Peak Foliage

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 48
2 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 80
3 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 81
4 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 140
5 Bates College Bates College Bobcats 148
6 University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 159
7 Sacred Heart University Sacred Heart University Pioneers 203
8 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 236
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks A 1 1 1 1 6 1 1 1 13 Jack Schneider '29
Emma Sharpe '28
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies A 2 2 3 3 1 2 8 6 27 Jack Whitman '27
Kasia Piekielniak '29
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts A 9 4 2 2 2 8 6 2 35 Jacob Anders '28
Charlotte Tutt '28
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks B 6 5 4 4 4 5 3 4 35 Emilia Perriera '28
Nina Muscarella '27
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts B 3 7 7 5 8 4 4 7 45 Xander Petrush '28
Mary Wallace '27
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies B 7 8 5 10 13 6 2 3 54 Gabrielle Ahitow '28
James Diamantis '29
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats B 4 11 8 7 9 3 9 10 61 Jack Tresh '28
Maggie Sandbeck '28
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen A 13 3 11 8 5 10 5 9 64 Emma Leblond '29
Marisa Gottsche '26
Bates College Bates College Bobcats B 5 9 9 6 12 9 14 5 69 Ryan Wiliani '28
Christopher Jenkins '29
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats A 8 6 10 9 11 13 11 11 79 Cole Norris '29
Emelyn Rudalavage '29
Bates College Bates College Bobcats A 12 DNF 13 12 3 7 7 8 79 Evelyn Bogan '28
Natalie Wey '28
Sacred Heart University Sacred Heart University Pioneers A 10 10 12 11 10 12 13 12 90 Neil Flynn '26 [1-6]
Callixtus O'Neill '26 [7-8]
Maximilian Tyrrell '29 [1-6]
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen B DNS DNS 6 13 7 11 10 14 95 Brooklyn Geary '28 [1-8]
Sabrina Menager '29 [1-2]
Ilan Avrahami '28 [3-8]
Sacred Heart University Sacred Heart University Pioneers B DNF 12 14 14 15 16 12 13 113 Will Sugerman '26 [1-4, 7-8]
Caige Kaessinger '28 [5-6]
Conor Grew '26 [1-4, 7-8]
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers B 11 13 15 DNF 16 14 15 15 116 Peilin (Luke) Cai '29
Anna Baker '28
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers A 14 14 16 15 14 15 16 16 120 Patrick Duffy '26
Nick Belev '26
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2010 (40 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats11223344
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen66554433
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers221116161515
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats7788991010
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies33445566
Sacred Heart UniversitySacred Heart University Pioneers44332211
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks55667788
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts88776655

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats99101011111212
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen1414131312121111
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers1010998877
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats151516161122
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies1111121213131414
Sacred Heart UniversitySacred Heart University Pioneers12121111101099
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks1313141415151616
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts1616151514141313

Conditions — 10/11/2025 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 59%  ·  Pressure 1024.5 hPa

Temperature

60°F
↑ 67°F   ↓ 45°F
Feels like 56°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.8 kn
avg  ·  max 6.6 kn
Gusts to 15.0 kn
From WSW (239°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover36% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity59% Pressure1024.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 16 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at New Hampshire: a favourites’ day (+0.06)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.14 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.19
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.11 ± 0.15)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at New Hampshire by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (22 labelled days at New Hampshire).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →