Navigate

The Ashley River Trophy

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 6 6 12
2 College of Charleston College of Charleston Soul 9 11 20
3 The Citadel The Citadel Bulldogs 32 18 50
4 Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 30 21 51
5 Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 20 34 54
6 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 27 39 66
7 Clemson University Clemson University Purple 33 44 77
8 The Citadel The Citadel Corps 46 35 81
9 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 36 58 94
10 University of North Carolina University of North Carolina Tar Heels 51 43 94
11 University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 65 37 102
12 Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt University Commodores 43 61 104
13 University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 58 48 106
14 College of Coastal Georgia College of Coastal Georgia Mariners 69 75 144
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 1 1 1 2 1 6 Jonnie Ciffolillo '27 [1-3]
Griffin Beaulieu '27 [4-5]
Sophia Browne '25 [1-3]
College of Charleston College of Charleston Soul 2 2 2 1 2 9 Harrison Thomson '26
Andrea Melnik '27
Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 6 3 5 3 3 20 Ian Hoogenboom '25
Jack Wigmore '27
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 5 6 4 7 5 27 William Wheary '28
Olivia Soucy '28
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 3 11 3 6 7 30 Luke Adams '28
Bryson Eaton '28
The Citadel The Citadel Bulldogs 4 8 6 8 6 32 Andrew Tollefson '26
Ben Stevenson '27
Clemson University Clemson University Purple 7 4 8 4 10 33 Charlie Bergendahl '28
Paige Phillips '25
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 10 7 10 5 4 36 Annika Kaelin '28
Francesca Ruhe '26
Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt University Commodores 9 5 7 11 11 43 Jack Schultz '27
No Show
The Citadel The Citadel Corps 8 9 12 9 8 46 Henry Parker '26 [1-5]
Alexander Tielens '28 [1]
Boone "Showtime" Morgan '26 [2-5]
University of North Carolina University of North Carolina Tar Heels 13 10 9 10 9 51 May Proctor '27 [1-5]
Jessica Baugh '27 [1, 4-5]
Julia Brighton '27 [2-3]
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 11 12 11 12 12 58 Robert Gates '26
Sarah Lillard '26
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 12 14 13 13 13 65 Julia Morash '27 [1-5]
Christopher Tierney '27 [1, 4-5]
Carley Yount '25 [2-3]
College of Coastal Georgia College of Coastal Georgia Mariners 14 13 14 14 14 69 James Nave '27 [1-5]
Benjamin Ribble '28 [1]
Mia Petritz '28 [2-3]
Zuzanna Ignaszak '25 [4-5]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 1 1 2 1 1 6 Dillon Garcia '27 [1-5]
Grace Beard '25 [1-3]
Paige Lubrano '26 [4-5]
College of Charleston College of Charleston Soul 2 3 1 3 2 11 Charlie Allen '28
Katie Hanley '26
The Citadel The Citadel Bulldogs 4 2 3 5 4 18 Kenneth Buck '26
Alana Hantz '27
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 3 4 4 4 6 21 Rowan Barnes '26
Vanessa Marahrens '26
Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 5 6 8 8 7 34 Zohar Almani '28
William Robertson '25
The Citadel The Citadel Corps 8 8 7 7 5 35 Camden Hom '26 [1-5]
Chloe Whitesell '28 [1-3]
Preston Cyr '27 [4-5]
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 7 5 9 6 10 37 Hailey Hathaway '26
Emma Frank '25
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 6 7 6 12 8 39 Liam Holder '28
Joseph Morgan '27
University of North Carolina University of North Carolina Tar Heels 12 13 13 2 3 43 Andrew Shaz '27 [1-3]
Noah Jost '27 [4-5]
Audrey Drabenstott '28 [1-3]
Julia Brighton '27 [4-5]
Clemson University Clemson University Purple 9 9 5 10 11 44 Samantha Bialek '24
Taylor Bulwinkle '28
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 10 10 10 9 9 48 Tyler Williams '26
London Toperzer '28
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 13 11 11 11 12 58 John Kelley '28
Alexey Tatarinov '27
Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt University Commodores 11 12 12 13 13 61 No Show
Connor Johnson '25
College of Coastal Georgia College of Coastal Georgia Mariners DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 75 No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2021 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars33355
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Soul44422
The CitadelThe Citadel Bulldogs9991111
The CitadelThe Citadel Corps10101088
Clemson UniversityClemson University Purple2221414
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers11133
College of Coastal GeorgiaCollege of Coastal Georgia Mariners55577
Duke UniversityDuke University Blue Devils66644
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets77799
University of North CarolinaUniversity of North Carolina Tar Heels1111111313
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack88866
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Gamecocks13131311
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks1212121010
Vanderbilt UniversityVanderbilt University Commodores1414141212

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars44466
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Soul33311
The CitadelThe Citadel Bulldogs1010101212
The CitadelThe Citadel Corps99977
Clemson UniversityClemson University Purple1111313
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers22244
College of Coastal GeorgiaCollege of Coastal Georgia Mariners66688
Duke UniversityDuke University Blue Devils55533
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets8881010
University of North CarolinaUniversity of North Carolina Tar Heels1212121414
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack77755
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Gamecocks14141422
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks11111199
Vanderbilt UniversityVanderbilt University Commodores1313131111
School / Team SkipperCrew
Clemson University Clemson University Charlie Bergendahl '28 Paige Phillips '25
Purple Samantha Bialek '24 Taylor Bulwinkle '28
Clemson University Clemson University Luke Adams '28 Bryson Eaton '28
Tigers Rowan Barnes '26 Vanessa Marahrens '26
College of Charleston College of Charleston Jonnie Ciffolillo '27 [1-3]
Griffin Beaulieu '27 [4-5]		 Sophia Browne '25 [1-3]
Cougars Dillon Garcia '27 [1-5] Grace Beard '25 [1-3]
Paige Lubrano '26 [4-5]
College of Charleston College of Charleston Harrison Thomson '26 Andrea Melnik '27
Soul Charlie Allen '28 Katie Hanley '26
College of Coastal Georgia College of Coastal Georgia James Nave '27 [1-5] Benjamin Ribble '28 [1]
Mia Petritz '28 [2-3]
Zuzanna Ignaszak '25 [4-5]
Mariners No Show No Show
Duke University Duke University Ian Hoogenboom '25 Jack Wigmore '27
Blue Devils Zohar Almani '28 William Robertson '25
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Annika Kaelin '28 Francesca Ruhe '26
Yellow Jackets John Kelley '28 Alexey Tatarinov '27
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University William Wheary '28 Olivia Soucy '28
Wolfpack Liam Holder '28 Joseph Morgan '27
The Citadel The Citadel Andrew Tollefson '26 Ben Stevenson '27
Bulldogs Kenneth Buck '26 Alana Hantz '27
The Citadel The Citadel Henry Parker '26 [1-5] Alexander Tielens '28 [1]
Boone "Showtime" Morgan '26 [2-5]
Corps Camden Hom '26 [1-5] Chloe Whitesell '28 [1-3]
Preston Cyr '27 [4-5]
University of North Carolina University of North Carolina May Proctor '27 [1-5] Jessica Baugh '27 [1, 4-5]
Julia Brighton '27 [2-3]
Tar Heels Andrew Shaz '27 [1-3]
Noah Jost '27 [4-5]		 Audrey Drabenstott '28 [1-3]
Julia Brighton '27 [4-5]
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Julia Morash '27 [1-5] Christopher Tierney '27 [1, 4-5]
Carley Yount '25 [2-3]
Seahawks Hailey Hathaway '26 Emma Frank '25
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Robert Gates '26 Sarah Lillard '26
Gamecocks Tyler Williams '26 London Toperzer '28
Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt University Jack Schultz '27 No Show
Commodores No Show Connor Johnson '25

Conditions — 09/15/2024 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 80%  ·  Pressure 1015.0 hPa

Temperature

77°F
↑ 80°F   ↓ 72°F
Feels like 78°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
14.4 kn
avg  ·  max 17.0 kn
Gusts to 30.3 kn
From NE (44°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover87% Sunshine5.5 hrs Humidity80% Pressure1015.0 hPa Rain0.05 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 16 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Citadel: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.05 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.01
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.29 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Citadel by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 8 labelled days at Citadel, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →