SAISA South Points #4

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Florida University of Florida Gators 18 11 29
2 Rollins College Rollins College Rollins 21 22 43
3 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 1 29 17 46
4 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 1 37 12 49
5 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 2 21 42 63
6 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 2 35 29 64
7 Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Florida Tech 20 45 65
8 Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 44 50 94
9 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Jacksonville 48 47 95
10 New College of Florida New College of Florida New College 61 56 117
11 Florida Gulf Coast University Florida Gulf Coast University Eagles 62 65 127
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 1 2 2 3 7 3 18 Max Famiglietti '13
Natalie Viera '13
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Florida Tech 4 3 3 1 1 8 20 Adam Harris '12
Chloe Mallet '12
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 2 2 5 5 2 5 2 21 Niklas Anderson '15
Millicent Gerlak '12
Rollins College Rollins College Rollins 5 1 4 5 2 4 21 J Hoyt '11
Jason Limbach '12
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 1 6 9 6 4 3 1 29 Charlotte Dorris '11
Emily Mitchell '13
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 2 3 8 7 8 4 5 35 Casey Bowles-Jenner '13
Kirsten Hunt '11
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 1 7 6 1 9 8 6 37 Darby Smith '11
Erin Mckie '10
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 11 4 9 7 6 7 44 Jeff Unknown '12
Unknown Vickers '12
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Jacksonville 8 7 8 6 10 9 48 Michael Todd '11
Lily Everson '12
New College of Florida New College of Florida New College 10 11 10 11 9 10 61 Elliot Evins '13
Maria Phillips '13
Florida Gulf Coast University Florida Gulf Coast University Eagles 9 10 11 10 11 11 62 Nerissa Erb '10
Jared Horvitz '13
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 2 1 4 1 2 1 11 William Heausler '13
Michelle Thomas '13
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 1 1 4 1 2 1 3 12 Stephanie Reynolds '12
Rachael Silverstein '11
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 1 3 3 3 3 3 2 17 Amy Baxter '13
Brianna Wall '10
Rollins College Rollins College Rollins 5 2 2 4 4 5 22 Jonathon Norcross '11
Jordan Anduaga-Todd '14
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 2 4 5 5 5 6 4 29 Adam Deprimo '11
Kaitlin Kramer '13
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 2 7 6 9 6 7 7 42 Duncan Macleod '13
Sarah Sims '15
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Florida Tech 8 8 6 8 5 10 45 Zach Kowalski '12
Mark Anderson '13
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Jacksonville 6 7 7 9 10 8 47 Kristoffer Bostic '11
Nicholas Bostic '12
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 9 9 8 7 8 9 50 Michael Mierswa '11
Joseph Finkiewicz '13
New College of Florida New College of Florida New College 10 10 10 11 9 6 56 Michael Getz '13
Emily Meyer '13
Florida Gulf Coast University Florida Gulf Coast University Eagles 11 11 11 10 11 11 65 Melanie Silva '13
Desiree Gonzalez '11
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (51 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons 1113355
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons 2224466
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Eagles335577
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators446688
Florida Gulf Coast UniversityFlorida Gulf Coast University Eagles557799
Florida Institute of TechnologyFlorida Institute of Technology Florida Tech66881010
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Jacksonville77991111
New College of FloridaNew College of Florida New College88101011
Rollins CollegeRollins College Rollins99111122
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls 110101133
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls 211112244

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons 1224466
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons 2335577
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Eagles446688
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators557799
Florida Gulf Coast UniversityFlorida Gulf Coast University Eagles66881010
Florida Institute of TechnologyFlorida Institute of Technology Florida Tech77991111
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Jacksonville88101011
New College of FloridaNew College of Florida New College99111122
Rollins CollegeRollins College Rollins10101133
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls 111112244
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls 2113355

Conditions — 03/20/2010 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 64%  ·  Pressure 1018.8 hPa

Temperature

64°F
↑ 69°F   ↓ 49°F
Feels like 64°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.4 kn
avg  ·  max 6.8 kn
Gusts to 14.4 kn
From S (180°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover3% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity64% Pressure1018.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at South Florida: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.13 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.15
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.20 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at South Florida by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (75 labelled days at South Florida).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →