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Central Series 5

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbalaya 54 26 80
2 Boston University Boston University Terriers 41 51 92
3 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 39 58 97
4 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 53 62 115
5 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers 40 79 119
6 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 95 32 127
7 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 87 70 157
8 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 54 114 168
9 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 67 105 172
10 Brandeis University Brandeis University Judges 109 85 194
11 University of Massachusetts at Boston University of Massachusetts at Boston Beacons 109 90 199
12 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 124 114 238
13 Endicott College Endicott College Gulls 129 118 247
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 6 3 4 2 1 2 3 4 9 3 39 Meghan Pesch '11
Alyson Yee '12
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers 7 2 4 2 7 4 4 2 6 1 1 40 Charles Field '10
Jillian Reddy '11
Boston University Boston University Terriers 1 5 1 3 1 2 5 8 8 5 2 41 Ben Greenfield '11
Rebecca Bar '12
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 4 4 7 5 4 7 9 5 1 2 5 53 Cameron Chafee '12
Alex Feldman '12
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 6 1 2 7 6 8 3 4 2 11 4 54 Timothy Scanlon '12
Courtney Gerwin '11
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbalaya 11 3 6 1 9 5 1 1 3 6 8 54 John Work '12
Reeve Dunne '10
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 8 7 5 6 8 6 6 6 5 4 6 67 Michael O'Brien '12
Sara Abad '11
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 5 8 11 8 3 9 10 12 7 7 7 87 Billy Rohman '11
Audrey Hatch '10
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 10 9 8 9 11 12 7 7 9 3 10 95 Alexander Bick '10
Alicia Beyer '10
Brandeis University Brandeis University Judges 3 13 10 12 5 11 8 13 13 10 11 109 Rebecca Kramer '09
John Fonte '12
University of Massachusetts at Boston University of Massachusetts at Boston Beacons 13 10 9 10 13 3 13 9 12 8 9 109 Kristina Manganaro '09
Sit Mab '10
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 9 11 13 13 12 10 12 10 10 12 12 124 Catherine Coupland '12
Timothy Brogan '12
Endicott College Endicott College Gulls 12 12 12 11 10 13 11 11 11 13 13 129 Brian Laurita '?? [1-11]
Lori Skinner '12 [1-6]
Dave Bouck '09 [7-11]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbalaya 2 2 1 1 1 2 2 7 1 5 2 26 Marina Miaoulis '12
Marlies Ruck '12
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 3 1 2 6 2 1 1 4 6 1 5 32 Colin Santangelo '11
Ruth Engle '12
Boston University Boston University Terriers 4 5 5 9 9 6 6 1 2 3 1 51 Michelle Tariverdian '11
Brooke Assad '11
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 6 4 4 7 10 4 5 5 4 2 7 58 Renã©E Gagnã© '12
Midori Tanaka '12
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 11 10 3 3 5 7 9 2 3 6 3 62 Mackenzie Bryan '18
John Hill '12
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 9 7 6 5 8 3 4 9 9 4 6 70 Andrew Howard '09
Emily Liao '11
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers 1 DNF 10 4 6 11 3 10 8 8 4 79 Tevis Nichols '12
Zachary Nelson '12
Brandeis University Brandeis University Judges 8 8 7 8 3 10 8 3 11 7 12 85 Lauren Wild '09 [1-11]
Lara Billet '09 [1-6]
Meghan Breslin-Jewer '11 [7-11]
University of Massachusetts at Boston University of Massachusetts at Boston Beacons 12 9 9 2 7 5 7 12 5 12 10 90 Christopher Campbell '09
Jake Tavakoli '09
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 5 11 13 11 4 8 11 11 7 13 11 105 Sean Mcmullen '12
Dan Wittstein '12
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 7 DNF 8 13 11 9 13 8 13 9 9 114 Martin Mcdonald '12
Thomas Woodford '12
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 10 6 12 10 13 12 10 6 12 10 13 114 Andrew Klein '11
Amy Kuhl '10
Endicott College Endicott College Gulls 13 3 11 12 12 13 12 13 10 11 8 118 Nicolas Kruse '?? [1-11]
Elizabeth Buchanan '?? [1-6]
Lauren Peterson '?? [7-11]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2009 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers11223344556
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears22334455667
Brandeis UniversityBrandeis University Judges33445566778
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green44556677889
Endicott CollegeEndicott College Gulls556677889910
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson66778899101011
University of Massachusetts at BostonUniversity of Massachusetts at Boston Beacons121213131122334
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers7788991010111112
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats1313112233445
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies889910101111121213
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks9910101111121213131
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbalaya1010111112121313112
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos11111212131311223

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers1515161617171818191920
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears1616171718181919202021
Brandeis UniversityBrandeis University Judges1717181819192020212122
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green1818191920202121222223
Endicott CollegeEndicott College Gulls1919202021212222232324
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson2020212122222323242425
University of Massachusetts at BostonUniversity of Massachusetts at Boston Beacons2626272715151616171718
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers2121222223232424252526
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats2727151516161717181819
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies2222232324242525262627
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks2323242425252626272715
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbalaya2424252526262727151516
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos2525262627271515161617

Conditions — 04/25/2009 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 60%  ·  Pressure 1020.4 hPa

Temperature

71°F
↑ 79°F   ↓ 54°F
Feels like 70°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.9 kn
avg  ·  max 9.9 kn
Gusts to 19.2 kn
From SSW (204°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover1% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity60% Pressure1020.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 8 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Northeastern: an underdogs’ day (−0.06)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.08 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.03
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.10 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Northeastern by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (21 labelled days at Northeastern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →