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Webb/Wollum

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 120
2 Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 169
3 Washington College Washington College Shoremen 170
4 George Washington University George Washington University Buff and Blue 206
5 University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 379
6 Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 416
7 William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 449
8 Catholic University of America Catholic University of America Cardinals 556
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 R17 R18 TOT Sailors
Washington College Washington College Shoremen A 3 3 2 2 1 2 6 1 4 8 3 2 5 3 5 2 1 1 54 Stewart Gurnell '23
Andrew Tran '23
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains A 2 1 1 8 2 1 4 7 2 3 4 BKD 1 5 4 3 3 2 56 Brian Fox '23
Carson Rozell '23
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains B 1 2 4 1 4 6 2 2 6 5 2 8 3 1 7 4 2 4 64 David Grace '23
Patrick Enos '26
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates A 6 5 7 4 6 3 1 4 1 2 1 4 6 4 2 9 4 3 72 Valerio Palamara '24 [1-18]
Mateo Manzanares '23 [1-10]
Can Dilikoglu '23 [11-18]
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates B 7 7 3 3 3 8 3 6 7 7 7 1 2 8 3 6 7 9 97 Stefano Palamara '25
Tommaso Ciaglia '25
George Washington University George Washington University Buff and Blue A 4 9 5 5 7 4 9 5 8 4 9 6 4 2 1 5 8 6 101 Jack Fisher '25
Nick Lopez '26
George Washington University George Washington University Buff and Blue B 9 6 8 6 9 5 7 8 3 1 5 3 9 6 9 1 5 5 105 Tryg Van Wyk '26
Jedidiah Bechtel '26
Washington College Washington College Shoremen B 5 4 9 7 5 11 5 3 5 6 6 5 8 7 6 10 6 8 116 Kennedy Jones '24 [1-18]
Emma Macturk '23 [1-10]
Grayson Wright '25 [11-18]
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos A 8 8 10 12 13 12 11 10 11 10 11 12 13 10 10 8 11 7 187 Mason Chapman '26 [1-18]
Colin Miedler '26 [1-4, 9-10, 15-18]
Thomas Isberg '25 [5-8, 11-14]
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos B 10 13 6 11 8 9 10 9 9 9 12 11 10 13 12 14 13 13 192 Connor Lothrop '24
Patrick Mcbride '25
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies A 12 10 11 10 12 7 8 13 10 11 13 10 12 11 11 13 10 11 195 Joshua Almany '26 [1-18]
Arturo Soriano Iii '27 [1-6, 11-18]
Margaret Leary '25 [7-10]
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe B 15 14 12 14 16 16 16 14 15 12 8 7 7 9 8 7 9 10 209 Daniel Shpigel '25
Daniel Robbins '26
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies B 14 12 13 9 14 10 12 16 12 13 10 9 11 12 DNS 11 12 14 221 Brock Diaz '23 [1-18]
Alexander Read '26 [1-10]
Margaret Leary '25 [11-18]
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe A 13 11 14 13 10 13 14 11 13 16 14 13 DNS DNS 13 12 14 12 240 Katherine Perriello '25 [1-10]
Constantyn Van Der Voort '23 [11-18]
Gabrielle Buffaloe '23 [1-10]
Levi Nathans '23 [11-18]
Catholic University of America Catholic University of America Cardinals A 11 15 15 16 11 14 15 12 16 15 DNS 15 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 274 Caroline Grogan '26
Eilis Mccormick '23
Catholic University of America Catholic University of America Cardinals B 16 16 16 15 15 15 13 15 14 14 DNS DNS 14 DNF DNS DNS DNS DNS 282 Catey Knopf '23 [1-18]
Benedict Gorman '25 [1-10]
Margaret Kelly '23 [11-18]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2013 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A15A16A17A18A
Catholic University of AmericaCatholic University of America Cardinals1122334477889910101111
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains22111818171716161515141413131212
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Buff and Blue33447788991010111112121313
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates4433221118181717161615151414
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos778899101011111212131314141515
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Hokies887744332211181817171616
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen9910101111121213131414151516161717
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe1010998877443322111818

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B15B16B17B18B
Catholic University of AmericaCatholic University of America Cardinals1111121213131414151516161717181811
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains121211111010998877443322
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Buff and Blue131314141515161617171818112233
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates1414131312121111101099887744
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos15151616171718181122334477
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Hokies16161515141413131212111110109988
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen1717181811223344778899
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe181817171616151514141313121211111010

Conditions — 09/24/2022 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 43%  ·  Pressure 1018.6 hPa

Temperature

69°F
↑ 76°F   ↓ 59°F
Feels like 67°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.5 kn
avg  ·  max 7.8 kn
Gusts to 15.2 kn
From WSW (254°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover36% Sunshine9.4 hrs Humidity43% Pressure1018.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 6 kn · SW 14 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Christopher Newport: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.03 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.01
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.14 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Christopher Newport by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (24 labelled days at Christopher Newport).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →