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MAISA Womens

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 42 34 76
2 Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 50 27 77
3 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 46 32 78
4 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 37 60 97
5 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 71 69 140
6 University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 70 85 155
7 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 74 86 160
8 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 88 86 174
9 George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 89 98 187
10 Columbia University Columbia University Lions 102 91 193
11 Salisbury University Salisbury University Salisbury 127 137 264
12 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 140 131 271
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 2 6 1 1 2 5 6 6 1 3 3 1 37 Sydney Bolger '12
Rebecca Evans '12
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 7 2 2 4 1 3 1 2 7 8 1 4 42 Megan Magill '11
Meredith Powlison '11
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 1 1 3 5 4 1 10 4 4 1 9 3 46 Stephanie Roble '11
Emily Reich '12
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 4 9 5 2 3 2 8 5 3 2 5 2 50 Caroline Patten '11
Jane Rew '14
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 6 10 7 3 10 4 3 7 2 7 6 5 70 Amanda Johnson '11
Kelsi Schoenrock '12
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 5 5 4 11 6 7 4 1 6 6 10 6 71 Marissa Lihan '14
Erica Leinmiller '13
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 9 4 6 7 7 11 5 3 5 4 2 11 74 Ryann Hall '11
Sarah Mckay '12
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 8 3 8 6 8 8 9 8 9 9 4 8 88 Lauren Turner '13
Della Bradt '13
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 3 7 9 10 5 6 2 9 10 10 8 10 89 Meredith Carroll '11
Anne Laterra '11
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 10 11 11 8 9 9 7 10 8 5 7 7 102 Melissa Bermudez '12
Marie Johnson '12
Salisbury University Salisbury University Salisbury 11 8 10 9 12 10 12 11 12 12 11 9 127 Shaylyn Leary '12
Morgan Pulsifer '10
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 12 12 12 12 11 12 11 12 11 11 12 12 140 Jessie Shifalo '11 [1-12]
Alyssa Montague '11 [1-6]
Eleanor Rogers '11 [7-12]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 2 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 7 3 5 27 Kelly Crane '11
Holly Huffine '11
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 1 3 4 2 1 2 2 2 3 4 2 6 32 Morgan Wilson '11 [1-12]
Shannon Wilkins '13 [1-5, 9-12]
Jordan Stock '12 [6-8]
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 6 1 2 5 3 3 5 3 2 1 1 2 34 Mayumi Roller '13 [1-12]
Katherine Gluskin '13 [1-2, 6-8, 10-12]
Kayla Mccomb '13 [3-5, 9]
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 4 5 6 7 6 10 3 4 6 2 6 1 60 Amanda Taselaar '14 [1-3, 6]
Lauren Burke '12 [4-5]
Nancy Hagood '14 [7-12]
Brooks Walker '12 [1-3, 6-12]
Merritt Moran '14 [4-5]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 3 10 7 4 10 7 4 6 4 3 4 7 69 Killian Corbishley '14
Laura Burzenski '14
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 5 7 3 6 12 5 7 8 9 6 8 9 85 Christina Johns '13
Marina Reppucci '12
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 8 4 8 10 7 8 8 5 10 5 9 4 86 Mia Cooper '14
Emma Pfohman '13
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 10 8 5 3 8 9 9 7 11 8 5 3 86 Hillary Paulsen '13 [1-6]
Alison Love '11 [7-12]
Erin Ahlers '13 [1-6]
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 7 6 9 8 4 6 6 10 5 9 10 11 91 Irene Jacqz '13 [1-12]
Amanda Santamaria '11 [1-4, 8-12]
Alison Rosenfeld '13 [5-7]
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 9 9 10 9 5 4 11 9 7 10 7 8 98 Kathleen Hilton '12
Kaitlin Denny '14
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 11 11 11 12 11 12 10 12 8 12 11 10 131 Maggy Ashton '14 [1-12]
Erin Hofstetter '14 [1-6]
Marie Morrow '14 [7-12]
Salisbury University Salisbury University Salisbury 12 12 12 11 9 11 12 11 12 11 12 12 137 Julia Faiella '14
Wendy Cirko '14
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (22 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions112233445566
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red221112121111101099
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams334455667788
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials55667788991010
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas4433221112121111
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen665544332211
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners778899101011111212
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen887766554433
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs991010111112121122
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers121211111010998877
Salisbury UniversitySalisbury University Salisbury1111121211223344
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks10109988776655

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions112233445566
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red221112121111101099
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams334455667788
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials55667788991010
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas4433221112121111
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen665544332211
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners778899101011111212
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen887766554433
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs991010111112121122
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers121211111010998877
Salisbury UniversitySalisbury University Salisbury1111121211223344
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks10109988776655
School / Team SkipperCrew
Columbia University Columbia University Melissa Bermudez '12 Marie Johnson '12
Lions Irene Jacqz '13 [1-12] Amanda Santamaria '11 [1-4, 8-12]
Alison Rosenfeld '13 [5-7]
Cornell University Cornell University Lauren Turner '13 Della Bradt '13
Big Red Hillary Paulsen '13 [1-6]
Alison Love '11 [7-12]		 Erin Ahlers '13 [1-6]
Fordham University Fordham University Ryann Hall '11 Sarah Mckay '12
Rams Mia Cooper '14 Emma Pfohman '13
George Washington University George Washington University Meredith Carroll '11 Anne Laterra '11
Colonials Kathleen Hilton '12 Kaitlin Denny '14
Georgetown University Georgetown University Sydney Bolger '12 Rebecca Evans '12
Hoyas Amanda Taselaar '14 [1-3, 6]
Lauren Burke '12 [4-5]
Nancy Hagood '14 [7-12]		 Brooks Walker '12 [1-3, 6-12]
Merritt Moran '14 [4-5]
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Caroline Patten '11 Jane Rew '14
Statesmen Kelly Crane '11 Holly Huffine '11
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Stephanie Roble '11 Emily Reich '12
Monarchs Morgan Wilson '11 [1-12] Shannon Wilkins '13 [1-5, 9-12]
Jordan Stock '12 [6-8]
Salisbury University Salisbury University Shaylyn Leary '12 Morgan Pulsifer '10
Salisbury Julia Faiella '14 Wendy Cirko '14
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Megan Magill '11 Meredith Powlison '11
Seahawks Mayumi Roller '13 [1-12] Katherine Gluskin '13 [1-2, 6-8, 10-12]
Kayla Mccomb '13 [3-5, 9]
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Jessie Shifalo '11 [1-12] Alyssa Montague '11 [1-6]
Eleanor Rogers '11 [7-12]
Mariners Maggy Ashton '14 [1-12] Erin Hofstetter '14 [1-6]
Marie Morrow '14 [7-12]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Marissa Lihan '14 Erica Leinmiller '13
Midshipmen Killian Corbishley '14 Laura Burzenski '14
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Amanda Johnson '11 Kelsi Schoenrock '12
Quakers Christina Johns '13 Marina Reppucci '12

Conditions — 04/23/2011 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 83%  ·  Pressure 1017.5 hPa

Temperature

62°F
↑ 71°F   ↓ 51°F
Feels like 59°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.4 kn
avg  ·  max 12.2 kn
Gusts to 26.2 kn
From SSW (200°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover96% Sunshine5.2 hrs Humidity83% Pressure1017.5 hPa Rain0.04 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Navy: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.11)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.12
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.03 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.11 means a rating gap counts about 10% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Navy by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (114 labelled days at Navy).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →