Navigate

Robert P. Arrigan Memorial Regatta

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 1 128
2 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 2 181
3 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 1 184
4 University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 227
5 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 2 229
6 Villanova University Villanova University Wildcats 245
7 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 276
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 1 B 1 9 2 5 1 1 8 1 5 4 1 10 4 2 54 Devin Laviano '13
Julie Miller '15
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 1 A 4 1 4 2 8 5 2 11 2 3 14 2 12 4 74 Lukas Edegran '13
Connor Hendi '15
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 1 A 9 12 10 3 3 2 1 3 7 10 10 8 2 6 86 Andrew Mason '12
Kelly Meyering '13
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 2 A 8 6 1 10 7 4 7 6 1 8 4 13 6 8 89 Peter Johns '12
Eliana Michaels '14
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 2 B 3 8 3 9 5 11 4 5 10 2 11 9 9 1 90 Charles Peck '15
Sarah Blake '15
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 2 A 6 5 6 7 2 3 3 4 9 13 9 11 1 12 91 Philip Youngberg '15
Alexandra Asuncion '15
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers A 2 2 7 1 13 7 6 13 4 11 12 1 7 7 93 Jack Swikart '15 [1-14]
Shuchun Wang '13 [1-7]
Calvert Holt '13 [8-14]
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 1 B 12 3 8 13 11 6 5 7 3 1 6 7 3 13 98 Tristan Berne '12
Katie Olsen '15
Fordham University Fordham University Rams A 5 10 9 12 4 12 14 9 8 9 5 3 10 10 120 Mia Cooper '14
Chase Webber '15
Villanova University Villanova University Wildcats B 7 4 12 4 12 13 11 14 12 6 2 12 8 3 120 Domenic Re '15
Alex Heid '15
Villanova University Villanova University Wildcats A 10 7 5 6 14 8 10 12 14 5 13 5 5 11 125 Andrew Sayre '12
Marisa Demourkas '12
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers B 13 13 14 11 9 10 9 2 6 14 3 14 11 5 134 Jose -Maria Barrero '13 [1-7]
Michael Russom '13 [8-14]
Ali Zablocki '12 [1-7]
Shuchun Wang '13 [8-14]
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 2 B 11 11 13 14 6 9 13 8 11 7 8 6 14 9 140 Lincoln Heilner '12
Alyse Brehm '13
Fordham University Fordham University Rams B 14 14 11 8 10 14 12 10 13 12 7 4 13 14 156 Matthew Winter '14
Dan Canziani '14
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (20 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams11111111111111
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 122222222222222
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 233333333333333
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 144444444444444
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 255555555555555
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers1616161616161616161616161616
Villanova UniversityVillanova University Wildcats77777777777777

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams88888888888888
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 11818181818181818181818181818
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 21010101010101010101010101010
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 11111111111111111111111111111
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 21212121212121212121212121212
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers1313131313131313131313131313
Villanova UniversityVillanova University Wildcats1515151515151515151515151515

Conditions — 04/21/2012 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Partly cloudy
Humidity 53%  ·  Pressure 1006.3 hPa

Temperature

72°F
↑ 78°F   ↓ 59°F
Feels like 71°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.1 kn
avg  ·  max 7.0 kn
Gusts to 19.0 kn
From SW (214°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover65% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity53% Pressure1006.3 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 11 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Georgetown: an underdogs’ day (−0.06)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.03 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.09
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.52 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 6% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Georgetown by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (27 labelled days at Georgetown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →