
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.24 ± 0.21)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Texas by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (19 labelled days at Texas).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →