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Stoney Burke Womens

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 15 18 33
2 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 18 18 36
3 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 21 18 39
4 Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 36 36 72
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 1 1 1 2 1 3 1 3 2 15 Morgana Manti '26
Julia Szymanski '28
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 2 3 3 3 2 1 2 1 1 18 Florence Duff '25
Emily Yong '25
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 3 2 2 1 3 2 3 2 3 21 Katherine Olsen '25
Amelia Gassner '24
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 36 Sadie Hoberman '25
Gillian Cate '25
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 1 2 1 3 1 3 2 3 2 18 Victoria Chen '25 [1-9]
Annika Baumgartner '28 [1-6]
Catherine Arcaris '26 [7-9]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 2 3 3 2 3 2 1 1 1 18 Annika Burns '27 [1-9]
Simone Karlon '27 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Catalina Brody '28 [3-4, 7-8]
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 3 1 2 1 2 1 3 2 3 18 Lara Granucci '28
Isabella Rangel '25
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 36 Erin Welker '27
Samantha George '27
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.210+0.21
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (8 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Sun Devils404040404040404040
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears242424242424242424
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans137137137137137137137137137

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Sun Devils404040404040404040
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears242424242424242424
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans137137137137137137137137137

Conditions — 10/19/2024 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 19%  ·  Pressure 1017.8 hPa

Temperature

72°F
↑ 79°F   ↓ 57°F
Feels like 64°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.6 kn
avg  ·  max 11.3 kn
Gusts to 25.5 kn
From NE (43°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine10.5 hrs Humidity19% Pressure1017.8 hPa

What this breeze does at Berkeley — from fleet racing

Breeze: NE about 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In fleet races at Berkeley in this breeze: an underdogs’ day (−0.07)
Underdogs’ conditions: in fleet racing here the fleet bunches up and lower-rated boats beat the seeds more often than usual.

Orderliness is how tightly a fleet race’s finishing order follows the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0): positive is the favourites’ day, negative the underdogs’. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% less than on a typical day. This event is not a fleet race the rating model scores, so there is no actual value for it: this is what this venue’s fleet racing history says about the breeze on the day, read off the chart at the star. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Berkeley by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (24 labelled fleet-race days at Berkeley).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →