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Cascadia Cup JV

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 11 6 17
2 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 17 7 24
3 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 8 18 26
4 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 14 12 26
5 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 3 16 17 33
6 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 19 24 43
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 1 1 3 3 8 Nathan Gerber '26
Kerry Wier '25
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 2 2 5 2 11 Owen Thomas '27
Lhotse Rowell '28
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 DNF 5 1 1 14 Oliver Nairn '27
Ava Butterfield '28
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 3 4 4 4 4 16 Kieran Lyons '26
Allegra Mcalpin '27
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 3 6 2 6 17 Alexander Turloff '27
Calvin Blaser '25
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 5 3 6 5 19 Caroline Hurley '25
Ella Barnard '24
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 1 2 2 1 6 Maxwell Miller '25
Samyel Macray '26
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 3 1 1 2 7 Alexander Turloff '27
Calvin Blaser '25
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 2 3 4 3 12 Lucien Freemesser '27
Jeffrey Kriegh '27
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 3 4 4 5 4 17 Jaxon Gordon '25
Oliver Sommer '27
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 5 5 3 5 18 Nathan Gerber '26
Kerry Wier '25
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 6 6 6 6 24 Caroline Hurley '25
Ella Barnard '24
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.190+0.19
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (12 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 13333
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 240404040
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 35555
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 14444
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 26666
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 37777

Conditions — 10/12/2024 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 54%  ·  Pressure 1016.2 hPa

Temperature

69°F
↑ 75°F   ↓ 54°F
Feels like 67°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.5 kn
avg  ·  max 7.3 kn
Gusts to 15.6 kn
From W (279°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover8% Sunshine10.7 hrs Humidity54% Pressure1016.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 9 kn · S 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Washington: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.04
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.10 ± 0.34)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Washington by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (37 labelled days at Washington).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →