SAISA Top 9 Invite

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 33
2 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 68
3 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 87
4 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 101
5 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 106
6 Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 116
7 Rollins College Rollins College Tars 135
8 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 183
9 University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 197
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars A 1 2 3 1 5 2 14 Noah Zittrer '26
Chloe Hudgins '24
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars B 6 4 2 2 4 1 19 Benjamin Dufour '26
Lucy Klempen '24
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins B 3 5 6 5 3 5 27 Matthew King '24
Rori Bywater '25
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes B 4 3 4 4 7 10 32 Aidan Dennis '25
Danielle Ketner '26
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls B 9 6 8 8 1 3 35 Eden Nykamp '25
Brilan Christopher '24
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes A 7 1 1 7 11 9 36 Atlee Kohl '25
Natalie Elder '25
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack A 8 8 11 3 6 4 40 Adam Larson '24
Sean Harris '25
Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles B 13 14 5 6 12 7 57 Brady Parks '25
Niah Ford '26
Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles A 11 9 7 9 9 14 59 Katie Nelson '24
Tia Schoening '26
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins A 14 11 9 10 10 6 60 Emily Allen '25
Reagan Carris '26
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls A 17 10 15 11 2 11 66 Humberto Porrata '25 [1-2]
Andreas Keswater '24 [3-6]
Emmy Digiacomo '24 [1-2]
Melissa Janes '26 [3-6]
Rollins College Rollins College Tars B 5 12 16 13 8 12 66 Hilton Kamps '25
Zi Burns '25
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack B 15 7 10 12 14 8 66 Isabella Du Plessis '25
Jacob Friend '25
Rollins College Rollins College Tars A 2 13 12 14 15 13 69 Ka Hamner '26 [1-6]
Maggie Burnham '26 [1-4]
Sam Frushone '27 [5-6]
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons A 10 17 14 15 13 16 85 Carter Morin '25
Brooks Jordan '24
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks B 12 16 13 16 18 15 90 Thomas Gallant '25
Alana Vodicka '26
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons B 16 15 17 17 16 17 98 Morgan Smith '27 [1-6]
Sophie Leduc '26 [1-3]
Lily Schwartz '25 [4-6]
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks A 18 18 18 18 17 18 107 Jacob Crandall '27
Anna Soykan '25
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2013 (18 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars111222
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons222111
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles333444
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins444333
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes777888
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack555666
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars666555
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Gamecocks888777
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls999101010

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars101010999
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons111111121212
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles121212111111
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins131313141414
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes161616151515
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack141414131313
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars151515161616
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Gamecocks171717181818
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls181818171717

Conditions — 09/09/2023 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 83%  ·  Pressure 1015.8 hPa

Temperature

77°F
↑ 80°F   ↓ 74°F
Feels like 83°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.8 kn
avg  ·  max 10.0 kn
Gusts to 16.5 kn
From SSE (151°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover63% Sunshine7.9 hrs Humidity83% Pressure1015.8 hPa Rain0.47 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 8 kn · S 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Charleston: an underdogs’ day (−0.05)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.08 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.13
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.12 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Charleston by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (69 labelled days at Charleston).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →