Northeast Qualifier #1

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 8 15 23
2 Columbia University Columbia University Lions 22 9 31
3 Hamilton College Hamilton College Continentals 17 21 38
4 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 23 15 38
5 SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 16 22 38
6 Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Ducks 22 28 50
7 U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Black Knights 32 30 62
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 1 2 2 2 1 8 Nathaniel Hartwell '28
Michael Saharov '28
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 6 4 3 1 2 16 Sophia Dimont '27
Ella Musso '26
Hamilton College Hamilton College Continentals 2 1 1 7 6 17 Alan Becker '27 [1-3]
Reid Chapman '27 [4-5]
Mary Powell '27 [1-3]
Lena Davidson '29 [4-5]
Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Ducks 3 6 5 3 5 22 Oscar Mcmahan '28 [1-2, 4-5]
Tristan Feves '27 [3]
Nolan Thompson '28 [1-2, 4-5]
Nils Triplett '27 [3]
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 4 3 6 5 4 22 Chase O'Malley '26 [1-5]
Raina Jaeggli '28 [1-3]
Alexander Vincenti '26 [4-5]
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 5 5 4 6 3 23 Griffin Jones '28 [1-5]
Caleb Scheaffer '27 [1-3]
Freya Isenhart '28 [4-5]
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Black Knights 7 7 7 4 7 32 Sarra Salah '26 [1-3]
Thomas Brearley '27 [4-5]
Ella Dieterlen '27 [1-3]
Kwame Adusei-Poku '27 [4-5]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 1 1 4 2 1 9 Alexander Sau Hang Ching '28
Giulio Basilico '27
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 2 2 5 3 3 15 Matthew Mccarvill '28
Sean Warwick '28
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 3 4 1 5 2 15 Andrew Embry '28
Kristofer Litwinko '28
Hamilton College Hamilton College Continentals 5 6 2 1 7 21 Teddy Jiganti '29 [1-5]
Sydney Palmiotto '28 [1-3]
James Reynolds '20 [4-5]
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 4 3 3 6 6 22 Cassandra Edwards '27
Avery Connor '27
Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Ducks 7 7 6 4 4 28 Luke Saletta '28 [1-2, 4-5]
Yang Yi Zheng '28 [3]
Jack Ceriello '27 [1-2, 4-5]
Hayden White '27 [3]
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Black Knights 6 5 7 7 5 30 Justin Mcdaniel '27
Madelyn Zimmerman '28
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2016 (23 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
U. S. Military AcademyU. S. Military Academy Black Knights77722
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions11133
Hamilton CollegeHamilton College Continentals22244
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners66611
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers33355
Stevens Institute of TechnologyStevens Institute of Technology Ducks55577
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves44466

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
U. S. Military AcademyU. S. Military Academy Black Knights11133
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions22244
Hamilton CollegeHamilton College Continentals33355
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners77722
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers44466
Stevens Institute of TechnologyStevens Institute of Technology Ducks66611
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves55577

Conditions — 09/07/2025 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 87%  ·  Pressure 1016.9 hPa

Temperature

63°F
↑ 65°F   ↓ 62°F
Feels like 65°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.7 kn
avg  ·  max 5.0 kn
Gusts to 12.1 kn
From NW (323°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.0 hrs Humidity87% Pressure1016.9 hPa Rain0.44 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Stony Brook: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.11)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.15 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.04
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.04 ± 0.22)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.11 means a rating gap counts about 9% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Stony Brook by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (15 labelled days at Stony Brook).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →