20th O'Toole Trophy @ SRU

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 86
2 Brown University Brown University Bears 97
3 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 137
4 Boston University Boston University Terriers 143
5 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 156
6 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 199
7 Wellesley College Wellesley College Blue 270
8 Williams College Williams College Ephs 279
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks A 1 2 1 1 3 2 1 1 1 2 15 Matthew Schon '11
Mary Zeolla '13
Brown University Brown University Bears A 6 4 4 5 1 3 5 5 3 1 37 Nikolas Osvalds '11
Margot Elmaleh '12
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs A 3 1 3 6 5 5 2 7 9 4 45 Genoa Warner '12
Madeline Yozwiak '14
Boston University Boston University Terriers A 14 3 5 2 2 6 4 9 8 6 59 Ian Towill '14
Cristina Wiley '13
Brown University Brown University Bears B 4 7 2 4 11 7 12 4 2 7 60 Sky Adams '14
Kristin Altreuter '14
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos A 11 5 8 7 6 9 6 3 6 5 66 T. Max Bulger '13
Solomon Krevans '14
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos B 2 10 7 3 8 8 3 13 7 10 71 Viktor Wettergren '14
Elizabeth Keys '14
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks B 13 11 6 8 4 1 9 6 10 3 71 Robert Lippincott '14 [1-10]
Tom Mckenzie '13 [1-3]
Alexander Root '14 [4-10]
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies A 10 6 13 10 10 4 8 2 4 14 81 Sean Andrew '11
James Fales '13
Boston University Boston University Terriers B 5 8 9 11 9 10 10 8 5 9 84 Conor Fowler '14
Stuart Minshull '14
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs B 12 12 12 9 12 12 7 11 12 12 111 Nace Cohen '14
Sinead O'Brien '13
Wellesley College Wellesley College Blue A 9 9 10 12 15 11 14 10 13 13 116 Kelley Haverstock '14
Zach Breed '13
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies B 8 13 16 DNF 7 15 11 12 11 8 118 Colin Silveno '12
Brooke Doyon '13
Williams College Williams College Ephs B 7 15 11 14 13 13 16 DNS DNS 16 139 Timothy Lorenzen '12
Ben Stone '??
Williams College Williams College Ephs A 15 14 14 13 16 14 15 14 14 11 140 Joshua Revkin '13
Mika Nakashige '??
Wellesley College Wellesley College Blue B 16 16 15 DNF 14 16 13 DNF 15 15 154 Ann Stallings '12 [1-4]
Peter Manning '13 [5-10]
Mayrah Udvardi '14 [1-4]
Ann Stallings '12 [5-10]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (21 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers3333333333
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears1111111111
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies9999999999
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks5555555555
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos7777777777
Wellesley CollegeWellesley College Blue12121212121212121212
Williams CollegeWilliams College Ephs14141414141414141414
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs16161616161616161616

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers4444444444
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears2222222222
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies11111111111111111111
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks6666666666
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos8888888888
Wellesley CollegeWellesley College Blue13131313131313131313
Williams CollegeWilliams College Ephs15151515151515151515
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs17171717171717171717

Conditions — 04/23/2011 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Moderate drizzle
Humidity 90%  ·  Pressure 1021.3 hPa

Temperature

47°F
↑ 50°F   ↓ 44°F
Feels like 40°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
12.1 kn
avg  ·  max 15.3 kn
Gusts to 30.5 kn
From SSE (159°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.0 hrs Humidity90% Pressure1021.3 hPa Rain0.38 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 14 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Salve Regina: a favourites’ day (+0.10)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.10
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.05 ± 0.15)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.10 means a rating gap counts about 8% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Salve Regina by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (43 labelled days at Salve Regina).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →