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PCCSC Coed Dinghy Championship

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 37 40 77
2 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 53 53 106
3 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 33 76 109
4 University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 68 57 125
5 California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 34 92 126
6 University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 74 53 127
7 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 85 46 131
8 Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Santa Clara 94 77 171
9 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Berkeley 91 95 186
10 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego UC San Diego 109 115 224
11 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 114 111 225
12 Chapman University Chapman University Panthers 140 125 265
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 4 4 4 3 1 3 1 7 2 1 1 2 33 Judge Ryan '14
Erica Parker '14
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 5 1 3 2 4 6 5 2 1 2 2 1 34 Sean Kelly '12
Jessica Schember '12
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 3 2 1 1 2 2 2 5 5 5 5 4 37 Mateo Vargas '14
Rebecca King '13
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2 3 RDG 7 9 1 6 3 3 4 6 5 53 Ryan Sullivan '12 [1-4, 9-12]
Willie Mcbride '12 [5-8]
Keely Scates '12 [1-12]
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 1 5 6 5 11 10 10 1 6 3 7 3 68 Stephen Lue '12 [1-4, 9-12]
Kelsey Rupp '12 [5-6]
Mallory Schluter '14 [7-8]
Alexander Kraebel '11 [1-4, 7-12]
Erik Samuels '13 [5-6]
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 8 7 7 6 3 4 7 8 4 7 4 9 74 Jack Porter '11 [1-12]
Christopher Huang '12 [1-3, 7-12]
Kate Andersen '15 [4-6]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 9 8 2 4 7 9 4 11 7 11 3 10 85 Zachary Hester '10 [1-2, 9-10]
Craig Schifferns '12 [3-8, 11-12]
Lani Johnson '12 [1-2, 9-10]
Lindsay Stewart '13 [3-8, 11-12]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Berkeley 11 9 10 8 6 5 8 6 8 6 8 6 91 Cody Shevitz '12 [1-12]
Jacob Freimer '11 [1-4, 9-12]
Travis Benton '14 [5-8]
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Santa Clara 7 10 5 9 5 8 3 9 12 8 11 7 94 Brandon Wood '14
Daniel Marks '14
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego UC San Diego 10 6 8 10 10 DSQ 9 4 10 9 9 11 109 Eric Alamillo '13 [1-8]
John Olson '14 [9-12]
Amanda Suarez '13 [1-4, 7-12]
Sean Patno '11 [5-6]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 6 11 11 11 8 7 11 12 9 10 10 8 114 Thomas Maher '12 [1-12]
Francesca Delle Cese '11 [1-6, 9-12]
Lauren Wheeler '12 [7-8]
Chapman University Chapman University Panthers 12 12 12 12 12 11 12 10 11 12 12 12 140 Trevor Moseley '13 [1-12]
Lauren Mcnally '12 [1-4, 9-12]
Alexa Pukall '11 [5-8]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 5 4 3 3 1 2 2 7 2 6 4 1 40 Kevin Laube '14 [1-8]
Oliver Toole '14 [9-12]
Carolyn Ortel '14 [1-4, 7-8]
Molly Mckinney '14 [5-6]
Hannah Burroughs '11 [9-12]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 3 1 2 7 4 3 3 8 6 3 3 3 46 Adam Pokras '14 [1-12]
Cienna Patmont '12 [1-10]
Lani Johnson '12 [11-12]
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2 5 5 4 2 4 4 2 11 7 5 2 53 Nicholas Kaschak '12 [1-12]
Christina Nagatani '11 [1-4, 9-12]
Caitlin Beavers '12 [5-8]
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 4 2 11 6 11 5 1 4 1 2 2 4 53 Rex Cameron '12 [1-12]
Blair Johnston '11 [1-2, 7-12]
Austin Moore '13 [3-4, 6]
Ashley Hobson '13 [5]
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 1 6 4 2 6 1 9 3 5 4 9 7 57 Cameron Hutcheson '14 [1-12]
Mallory Schluter '14 [1-6]
Maggie Nolting '14 [7-12]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 7 9 7 8 3 8 5 5 7 1 10 6 76 Oscar Jasklowski '11
Carmen Bozina '11
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Santa Clara 8 7 8 5 7 6 8 1 3 8 8 8 77 Lindsay Grove '13 [1-12]
Rachel Flanagan '14 [1-2, 7-10]
Blake Martini '11 [3-6, 11-12]
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 9 12 1 9 8 11 6 6 9 9 7 5 92 Matthew Van Rensselaer '13
Nevin Garcia '12
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Berkeley 6 10 12 10 9 7 7 10 8 5 1 10 95 Joshua Kew '12 [1-8]
Travis Benton '14 [9-12]
Ashley Borom '11 [1-8]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 12 3 10 11 12 12 10 9 4 11 6 11 111 Erik Lund '14 [1-12]
Margaret Kaiserman '14 [1-4, 7-10]
Macy Stout '13 [5-6]
Lauren Wheeler '12 [11-12]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego UC San Diego 11 8 6 1 5 9 12 11 DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ 115 Matthew Nguyen '12 [1-10]
Alicia Bernhard '13 [11-12]
Alicia Bernhard '13 [1-8]
John Olson '14 [9-12]
Chapman University Chapman University Panthers 10 11 9 12 10 10 11 12 10 10 11 9 125 Dane Butera '12 [1-12]
Taylor Forster '13 [1-4, 7-12]
Alexa Pukall '11 [5-6]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.130+0.13
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (19 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Berkeley55779911111133
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers33557799111111
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang99111111335577
Chapman UniversityChapman University Panthers1212224466881010
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows11335577991111
Santa Clara UniversitySanta Clara University Santa Clara11111133557799
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans6688101012122244
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal77991111113355
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters4466881010121222
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins8810101212224466
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego UC San Diego1010121222446688
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos2244668810101212

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Berkeley6688101012122244
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers4466881010121222
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang1010121222446688
Chapman UniversityChapman University Panthers11335577991111
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows2244668810101212
Santa Clara UniversitySanta Clara University Santa Clara1212224466881010
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans77991111113355
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal8810101212224466
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters55779911111133
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins99111111335577
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego UC San Diego11111133557799
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos33557799111111
School / Team SkipperCrew
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Thomas Maher '12 [1-12] Francesca Delle Cese '11 [1-6, 9-12]
Lauren Wheeler '12 [7-8]
Mustang Erik Lund '14 [1-12] Margaret Kaiserman '14 [1-4, 7-10]
Macy Stout '13 [5-6]
Lauren Wheeler '12 [11-12]
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Sean Kelly '12 Jessica Schember '12
Keelhaulers Matthew Van Rensselaer '13 Nevin Garcia '12
Chapman University Chapman University Trevor Moseley '13 [1-12] Lauren Mcnally '12 [1-4, 9-12]
Alexa Pukall '11 [5-8]
Panthers Dane Butera '12 [1-12] Taylor Forster '13 [1-4, 7-12]
Alexa Pukall '11 [5-6]
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Brandon Wood '14 Daniel Marks '14
Santa Clara Lindsay Grove '13 [1-12] Rachel Flanagan '14 [1-2, 7-10]
Blake Martini '11 [3-6, 11-12]
Stanford University Stanford University Mateo Vargas '14 Rebecca King '13
Cardinal Kevin Laube '14 [1-8]
Oliver Toole '14 [9-12]		 Carolyn Ortel '14 [1-4, 7-8]
Molly Mckinney '14 [5-6]
Hannah Burroughs '11 [9-12]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Cody Shevitz '12 [1-12] Jacob Freimer '11 [1-4, 9-12]
Travis Benton '14 [5-8]
Berkeley Joshua Kew '12 [1-8]
Travis Benton '14 [9-12]		 Ashley Borom '11 [1-8]
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Jack Porter '11 [1-12] Christopher Huang '12 [1-3, 7-12]
Kate Andersen '15 [4-6]
Anteaters Rex Cameron '12 [1-12] Blair Johnston '11 [1-2, 7-12]
Austin Moore '13 [3-4, 6]
Ashley Hobson '13 [5]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Judge Ryan '14 Erica Parker '14
Bruins Oscar Jasklowski '11 Carmen Bozina '11
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Eric Alamillo '13 [1-8]
John Olson '14 [9-12]		 Amanda Suarez '13 [1-4, 7-12]
Sean Patno '11 [5-6]
UC San Diego Matthew Nguyen '12 [1-10]
Alicia Bernhard '13 [11-12]		 Alicia Bernhard '13 [1-8]
John Olson '14 [9-12]
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Ryan Sullivan '12 [1-4, 9-12]
Willie Mcbride '12 [5-8]		 Keely Scates '12 [1-12]
Gauchos Nicholas Kaschak '12 [1-12] Christina Nagatani '11 [1-4, 9-12]
Caitlin Beavers '12 [5-8]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Zachary Hester '10 [1-2, 9-10]
Craig Schifferns '12 [3-8, 11-12]		 Lani Johnson '12 [1-2, 9-10]
Lindsay Stewart '13 [3-8, 11-12]
Rainbows Adam Pokras '14 [1-12] Cienna Patmont '12 [1-10]
Lani Johnson '12 [11-12]
University of Southern California University of Southern California Stephen Lue '12 [1-4, 9-12]
Kelsey Rupp '12 [5-6]
Mallory Schluter '14 [7-8]		 Alexander Kraebel '11 [1-4, 7-12]
Erik Samuels '13 [5-6]
Trojans Cameron Hutcheson '14 [1-12] Mallory Schluter '14 [1-6]
Maggie Nolting '14 [7-12]

Conditions — 04/09/2011 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 50%  ·  Pressure 1016.5 hPa

Temperature

54°F
↑ 57°F   ↓ 46°F
Feels like 50°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.6 kn
avg  ·  max 11.1 kn
Gusts to 20.0 kn
From WSW (239°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover10% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity50% Pressure1016.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 10 kn · S 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Southern Cal: an underdogs’ day (−0.06)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.02 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.08
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.18 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Southern Cal by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 8 labelled days at Southern Cal, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →