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ICSA Eastern Semifinals

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 28 49 77
2 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 41 43 84
3 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 51 34 85
4 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 45 45 90
5 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 53 40 93
6 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 68 60 128
7 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 51 78 129
8 Boston University Boston University Terriers 62 68 130
9 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 81 60 141
10 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 79 63 142
11 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 88 70 158
12 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 61 98 159
13 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 92 108 200
14 Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 90 114 204
15 Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 114 100 214
16 University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Minnesota Women 116 114 230
17 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 125 108 233
18 University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 124 116 240
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 1 6 2 7 2 1 2 7 28 Charlie Buckingham '11
Alexandra Taylor '10
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 5 2 6 3 4 11 6 4 41 Tomas Hornos '10
Lara Hwa '09
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 3 11 1 6 7 8 8 1 45 Arthur Blodgett '09
Nicole Laliberte '10
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 8 1 5 9 11 4 4 9 51 Jesse Kirkland '10
Madeline Jackson '11
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 12 3 13 2 5 5 5 6 51 Andrew Bonn '16
Christina Chance '10
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 2 4 7 15 3 16 1 5 53 Matthew Paige '13
Maia Agerup '20
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 10 12 9 1 6 2 13 8 61 John Biehl '11
Morgane Renoir '12
Boston University Boston University Terriers 4 7 4 14 10 7 3 13 62 Benjamin Li '17 [1-4]
Mathew Renik '19 [5-8]
Sarah Manning '16 [1-4]
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 7 17 10 10 1 13 7 3 68 Cole Hatton '11
Kelly Mckenna '09
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 11 9 DSQ 8 9 3 10 10 79 Tyler Baeder '09
Christine Bletzer '09
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 16 10 3 12 12 6 11 11 81 Kyle Rogachenko '10
Jaclyn Finney '09
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 17 8 8 17 15 12 9 2 88 Nicholas Voss '12 [1-8]
Hannah Marshburn '10 [1-2, 5-8]
Nikki Bruno '12 [3-4]
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 9 5 16 5 13 9 16 17 90 Shawn Ryan '11
Mary Duncan '11
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 15 14 15 4 8 10 12 14 92 Felipe Lopez '10 [1-4, 7-8]
Hannah Darrin '11 [5-6]
Katie Schmidt '11 [1-4, 7-8]
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 6 18 12 13 14 15 18 18 114 Eric Defeo '12 [1-6]
Geoff Pedrick '12 [7-8]
Amanda Leigh Snyder '10 [1-6]
Tyler Lorenzi '10 [7-8]
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Minnesota Women 13 15 11 11 18 17 15 16 116 Joe Lund '14 [1-8]
Katie Berning '12 [1-4, 7-8]
Natalie Sinn '12 [5-6]
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 14 13 14 16 17 18 17 15 124 Blake Griffin '11
Kelsey Dubois '11
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 18 16 17 18 16 14 14 12 125 Jasmine Baloch '13 [1-4]
Jonathan Atwood '12 [5-8]
Alfred Robbins '12 [1-4]
Seth Owens '14 [5-8]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 2 2 4 9 1 2 8 6 34 Michael Menninger '11
Kelly Wilbur '10
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 6 1 7 13 2 1 7 3 40 Cy Thompson '11
John Hill '12
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 3 3 5 2 3 10 4 13 43 John Evans '12
Christina Kelly '09
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 4 16 1 3 9 3 2 7 45 Andrew Meier '15
Nicole Butchart '10
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 5 6 2 12 7 7 5 5 49 Evan Aras '12
Caila Johnson '10
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 9 4 11 5 4 15 10 2 60 Taylor Grimes '09
Carolyn Prioleau '15
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 12 7 8 4 15 9 1 4 60 Stephanie Roble '11
Alissa Ayres '09
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 8 5 6 6 6 14 6 12 63 Clinton Hayes '10
Laura Walsh-Rogalski '12
Boston University Boston University Terriers 1 13 9 8 5 12 9 11 68 Solomon Tarlin '17
Julia Hall '15
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 11 9 10 1 8 11 3 17 70 David Hernandez '12
Nicole Popp '12
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 7 10 16 16 11 4 13 1 78 Robert Vann '11
Jaquina Soland '11
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 10 14 12 14 10 8 15 15 98 John Heineken '10 [1-6]
Ryan Sullivan '12 [7-8]
Christina Nagatani '11 [1-6]
Keely Scates '12 [7-8]
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 13 18 3 7 16 16 17 10 100 James Costakis '09 [1-6]
Tod Reynolds '11 [7-8]
Nina Lincoff '12 [1-6]
Maija Mikkila '10 [7-8]
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 14 15 17 15 17 6 16 8 108 Darin Lewis '11
Erica Rodriguez '18
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 15 8 15 17 12 18 14 9 108 Glen Stellmacher '11
Haley Lane '13
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Minnesota Women 16 17 18 10 14 5 18 16 114 Matthew Thompson '11 [1-8]
Emma Gantzer '11 [1-6]
Eric Tobias '13 [7-8]
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 17 12 13 11 18 13 12 18 114 Chris Raff '11 [1-8]
Schuyler Hemmerdinger '12 [1-4]
Jessie Yoste '11 [5-8]
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 18 11 14 18 13 17 11 14 116 Daniel Morris '10
Britt Wedenoja '11
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2008 (23 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers22446688
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons11171715151313
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas4466881010
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes15151313111199
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines1111997755
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Minnesota Women1818224466
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen14141616181822
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats331117171515
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs668810101212
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks5533111717
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks88101012121414
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal77553311
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies1010121214141616
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos99775533
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave1212141416161818
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos161618182244
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts131311119977
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies1717151513131111

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers11335577
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons22181816161414
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas33557799
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes1616141412121010
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines121210108866
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Minnesota Women1717113355
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen13131515171711
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats442218181616
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs5577991111
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks6644221818
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks779911111313
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal88664422
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies99111113131515
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1010886644
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave1111131315151717
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos151517171133
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts14141212101088
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies1818161614141212
School / Team SkipperCrew
Boston University Boston University Benjamin Li '17 [1-4]
Mathew Renik '19 [5-8]		 Sarah Manning '16 [1-4]
Terriers Solomon Tarlin '17 Julia Hall '15
Eckerd College Eckerd College Arthur Blodgett '09 Nicole Laliberte '10
Tritons Andrew Meier '15 Nicole Butchart '10
Georgetown University Georgetown University Charlie Buckingham '11 Alexandra Taylor '10
Hoyas Evan Aras '12 Caila Johnson '10
Northwestern University Northwestern University Eric Defeo '12 [1-6]
Geoff Pedrick '12 [7-8]		 Amanda Leigh Snyder '10 [1-6]
Tyler Lorenzi '10 [7-8]
Wildcats James Costakis '09 [1-6]
Tod Reynolds '11 [7-8]		 Nina Lincoff '12 [1-6]
Maija Mikkila '10 [7-8]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Kyle Rogachenko '10 Jaclyn Finney '09
Monarchs Stephanie Roble '11 Alissa Ayres '09
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Matthew Paige '13 Maia Agerup '20
Hawks Cy Thompson '11 John Hill '12
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Jesse Kirkland '10 Madeline Jackson '11
Seahawks Michael Menninger '11 Kelly Wilbur '10
Stanford University Stanford University Cole Hatton '11 Kelly Mckenna '09
Cardinal Taylor Grimes '09 Carolyn Prioleau '15
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Jasmine Baloch '13 [1-4]
Jonathan Atwood '12 [5-8]		 Alfred Robbins '12 [1-4]
Seth Owens '14 [5-8]
Aggies Darin Lewis '11 Erica Rodriguez '18
Tufts University Tufts University Tomas Hornos '10 Lara Hwa '09
Jumbos John Evans '12 Christina Kelly '09
Tulane University Tulane University Shawn Ryan '11 Mary Duncan '11
Green Wave Chris Raff '11 [1-8] Schuyler Hemmerdinger '12 [1-4]
Jessie Yoste '11 [5-8]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Andrew Bonn '16 Christina Chance '10
Midshipmen Robert Vann '11 Jaquina Soland '11
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara John Biehl '11 Morgane Renoir '12
Gauchos John Heineken '10 [1-6]
Ryan Sullivan '12 [7-8]		 Christina Nagatani '11 [1-6]
Keely Scates '12 [7-8]
University of Miami University of Miami Nicholas Voss '12 [1-8] Hannah Marshburn '10 [1-2, 5-8]
Nikki Bruno '12 [3-4]
Hurricanes David Hernandez '12 Nicole Popp '12
University of Michigan University of Michigan Blake Griffin '11 Kelsey Dubois '11
Wolverines Daniel Morris '10 Britt Wedenoja '11
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Joe Lund '14 [1-8] Katie Berning '12 [1-4, 7-8]
Natalie Sinn '12 [5-6]
Minnesota Women Matthew Thompson '11 [1-8] Emma Gantzer '11 [1-6]
Eric Tobias '13 [7-8]
University of Vermont University of Vermont Tyler Baeder '09 Christine Bletzer '09
Catamounts Clinton Hayes '10 Laura Walsh-Rogalski '12
University of Washington University of Washington Felipe Lopez '10 [1-4, 7-8]
Hannah Darrin '11 [5-6]		 Katie Schmidt '11 [1-4, 7-8]
Huskies Glen Stellmacher '11 Haley Lane '13

Conditions — 05/02/2009 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 56%  ·  Pressure 1010.6 hPa

Temperature

62°F
↑ 66°F   ↓ 56°F
Feels like 58°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.2 kn
avg  ·  max 6.7 kn
Gusts to 14.0 kn
From WSW (251°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover77% Sunshine7.7 hrs Humidity56% Pressure1010.6 hPa Rain0.04 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 8 kn · SE 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at MIT: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.03
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.20 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at MIT by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (112 labelled days at MIT).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →