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Donaghy Bowl

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Brown University Brown University Bears 10 6 16
2 McGill University McGill University Redbirds 13 13 26
3 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 15 17 32
4 Williams College Williams College Ephs 23 9 32
5 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 10 24 34
6 Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags 14 25 39
7 University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 27 18 45
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Brown University Brown University Bears 1 2 4 3 10 Charles Case '26
Mara Oancea '27
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 2 1 2 5 10 Walter Chiles '26
Isabelle Vagell '26
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 6 4 1 2 13 Eben Dooling '29
Nicholas Belev '26
Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags 5 5 3 1 14 Bryce Vitiello '27
Giovanna Kalin '26
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 3 3 5 4 15 Ryan Treat '27
William Kimber '28
Williams College Williams College Ephs 4 6 6 7 23 Caleb Kohn '29
Alex Von Lehe '26
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 7 7 7 6 27 Maisey Jobson '26
Audrey Bilotta '26
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Brown University Brown University Bears 2 2 1 1 6 Quinn Brighton '27
Ali Mcintyre '27
Williams College Williams College Ephs 1 4 2 2 9 Rem Johannknecht '26
Vincent Hernandez '28
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 3 3 4 3 13 Alex Anderson '26
Isabelle Ouimet '26
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 7 1 5 4 17 Whitney Koif '29
Katie Connolly '29
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 4 5 3 6 18 Angelina Papa '26 [1-4]
Ana-Maria Dimitrov '28 [1-2]
Marisa Gottsche '26 [3-4]
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 5 6 6 7 24 Aric Duncan '27
Patrick Duffy '26
Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags 6 7 7 5 25 Jack Mullaly '28
Dominic Pistone '28
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.140+0.14
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears11111313
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies15151818
Fairfield UniversityFairfield University Stags12121414
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen16161111
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds13131515
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers14141616
Williams CollegeWilliams College Ephs18181212

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears12121414
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies16161111
Fairfield UniversityFairfield University Stags13131515
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen18181212
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds14141616
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers15151818
Williams CollegeWilliams College Ephs11111313

Conditions — 09/13/2025 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 75%  ·  Pressure 1020.2 hPa

Temperature

66°F
↑ 69°F   ↓ 58°F
Feels like 67°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.3 kn
avg  ·  max 7.5 kn
Gusts to 18.1 kn
From SSE (154°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover26% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity75% Pressure1020.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at U. Connecticut: an underdogs’ day (−0.02)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.07
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.19 ± 0.26)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at U. Connecticut by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 7 labelled days at U. Connecticut, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →