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Troy Swetnam Memorial Regatta 2022

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of North Texas University of North Texas Mean Green 13 12 25
2 University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 1 18 14 32
3 Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 19 19 38
4 University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 2 36 23 59
5 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1 41 24 65
6 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2 45 41 86
7 University of Central Oklahoma University of Central Oklahoma Bronchos 52 35 87
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of North Texas University of North Texas Mean Green 1 2 1 1 2 4 1 1 13 Dutch Byerly '24 [1-8]
Alana Babilonia '25 [1-4, 7-8]
Daniel Leffman '23 [5-6]
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 1 2 1 3 2 3 1 3 3 18 Reilly Linn '23
Warren Wegener '23
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 3 4 2 3 1 2 2 2 19 Hanna Progelhof '25
Maggie Menefee '25
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 2 6 3 4 4 5 3 5 6 36 Etienne Black '23 [1-8]
Delilah D'Souza '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Ruochen Jin '24 [3-4, 7-8]
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1 4 5 6 6 4 5 6 5 41 Jacob Granberry '26
Alyssa Lawton '25
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2 5 6 5 7 7 7 4 4 45 Emily Gaskins '25 [1-6]
Madeleine Adams '22 [7-8]
John Mcqueen '25 [1-4]
Kylee Williams '25 [5-8]
University of Central Oklahoma University of Central Oklahoma Bronchos 7 7 7 5 6 6 7 7 52 Olivia Miller '23
Peyton Miller '24
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
University of North Texas University of North Texas Mean Green 2 1 2 3 3 1 12 Taylor Snyder '24
Timothy Verriere '24
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 1 3 3 4 1 1 2 14 Thomas Norman '23
Rohit Rajan '26
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 1 2 3 5 4 4 19 Kate Hennig '26
Jonathan Zhou '23
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 2 5 4 1 2 5 6 23 Sophia Herrada '24
Leigha Forrest '24
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1 4 6 5 4 2 3 24 Cecillia Siegel '25
Alyssandra Laplant '25
University of Central Oklahoma University of Central Oklahoma Bronchos 7 5 6 6 6 5 35 Catherine Bruce '23
Ana Savva Garcia '25
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2 6 7 7 7 7 7 41 Haley Foster '26 [1-6]
Madeleine Adams '22 [1-2]
Bruce Fendig '25 [3-6]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (26 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
University of Central OklahomaUniversity of Central Oklahoma Bronchos55772244
University of North TexasUniversity of North Texas Mean Green66883355
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns 177224466
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns 288335577
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies22446688
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 133557722
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 244668833

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
University of Central OklahomaUniversity of Central Oklahoma Bronchos668833
University of North TexasUniversity of North Texas Mean Green772244
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns 1883355
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns 2224466
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies335577
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1446688
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2557722

Conditions — 09/17/2022 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 62%  ·  Pressure 1016.0 hPa

Temperature

86°F
↑ 88°F   ↓ 84°F
Feels like 92°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.9 kn
avg  ·  max 10.2 kn
Gusts to 18.1 kn
From SE (129°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover11% Sunshine10.8 hrs Humidity62% Pressure1016.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 11 kn · E 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Texas A&M Galveston: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.15)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.14 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.29
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.03 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.15 means a rating gap counts about 13% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Texas A&M Galveston by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (29 labelled days at Texas A&M Galveston).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →