SEISA Women's Fall Championship

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 15
2 Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 36
3 University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 59
4 Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders 78
5 University of Kansas University of Kansas Jayhawks 90
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave A 2 1 2 1 1 7 Ashley Hoguet '26
Parker Kumler '27
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave B 1 2 1 2 2 8 Lola Kohl '28
Taylor Bartell '28
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies A 4 3 3 3 5 18 Kate Hennig '26
Grace Williams '27
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies B 3 4 4 4 3 18 Sydney Krahulik '27
Evelyn Dubois '27
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns A 8 5 5 6 4 28 Sophia Herrada '24
Reema Nannapaneni '27
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns B 5 7 6 7 6 31 Avery House '27
Ayesha Satpathy '28
Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders A 6 6 7 9 7 35 Maddy Lee '27
Jordan Wilcox '26
University of Kansas University of Kansas Jayhawks A 7 8 8 8 DNS 42 Olivia Lischer '26
Ashley Stephen '27
Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders B 10 10 10 5 8 43 Destini Sanchez-Warren '27
Mandy Gergen '28
University of Kansas University of Kansas Jayhawks B 9 9 9 10 DNS 48 Paige Lischer '28
Iris Miculek '28
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2023 (8 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
University of KansasUniversity of Kansas Jayhawks4441111
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns55566
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies11122
Texas A&M University at Corpus ChristiTexas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders22211
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave11111144

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
University of KansasUniversity of Kansas Jayhawks9991010
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns10101099
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies66655
Texas A&M University at Corpus ChristiTexas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders7771212
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave12121277

Conditions — 10/27/2024 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 51%  ·  Pressure 1020.7 hPa

Temperature

83°F
↑ 91°F   ↓ 68°F
Feels like 85°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.0 kn
avg  ·  max 7.4 kn
Gusts to 14.2 kn
From SSW (195°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover8% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity51% Pressure1020.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 8 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Texas: a favourites’ day (+0.08)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.16 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.24
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.54 ± 0.28)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.08 means a rating gap counts about 7% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Texas by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (19 labelled days at Texas).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →